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Main show · December 6, 2019

Week 14 Matchups + In-or-Out, It’s Garbage Time!

RSSDec 6, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Week 14 Matchups + In-or-Out, It’s Garbage Time!

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Inside the episode

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14:04 ↗

in Houston, Texans at 25 and a half points. Drew Locke. Can we lean on Drew Locke to supply Cortland Sutton with what he needs? Oh, Sutton, yeah. I think that Sutton gets. Isn't that really the only question you have then? I thought you were going to say, can we play him? Because it is technically a plus matchup against the Houston defense. No. 26 against fancy quarterbacks. And I was going to say, no, no, thank you. Even though that Drew Locke, he looked, okay, he looked better than Brandon Allen.

14:33 ↗

for the Denver Broncos offense, in my opinion, but he only had 134 yards on 28 attempts. He had two touchdowns because Cortland Sutton is a monster of a man, but no, I'm not playing him. But yes, Cortland Sutton in this matchup should get enough done. I worry that Cortland Sutton is going to hurt people in the playoffs. Just because I don't. In this matchup or you're saying in general? It's just he's not going to be great every single week.

14:59 ↗

solely because he's got a second round rookie quarterback. You know, you just talked about the yardage, right? There wasn't enough. He just happened to get two touchdowns. And I don't think Drew Locke is going to be able to sustain Cortland Sutton week in, week out as a great player. But how do you bench him? You can't. You don't. I think you have to play him. And I agree. I mean, I would play him if he's in my roster. But just statistically speaking, he's going to hurt you one of these weeks. It is possible.

15:27 ↗

But against the Chargers, an extremely difficult matchup for quarterbacks and for wide receivers. Cortland Sutton was 4 for 74 with two touchdowns. If Drew Locke is throwing 180 yards, but Cortland Sutton is getting 75 of them, I don't care. I'm still playing. There is a slight immunity to opposing defenses when you're 6-4-216. There's something that happens where you're going to just demand the target and, you know,

15:57 ↗

have the opportunity like Brandon Marshall used to do to still put up numbers in these matchups that maybe don't look as great on paper even with a bad quarterback. Drew Lock's not a play, but Sutton is kind of like Devante Parker Light at this point where he's shown you enough to me to where you just start him and that's it. He's a wide receiver 19 by consensus ranks this week. So he's not a top 10 option, but he's playable. Yeah, they don't have to be great targets for Sutton to catch it. No.

16:27 ↗

No, and we've seen kind of size rule with the Matthew Stafford, Jeff Driscoll, David Blow situation. Gallaudet's put up more good games than bad with the backups just because he's Kenny Gallaudet. So Philip Lindsay, my start of the week, Mike said we locked it in. Yeah. Texans are 26 against opposing running backs. Royce Freeman is limited. This could be pretty much entirely Philip Lindsay in the backfield.

16:56 ↗

Let's hope that's enough. I think it will be. Deshaun Watson, the very impressive win last week. He's in your lineup. So is DeAndre Hopkins. So decisions to be made for fantasy owners around Carlos Hyde and Will Fuller. Fuller last week, very impressive. Showed you what you thought you'd see more than twice this year. But can you lean on it? No, I don't think you can lean on Will Fuller. You're just...

17:23 ↗

You're playing with a low odds dice roll. You know, you're sitting here saying, okay, I'm going to roll a single die. And if I get a two, I'm happy. His latest game logs, and I know that injury is a factor because three weeks ago when he was one for six, he played on 5% of the snaps. He got hurt. But it's just a perfect snapshot of saying, okay, one for six. The next game, seven for 140, then he followed that up with one for eight. I won't be surprised at Denver.

17:53 ↗

covers this spread. I mean, it's a pretty big nine and a half points. Denver's defense is solid. I mean, it gets fantasy quarterbacks. They're fifth in the league. Wide receivers. They're sixth. Speaking to Jason's point of casting that die, I don't know if I want to throw it out there hoping for a two against the sixth ranked past defense and a secondary option for Deshaun Watson. He's always good. He's always capable of giving you the monster play, but it's kind of like rolling out Robbie Anderson in a tough matchup. Yeah. You're like, well,

18:22 ↗

Don't really want to do it. You don't really want to do it. And then same with Kenny Stills. Darren Fells always can catch a one-yard touchdown and end with two for 14 and a touchdown. That's always a possibility. What do you do with Carlos Hyde and Duke John? That's the biggest question to me are these two guys. Because when I looked at this Vegas line and I say, okay, you've got a massive home favorite, that's where you play the running back.

18:49 ↗

That's where just statistically, you know, historically, you know, historically you run the numbers and you say running backs in big wins at home always have good fantasy output. So Carlos Hyde is interesting to me. I would rather play a Carlos Hyde than an Alexander Madison hoping that something breaks his way. Hyde has been, he was obviously very bad last week against New England. It was a Duke Johnson game. That was a very specific game plan for New England, is how I view that.

19:18 ↗

Prior to that, you've got like medium to good games four weeks in a row. The Denver Broncos are not a great. They're just a middle of the pack defense against running back. So I think Carlos Hyde is a guy that you can flex and hope that he gets a lot of the, you know, clock killing work. Yeah, the volume should be there. And he's, he has looked okay this year. He hasn't, you know, I want to be like, well, he stinks, but.

19:45 ↗

The volume should be there, but he's actually looked good. So I'm not sitting here saying he's going to be a great fantasy option. But I do think you could play him over, you know, I question, okay, him or Bo Scarborough, Bo in a bad matchup. People are talking about playing Bo. I feel like I would rather have Carlos Hyde at home in a plus matchup. I can agree with that. Yeah. Yeah, I think it makes sense. Dolphins 3 and 9 taking on the Jets at 4 and 8. The Jets are 6-point favorites.

20:13 ↗

Against the vaunted dolphins. It should be an interesting game for fantasy purposes because it's just filled with, I think, opportunity for these quarterbacks. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Sam Darnold. This week, Sam Darnold at home, he's our consensus QB9. Ryan Fitzpatrick right now sitting at 16, but I think that there's some upside there too. We've seen it in recent weeks with Ryan Fitzpatrick.

20:42 ↗

Lev Bell situation. We've talked about it. He could be down with the sickness. Bilal Powell could take over. What do you do with the running backs in Miami? Oh, Patrick Laird. I mean, Kaelin Belash is now on IR. And Patrick Laird, last week, did have a touchdown. No, thank you. Not really good on the... No, thank you. The Jets defense has been pretty stout against the run. Yeah, I mean, we've played the game the entire year of

21:13 ↗

the starting dolphin running back is going to get work and it doesn't just stop. Yes, someone will touch the ball enough. But I don't even know if you're happy. Like you know how every player out there in fantasy. If they get a touchdown, you're happy. Like you had a good week. That's true? I don't know that that's true either because you've seen it a couple times with Kalin Belage and even with layered this last week where it's like, I don't think you hit double digit points even with a touchdown.

21:41 ↗

Yeah, I think Laird helps Fitzpatrick because you can only get better in the passing game at running back for Kailen Belize. Yeah, five targets. If you get, you know, Parker and Laird and Gisicki, there's opportunity there. But it's not in the way of starting Patrick Laird. I really like his line last week. He got 10 carries for five yards. Yeah. Very nice averaging half a yard of care. All of a sudden, Kalam Blage looks pretty good, doesn't he?

22:11 ↗

But he has a game. Last week, it was 4 for 43 through the air. He does have a game of 6 for 51 through the air a couple weeks ago against Buffalo. I agree. I think he helps Ryan Fitzpatrick. Far more than Kalin Belage could help in the passing game. So just more ammo for Fitzpatrick. Kalin Belage was legitimately actively hurting Ryan Fitzpatrick in the passing game because he would just drop. Eventually it became in his head because, you know, it didn't.

22:39 ↗

Kalin Blasch has a pass-catching ability coming into the year, it seemed. But goodness, he couldn't actually catch any ball thrown his way. Talk to me why you like Robbie Anderson, Mike, is your start of the week. Jameson Crowder, what do we do there? These Jets wide receivers. So for me, it's just that Robbie Anderson has been getting far more and more involved. The past three weeks, he's been usable. It was a touchdown or at least 80 yards in each of the last three weeks.

23:06 ↗

Sam Donald is also playing better. I mean, you have the correlation of these two things happening. Meanwhile, James and Crowder, his targets are still there, but the target share has gone way down for Crowder as Sam Donald has begun to lean more on Robbie Anderson. Then you have the matchup, the Dolphins 27th against Fantasy Wide receivers, and they're at home. I think that Robbie Anderson has a great shot here to have, you know,

23:36 ↗

At least, I think his floor is safe to be a top 25-ish wide receiver. And he's Robbie Anderson in a positive matchup. We've seen that turn into huge numbers. Good chance that Miami keeps up in this game, too, the way they've been playing. Jameson Cratter, can you go back to the well with those target totals? The last two weeks have both looked like massive plus matchups, but he hasn't hurt you. He's destroyed you. 73rd and 89th at the position.

24:04 ↗

I guess my question is why go back to the well? You probably have an option that doesn't have a basement of 89. I would say the reason you go back to the well is targets and known talent of Crowder. Crowder is not, I mean, I think we would all agree. You don't say James Crowder is just a bad NFL wide receiver. No. He's fine. We've seen him be successful enough. He got nine targets last week. It turned into eight yards. That makes Matthew layered look just phenomenal.

24:33 ↗

Patrick Laird? Respect the man, Jason. Sure. Patrick, I respect you. But the reality is, you know, two bad games, when the targets are still coming and you know that he's a good wide receiver in real life. Well, it was only four targets two weeks ago.

24:52 ↗

Four, yeah, two weeks ago. Last week was nine targets. But then you had the stretch run three weeks in a row where he was basically a wide receiver won every single week, never below 75 yards. I'm not sure you want to bank on, like we haven't seen multiple receivers supply fantasy owners in New York. The last two weeks of resurgence for Robbie Anderson are not, I think, coincidentally, the two trash weeks for Jameson Crowder. Right. So that's my only concern there. Would you play, Jason, Dede Westbro, who said,

25:22 ↗

Two pretty nice finishes, 25th, 13th, the last two weeks. Would you play Didi? Or would you play Jameson Crotter with the target totals? I would probably play Dedy Westbrook, but he doesn't have a great matchup. I mean, I'm not, I guess that means I'm really not excited about either of these guys. Give me Pascal. Or give me death. Gisicki and Griffin, can you play both of them? Yes. I like Gassiki more. The Jets are.

25:53 ↗

Granted, the Jets are a tougher matchup. They're fifth against fantasy tight ends, but Gassiki is, he's the number two weapon. And, like, that's locked in since... Three top five finishes in the last five weeks. Yes. So, like, now that his name is escaping me. The Dolphin who went down, Preston Williams. Oh. Since Preston Williams went down, Mike Gissiki is now the number two option. And before that, like, you saw Preston Williams and Devante Parker getting enough work that...

26:22 ↗

to be usable. So with Fitzpatrick, there's the quarterback. There's enough. There's enough ammunition for Gisickey to come through with another 6 to 7 target game. Miami has won three of their last five games, and they beat the Jets in week nine to get that first W. So we'll see what happens. I think the line is, seems a little aggressive for the Jets. I agree. I...

26:42 ↗

I think the dolphins cover that. And they're missing Jamal Adams. Yeah. The Jets are. Hey, before we move into the Ravens and Bills match, I want to thank today's sponsor. Noom! Listen to up, people getting in shape. It's not just about losing weight. It's about feeling better. You want to have more energy to keep up with the busy life. You want to fit better in those.

27:04 ↗

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27:33 ↗

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