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Main show · November 16, 2021

Week 11 Waivers + Full Stream Ahead, Deeeeeebo! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/16

RSSNov 16, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Week 11 Waivers + Full Stream Ahead, Deeeeeebo! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/16

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Inside the episode

142 passages
41:23 ↗

So if you had made the run to get Peterson or McNichols, and Deonté Foreman is out there, was 11 for 30. I mean, Deonté Forman is only impressive relative to... Yeah, it's all disgusting. Peterson and McNichols in their lack of production. It's their own Titans ecosystem of the running backs. So we're not comparing them to external sources. But Deonti Forman...

41:46 ↗

by far looks like the best option. And he looked like it in the first week without Henry. That turned into more snaps and more opportunities for Foreman. And I expect that to continue because he's just, he's the best option that they have. Yeah, I would put Foreman up front. I thought you, I thought you said for Devont to Freeman and that one was. I would take Freeman assuming that. Well, we don't know what's going on with Latavius Murray. I imagine when Latavis Murray's back, he's the starter because he was when he left. It's hard.

42:16 ↗

Would you cut Chase Edmonds? No. He's just on three-week IR? Yeah, I mean. Would you cut Alex Collins? No. No. Would you cut Jeff Wilson? No. Jeff Wilson was there involved, and I think we'll have even better games going forward. All right. Obviously, Target A.J. Dillon. If he's out there, somehow. Spend it all. Yeah, say at this point in the season, for it's the short term.

42:43 ↗

injury, as far as we know, for Aaron Jones, one to two weeks. I would project the two weeks, just the Green Bay Packers, they hold their guys out until they're really ready to go. But two weeks of A.J. Dillon, Minnesota, the Rams, and then there's the buy week. At this point, do you go everything, go all in on AJ. Yeah, I would make sure I get him. I would spend my top priority because if you get two weeks.

43:09 ↗

of a dominant running back. And that's what I expect. I expect him to be a top 10, at least top 15 running back when he's got, you know, he won't have 100% of the workload, but he will be the guy. And, yeah, I would be willing to do that for the chance of buying two victories to ensure playoff opportunity. And he is not a player that expires on the return of Aaron Jones, which is something valuable in the waiver wire where you.

43:39 ↗

Like you said, you know, like Devonta Freeman probably disappears for the most part with the return of Murray. What do we do? Let's talk about this for a second. Oh, no. With the backfield in New England. Ramandre Stevenson is only 39% rostered, went 20 for 102 last week, five targets. Oh, gosh, he played 55% of snaps. And he's been impressive.

44:09 ↗

He looks very versatile in a run-first offense. The team is great. The defense in New England is playing out of their minds right now. And guess what? They're going to do that again on Thursday. Now, we don't know yet unless Brooks has breaking news for us on the return of Damien Harris. But this is a Thursday game. This decision has to get made right here right now, and you're going to have to make a decision going into the game.

44:40 ↗

What do you do with this backfield? I refer to the flow charts, more than likely the one we drew up last week, where if Harris is out, then Stevenson is an absolute smash play. Like his peripherals of how much work he actually saw. We haven't seen, like Damien Harris hadn't, he hit those running back numbers week one and week two as far as his market share of the attempts. That's...

45:09 ↗

That's how outrageous the workload was here for Stevenson in week 10. If Harris is back. Is he still worth playing? Stevenson? Yeah. He should have had three touchdowns last week. It's full desperation for me to flex Stevenson if Harris is back. Yeah, I would wait. I would bench him if Harris is back because here's the thing. I think that it should clearly be Harris.

45:35 ↗

And remandre as the one to punch. And what I think is completely irrelevant. It's what Bill Belichick thinks. And if remandre kind of shares that skill set and that skill set goes to Harris on first and second down and he'd rather get Bolden in there for third, you could see Remandre Stevenson just really not part of the game plan. He should be because he's probably their most talented running back. But if Harris is back, I'm going to bench Remandre Stevenson see what happens and avoid.

46:04 ↗

you know, getting the potential for two carries or, you know, not active. But because of the Thursday matchup and the way that concussions work, there is a chance that Harris doesn't make it back for the game. Well, you, so that is a very nuanced situation for fantasy players because you have to spend on Armandre, Fab, waiver priority. Is he worth it? Yes, he is worth it.

46:29 ↗

I believe he's worth it. He's worth the potential. He would be behind A.J. Dillon for me. Is he second on the list? He's second on my personal list because I think that because of the short week, there's a good chance he's the starter. And if he's the starter, goodness gracious against Atlanta, you just saw what's going to happen. He's going to dominate. We talked about that with A.J. Dylan, it's worth having a week or two of dominance. And there is.

46:56 ↗

It's so nice that it's a Thursday game because it ups his likelihood that the concussion protocol is not fulfilled, you know, a shorter timeline for recovery for Harris. If Ramandre Stevenson comes out and dominates again, now two games in a row of domination, Harris comes back, it's more likely that he has just, you know, earned his way into the offense versus one performance. Are you the same on the priority if later today?

47:26 ↗

Practice report comes out and Damien is limited. If, like he's, it's not just, he's out. It's, oh, he's back to limited. Right. No, if he's out in pads, if he, if he's practicing in pads, then certainly not. Okay. Check your news later this afternoon to see what the expectation is for Harris. If it's a complete question mark and they're just not sure yet, which is what I expect, then that's where I really do like Ramandre. All right.

47:57 ↗

The other side of the ball on the Thursday game is Cordero Patterson's absence. And then Wayne Galman, who saw 15 carries for 55 yards last week. Go ahead. I'm sorry, everybody. It's a little strong. America loves it. It's not on us. It's on these players and these coaches. Yeah, you're right. And you also have Mike Davis. And so, you know, it's not going to be all Wayne Galman. They certainly moved away from.

48:28 ↗

Mike Davis last week, but you have to look at the game script, too. They were, what, 43 to 3 in that game? So you don't know how much of that was, we're just kind of done here. Wayne's going to get the last. Go run out the clock, Wayne. Yeah. So do you, like, do you do zero dollar bids on these guys? Do you? I think that's. Can you flex Wayne Gallman on Thursday against New England? No. I think you can. I think you can chase the volume.

48:55 ↗

I don't, and the reason why is because I'm not sure that the volume's going to be there. We don't know that this was, look, Galman's better. We're going to, Mike Davis, you've been terrible, we're finally moving on. Or the game's out of hand. Let's, we just lost Cordero. Let's protect Mike Davis and put in Galman. And so there's a chance here that Galman isn't even, you're not chasing anything. You're, Mike Davis is the starter. And then when you combine that with the fact that.

49:23 ↗

You're playing against the New England Patriots who are, you know, a very, very good defense. The only production that I see coming outside of falling in an end zone, which I don't anticipate that happening easily against this defense, is receptions. And Mike Davis has been involved in the receiving game throughout the course of this season. So if I'm going to play one of them, it's gross. It's the worst of the two running backs. But for fantasy purposes, I'm probably putting in Mike Davis in hopes that he gets...

49:52 ↗

six or seven receptions, and then ends with like nine points somehow in a full PPR. It is a good point that whoever it is, whoever is the primary running back is likely to see five plus targets because of the lack of weapons and how much Cordero was being used in the passing game. They have nobody. They have nobody. So, I mean, it's super sketchy, but I think you could take a shot.

50:23 ↗

You could come out with four or more receptions for at least one of these running backs. They're going to get destroyed, right? I can't see how they don't get destroyed because all the narrative of Bill Belichick takes out your number one option. You know, we say that a lot. But there is absolute hardcore data on that. It's just a fact. He does. And their number one option is clear as day. It's Kyle Pitts. They're going to do everything to take him out of the offense, in which case.

50:51 ↗

You're telling me that Russell Gage and Zakias, they've got to beat the Patriots defense with Mike Davis. Like, I don't see. You guys ready to 40 to nothing Falcons win on Thursday? You ready? Yeah, my body is right. That's what the NFL is doing right now. It has, yes. I just don't, I don't see how they get it done. If you, another reminder for players out there, just be smart. On Sunday morning, if you have room to stash somebody, you can throw.

51:19 ↗

This is a great week for it, too. A Somaget P. U.Rine on your bench. Sonny Michelle at Chuba Hubbard. I did this last week just in case something happened to Christian McCaffrey. You have Alexander Madison that might be out there. So stash alert. Yeah, absolutely. Other than A.J. Dillon and maybe Ramandres in that group, it's very possible your team just doesn't need a running back this week. And so all these gross options, you're just sitting up in your castle cackling.

51:47 ↗

at all of us peons who are scrambling to the waiver wire because we have to play these guys. If you aren't there, then your bench spot should be taking a flyer on one of these high value backups because that's just in case, man, it happens every week. I would even throw, you know, if some of those guys are going, I'd even throw an Eno Benjamin. Yes. Just because if Connor got knocked out, Eno will start for like two weeks. So, uh,

52:15 ↗

Tight-ins. Let's look at some options. To me, Dan Arnold stands out as the far and away best pickup at the tight-in position. He's not, he hasn't been getting the respect he deserves, but he was five for 67 last week, targeted a ton, tons of routes, and only 34% roster. Yeah. A postman delivered. Now, it took a while. The mail was delayed. It looked like no mail on Sunday for the first half.

52:42 ↗

And then all of a sudden, I mean, that five for 67, I think was almost all in the second half. Yeah, it was close if it wasn't entirely there. He projects to be their number one receiver. And so that's what you're looking for. You can get him. He's only rostered in 34% of leagues. He's available. And he would be the number one pickup. But there are two other guys that are available that I think are really great options. Hunter Henry, he's rostered in most leagues now.

53:11 ↗

But he's still available in 30% of leagues. Do you know that Hunter Henry is the tight-in three on the season? Because he catches two passes a week, but they're all touchdowns. All he does is catch touchdowns. And the thing is, is against Atlanta? Like, John is still hurt. Seven touchdowns in seven weeks. I mean, at some point, you just keep betting on him to catch a touchdown. So he's available. And of course, the muth. I know that he lost.

53:38 ↗

or the lost of the win for the Steelers, but he did that with nine targets again. They were Mason Rudolph targets, so yuck, but he is clearly a big part of the receiving game. Put those guys in order. Dan Arnold, Pat Fryermuth, Hunter Henry. Really? Okay, Mike. I agree with that. All right. So the muth could be better if Big Ben's back. Agreed. Do you guys make anything of...

54:07 ↗

Gerald Everett having eight targets against Green Bay. Not really. I think Russ was not himself, whatever he says. And it wasn't just like, oh, I'm scramble, scramble. Save me, Gerald Everett. It was, no, he was looking for Gerald Everett. Yeah, Arizona's been locked down against tight ends lately. That's his next match. It explains the shutout.

54:31 ↗

Right. Yes. Yeah, they hyper-targeted Gerald Everett and did not move the ball. It felt like, honestly, it felt like they kind of ran through the air with him. Do you know what I mean? Sure. There's a lot of those underneath little, and it was, okay, we're not going to hand the ball to Collins on this play. We're going to throw it to Everett and see what happens. I guess I would need, I need like two weeks of this to do anything. Understandable.

54:57 ↗

I'd rather play Conklin. Tyler Conklin, if you need an emergency start at Tide-in. He's always there for you. He's like just waiting to be put into a lineup. He's a safety net. Yeah. Defensively, Tennessee plays Houston. Tennessee's defense has been playing great. I don't see how you're going to go wrong with the Tennessee D. They're my number one pickup. That being said, I am playing the Patriots over Tennessee. I have both on my roster. I am not benching a... Sure.

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