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Week 14 Matchups + In-or-Out, It’s Garbage Time!
Week 14 Matchups + In-or-Out, It’s Garbage Time!
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Inside the episode
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Footballers, terms and conditions apply. Visit Handy's website for more information handy, the most reliable name in house cleaning. All right, the Ravens at 10 and 2 take on the bills at 9 and 3. Well, the Ravens are 5.5 point favorites in Buffalo. Ravens are on fire right now. Yes. We don't have questions about Lamar Jackson. He's in your lineup each and every week. You're also in the playoffs. Congratulations. He's averaging 74 rushing yards per game.
Yeah. That's ridiculous. It's basically all of the projections that you could have extended from last year, and they all came true. You know what I mean? I remember all of us trying to project Lamar Jackson and you go back. What was he doing? How was he pacing with the rushing yards? And you're like, I can't give him this many rushing yards. There's just no way. Oh, yeah. No, he's doing it.
He's breaking football. He's breaking fantasy. But the real question mark for many a fantasy owner is what to do with Josh Allen, who has done a lot to get you to the fantasy playoffs. And are we going to get an impressive week from him? He's averaging 35 rushing yards a game. He's been a top 15 quarterback in eight straight weeks. And that's been with some difficult matchups where people have doubted him. Basically, Josh Allen, the way that this game can play out.
to where you're happy is what he's done many, many times this year, which is he only throws one passing touchdown. Right. But he ends up sneaking one in. He ends up with yards on the ground. He's not making a ton of mistakes. And you end up with a 25-point game from Josh Allen. Now, the Ravens, they've only given up one top 12 performance all year. Yeah, that's rough. And that's against Patrick Mahomes in week three. So push coming to shove here. I like the fact Josh Allen is at home in this game.
I like the fact that the bills have a defense that's pretty stout, and I think this is going to be a competitive matchup. But I still wonder if I'm going to get the upside from Josh Allen that I could get from another streaming option at the position. Yeah, he's really close. You know, I talk about Matt Ryan being someone I'm playing over the streamers. Josh Allen is a real big question mark. I do think he gets it done. I don't think he goes there and has a dud, but you're right.
talking about the upside. He's not going to go out there and have a four-touchdown game, you know, the way that a Fitzpatrick could. So I think this is a matter of your lineup and your matchup. If you are the six-seat going against the one seed and that guy's just got an awesome lineup and you need to explode this week to get a win, that's where I'm going with one of the high volatility upside Ryan Fitzpatrick types over Josh Allen. If you've got a strong roster,
and you are favored to win, then I'm sticking with Josh Allen because I do think his floor is safe with his rushing ability. And I think this matchup is going to be a really fun, closer than expected matchup. And by closer than I expected, I don't know if you, I mean, the Ravens, I don't remember the last time they haven't blown someone out. Like, that's how it feels. It's just every game is just,
They're so great. Well, okay, the Niners played them very, very well. Last second field goal. But I think their average margin of victory is just, it's outlandishly high, even including the Niners, closer game. Mike, with Devin Singletary, Jason's start of the week sitting here at home, Ravens have a great defense through and through all the positions, but giving up 18.3 fancy points per game to the running back. Singletary has been great.
When you look at his game logs, though, you can't really bank on him getting into the end zone, at least in the rushing game. You're going to need production in the passing game, I think, to give you a nice baseline here. Do you like him for a strong matchup the way Jason does? I like him. I think I like him the way that Jason does where I don't think Jason's projecting that Devon Singletary is about to have a monster game, but he's saying...
I'm not benching Singletary against the Baltimore Ravens. Generally a matchup against the Ravens who are seventh against fantasy running backs. That is off-putting. I might look at who else do I have on my bench. Maybe I'm pivoting to someone like Jamal Williams, but I'm still starting Singletary with top 24 confidence because he's involved in all facets of the game. And he's a very, very good running back. I think Singletary can get enough done.
You are right about the touchdowns because he has to deal with something at the goal line, much like Carolina Panthers running backs used to deal with where you would see their touchdowns low because the quarterback keeps stealing them. So his upside is certainly capped, but I'm still going to play Singletary this week. Right now we have Singletary as the RB21 on the week. Mark Ingram is the RB15. I want to talk about John Brown for a second. His target counts have plummeted in the last two weeks.
In week 10, he had 11. In week 11, he had 14. The last two weeks, just four targets in each of those games. The target share has gone significantly down for John Brown, and this is not a favorable matchup. Do you like John Brown, or would you go with options like Tyler Boyd and Kenny Ghaladay? I would go with Tyler Boyd over John Brown. You can see what's happening.
When John Brown has a tougher DB matchup, and it's not necessarily that John Brown is getting shut down. It's Josh Allen is, he has pulled back from some of his ways as a rookie where he just decides that he's going to throw the ball anyways, even though every alarm in his head is saying he shouldn't throw this ball, which that's a credit. Josh Allen is one of the most improved players at the quarterback position this year. And this is another tough matchup.
for John Brown against this Raven secondary. And it's not that I'm going to force Cole Beasley into my lineup by any means. But you see games where John Brown has tough coverage. It was against Denver of Chris Harris. Dallas, their secondary is pretty strong despite what Alan Robinson just did to them.
And then Cole Beasley feast because he's the underneath guy who's running free and running open. Yeah, and they won the last two games utilizing Cole Beasley underneath and not going John Brown's way. So, yeah, I would rather pivot away from John Brown in this matchup. Josh Allen's completion percentage, thank you, Cole Beasley, has improved from 52.8% to 61.5% year over year. Okay. Closer, warmer?
It's a pretty big jump for a player that has so many other intangibles to his game. Pretty worried about Hollywood Brown. I don't think you can take a shot on him this week between Tredavius White and the ever always injured Hollywood Brown. He was added to the report again this week on Thursday, added on Thursday with an ankle injury. That's rough. He is the new Deshaun Jackson in the sense that he is a.
He's like I want to be exactly like DJs. In every way. When he's on the field, he's pretty darn good. And nobody can keep up with him speed-wise. So it's one of those where if you want to take a shot on a guy, I mean, this matchup looks bad. If he's out there. But he might not even be out there. I mean, he was added to the practice report. I'm out, man. This is why I'm not fast. I don't want to get hurt. Right.
I always say that. I know that I will not tear an ACL. Yeah. Because I cannot move. Impossible. Strong enough to tear it. All right. Mark Andrews, you got to play him. He's been your tight end all year long. And let's move on. Chargers, four and eight. Jags, four and eight. Here we are. Chargers, three point favorites in Jacksonville. It's a 43 point over under. It's a matchup between one of the most beloved quarterbacks in the NFL against one of the...
absolute most despised quarterbacks in the NFL. Would we all agree? I think you would agree the most. Gardner Minshu versus Philip Rivers, despised by Jason. And I guess probably more than just Jason. Second most interceptions in the NFL, the team has been a disappointment. I think we came into the season saying, hey, the Chargers could be a, I think before the Melvin Gordon holdout happened, you looked at their roster. Yep.
You looked at what Mike Williams did last year, what that defense represented, the return of Hunter Henry. Philip Rivers had been playing very well. And you said, Super Bowl contending team. Absolutely. And here you are at 4 and 8. So things changed quick. Jacksonville thought they had a quarterback in Nick Falls and now they're back to Gardner. I think defense is like Philip Rivers, Jay. Oh, because he's, he's very kind to them. Yeah, he gives them the ball a lot this season. That is absolutely true. So are you saying you can play the Jaguars DST this week?
They are at home against a very giving quarterback. Yes. It's just the season. I just try to avoid this game for a lot of reasons. I mean, maybe you can. I mean, Jacksonville's D's just been so shaky in certain games. I think you can try. Melvin Gordon and Fournette are both going to be in your lineup. Melvin Gordon should.
have an excellent game. He has been trending in the right direction. Now Miles Jack is out. That's another reason I wouldn't touch the Jacksonville defense. I get that. But Melvin Gordon and Austin Eckler, the run game should work perfectly fine. Jacksonville is 27th against fantasy running backs. They have completely fallen apart there. And now they're worse. So I guess I'm, you've convinced me, Andy. I'm not playing the Jags. All right. Austin Echler, you play him. Yes. Yeah.
Especially PPR dominating leagues. Keenan Allen, he scored in two straight games. Hooray. Yeah, I'm back in on Keenan. I never really left Keenan. It's more Keenan Allen's back in. He left you for a level. Yeah. No, Keenan is a weekly start. You know, we talked about this when he was in his bad stretch that he goes through.
stretches. You go back the last several years. He's like three bad games in a row, four or five great games in a row, then three bad games, then six great games. It's just weird, but it's happened for so long now. And he's in the middle of a hot street. Yeah. One of the things that's been asked a lot is, hey, with the return of Gardner Minshu versus Nick Foles, do you still have confidence in DJ chart? Well, in the context of that question directly, I do. In the context of this matchup,
I don't have as much confidence in DJ Chark as maybe you two do. Casey Hayward, he's going to face Casey in this game. One of the best corners in football. I just, I think he can get you 60 yards. I just don't know if he's going to score. I don't think there's a ceiling this week for DJ Chark. That's my concern. Do you guys completely disagree? I don't disagree at all. I actually don't like DJ Chark this week.
um not saying you should bench him outright but if you have other good options i would be willing to because if you look chart you know i i i guess i kind of disagree in the sense the chart always has the upside because of his speed and height to go catch deep long balls and have a great game but if he doesn't catch the deep long touchdowns you're really really disappointed more often than you thought he got off to such a hot
