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Main show · December 3, 2021

Week 13 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, Slush Factory - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/3

RSSDec 3, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Week 13 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, Slush Factory - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/3

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Inside the episode

146 passages
41:27 ↗

There could be a little bit of rain towards the end of this game. So to speak to your under, I could easily see that happening from a team. You know, it's not like the Steelers have been putting up a bunch of points. Two weeks ago, they did. They had, I think, like 37 points, but the bread on that sandwich was about 10 points a game. So I could see a bad game, but there are a lot of really good pieces on both sides of the ball that could also blow it up. And, you know, Deontay Johnson.

41:56 ↗

We're all playing him, right? Absolutely. Massive locked PPR guy. Chase Claypool is my start of the week. I think that he matches up perfectly against Baltimore. I agree. He's had some big plays. Naji can get it done. And so if Lamar Jackson shows up and the Baltimore Ravens offense can actually get going with Hollywood Brown, with Bateman with Mark Andrews, I could see this game being one that has a lot of fantasy potential.

42:24 ↗

And hits over. So two really clear paths for very different games in this one. So Pittsburgh, they tied the lions and they lost to the Chargers and Bengals over the last three weeks. They do play each other again in week 18. And that could be a game with significant playoff implications for Pittsburgh who are fighting for their playoff lives right now. Hollywood Brown. He's in. Devante Freeman.

42:52 ↗

I mean, I play him. The Steelers defense is not the Steelers' defense of old against running backs. The Muth is Luth. Yeah. That Friar Muth in your lineup. Until otherwise, you know, tightened. You got to keep them loose. And look, and the matchups there. You know, last six weeks, Ravens 27th against Fantasy Tide-in. So it is there. The San Francisco 49ers are six and five. They're traveling to Seattle to take on the three and eight Seahawks.

43:23 ↗

drafting sportsbook line 49ers minus three and a half over under's 46 points these two teams are going in the opposite direction seattle lost three straight san francisco has won three straight um they did play in week four seattle won the game 28 to 21 it seems like a different time in space when russell wilson was russell wilson and um right now that is the question of the game you're at home yeah you're three and eight

43:52 ↗

And do you have the confidence to start your Seahawks in this matchup? Definitely not Russell Wilson. Jason's waiting for the mojo to come back. Yeah, and the mojo, I mean... The entire running back room is awful, is not in contention. 100% agree with you. I mean, Alex Collins likely to start her again, but no, they're just, they are not getting it done. And Russell Wilson, while he ended up,

44:23 ↗

As a top 10 guy last week, number one, he needed quarterback scoring to be just bad last week. And then he needed a ridiculous last second touchdown to push himself over that threshold. And he just, he looks bad. Did you guys see Penny and Homer are practicing in full? Okay.

44:50 ↗

That makes it even worse. And they added Adrian Peterson. The running back room is completely 100% off limits. Well, to be fair, Ian Rampaport says that the addition of Adrian Peterson means that they're in win now mode. Ooh. Win now. No one has revealed the record of this team to those involved. Win now because they added.

45:15 ↗

Adrian Peterson. That was actually, that's not win now mode. That was when then mode, like way back then. DK Metcalf, there was news this morning, one of those fun little news blurbs that said, hey, we got to get that guy the ball more. So that seems smart. I did expect this. I did expect there to be a squeaky wheel on the way because it's been three weeks. And he's had the three kind of worse.

45:47 ↗

weeks in a row of his entire career. And so, you know, I don't know if this comes from him in the back room saying, hey, get me the ball, or if this just comes from them watching film and saying, we need to get him the ball, but it is a good sign that they need to get him the ball. And they need to just bench Gerald Everett so that they can, if he's too tempting. Yes, it's like, Russ, stop it. Stop throwing to Gerald Everett. I know he's big and you might think that's D.K. Metcalf, but he's not. The numbers are different.

46:12 ↗

Throw it to D.K. Metcalf. And I think he's just confused. I think Russ is thinking he's throwing it to D.K. McCaff. I'm playing D.K. Metcalfe reluctantly, realizing I could have a bad game. But he is a massive superhuman out there. Tyler Lockett, you can throw in your lineup as well. It's really in this game, the story is Elijah Mitchell to me. Elijah Mitchell is going to dominate. I mean, the Seahawks have been so bad against running backs. So bad.

46:42 ↗

The whole season, they're the second worst. The last six-week sample, they're the second worst in the league. And here comes Elijah Mitchell off of 32 touches last week, looking great, a run game that's getting going on a three-win in a row 49ers team. I think they're going to come out, and they are going to say you Seahawks don't get the ball at all. We're going to control the clock. It's possible. I think this game hits the under, and I think Elijah Mitchell,

47:12 ↗

again has 30 touches. Let me ask you this question. Are you willing to drop Jeff Wilson and move on and find somebody else? Yes, in as much as I'm willing, if there's another more important piece, but he is an insurance policy. Yes. And he is a, he's like adding Chuba Hubbard in previous weeks or Sony Michelle or that category. Exactly. And, you know, if you had Alexander Madison before Cook got injured, you're happy.

47:41 ↗

Obviously, Jeff Wilson was bad and his one opportunity to play that role, but he was still coming off of injury, and more time is only better. Debo Samuel is listed as doubtful he won't play in this game. George Kittal, Brandon Ayuk, they will carry the load in the receiving game. I yuk is a strong start. Yes, he is to me. The matchup, I get it. It says otherwise, you know, Seahawks technically third best against fancy wide receivers are the past six weeks.

48:09 ↗

But because they've been getting killed by the running backs and tight ends. But he's still, last year, when Debo was out, Brandon Ayuk targeted on 28% of his routes. Like Iyuk will see. And he's been playing much better football. Absolutely. George Kittle has averaged eight targets a game against Seattle. He has somehow never scored a touchdown against them.

48:31 ↗

But it has never been a touchdown score. I mean, he did this year for the first time of his career, like a touchdown in back to back to back games. I think his career high is like five touchdowns. You are correct. His career high is five touchdowns. That's crazy. So you're right. He's not been. And I didn't even realize it was that low. Sunday night football. The Denver Broncos at six and five take on the seven and four Kansas City Chiefs. This one lines up to be more interesting than I thought it was going to be earlier in the year because.

49:01 ↗

Denver, if they win this game, they're going to have the same record as the Chiefs. Crazy. The Chiefs are nine and a half point home favorites, however, and the overrunner is 47.5 points. The Chiefs are also playing well. They've won four straight games. However, their games have hit the under and five of six. So they have been, you know, the Broncos impressed me last week. They slowed down the Chargers after the charges had a big week, and they won a ball game that they needed to win. This division is tight.

49:27 ↗

Raiders are 6 and 5, Broncos are 6 and 5, and the Chiefs are 7 and 4. So all four teams above 500. That's wild. Yeah, the Chiefs, you brought it up under and 5 of the last 6th. They often do not cover the spread, but they win close games. So I still think Kansas City wins this. I like Clyde Edwards-Alaire in this game. I think he's going to be the lead guy, and the Denver Broncos have a very good pass defense.

49:56 ↗

you can run on them. So I'm confident to start Clyde Edwards O'Lear as my running back to on a week. And obviously the other three pieces for Kansas City, you're never going to bench no matter any matchup or any situation. Mahomes Hill and Kelsey. Yeah. On the other side, Teddy Bridgewater, it's been a weird year. Sometimes he implodes. Other times he seems capable of doing what this team needs him to do, which is they want to play good defense.

50:25 ↗

They want to run the football with Giovante's Inferno and Melvin Gordon. Oh. It's time. It's maybe. Maybe. No, you get out of here. We will speak this into existence. Melvin Gordon is 50-50 to come in and be 50-50 on carries. And so if he's out, we'll get to see a serious load for Javante Williams. That's what Jerry Jones would say. As Jerry Jones would say. Yes, of course.

50:55 ↗

But outside of that, it's actually a really tough situation to start anybody because the wide receivers, you know, what do you do? Jerry Judy has been very disappointing. Incredibly disappointing. Like Cortland Sutton has vanished. All Jerry Judy did was ruin Cortland Sutton. But he was supposed to ruin Cortland Sutton by inserting himself into the picture and saying, look how good I am. Instead, all he's done is just ruin everything.

51:25 ↗

I mean, the last few weeks, I mean, you have all of these guys finishing outside the top 50. So just don't play them. Yeah. Last week, oh my goodness. Against the Chargers. A game they won, 28 to 13. Cortland Sutton was the 81st ranked wide receiver. But wait. Jerry Judy was the 68th ranked wide receiver. But wait. Tim Patrick was the 66th ranked wide receiver. Yeah.

51:55 ↗

I mean, Noah Fant is in consideration. I want to ask, what do you do with Noah Fant? He is, he's all over the place of two weeks ago. Great matchup against Philadelphia comes out. He's a top 12 guy, five for 59. Last week, it gets the Chargers. Another great spot for a tight end, three for 12.

52:19 ↗

Noah Fant or Logan Thomas? Oh, Logan, easy. I would play Foster Morrow. I think I would play Foster Morrow, too. What did you go to? That's a hard one. Would you go to James O'Shaughnessy? No. I don't think so. Noah Fant has at least shown that he can give you some weeks that matter. Some week that matter. Yes. All right, Monday Night Football, the Patriots, 8 and 4 taking on the bills. Another really fun game. This is going to be a...

52:44 ↗

Bad weather game. Yes, it is. It'll, yeah, projected. Vils are right now three-point favorites. The over-under is just 42 points. And then... That might be too high. And then the weather. So I was on a local radio this morning, and we were talking about Josh Allen. How do you bench Josh Allen? Also, how do you not bench Josh Allen? The matchup is horrific against New England.

53:15 ↗

The weather is horrific. Temps below freezing, 20 mile per hour sustained wins. I'm not saying you do. I basically said if I had someone like Kirk Cousins, I might consider it. Otherwise, you're playing them. But this game could be a real true one of those weekly, ugly, horrific games. Two great defenses. Yeah, I mean, the way that you find the path to success is probably the Taysome Hill Jalen Hertz path. It's, you know, last week, Josh Allen ran the ball eight times.

53:43 ↗

for 43 yards. You know we can get into the end zone around the goal line. You're going to need some of that. Yeah. And you're going to need to survive a defense. I mean, you look at these two teams on the year and over the last six weeks, and they just keep doing the same thing, which is shutting down everybody. I mean, the Patriots, number one against quarterbacks and wide receivers over the last six weeks. That's okay. The bills are number two against quarter of course. Yeah. And so you don't really have confidence in the passing game. You never, you're not going to bench Stefan Diggs. Correct. But I think you should.

54:12 ↗

Probably benched the other past catchers. Maybe not Dawson Knox. I mean, because of your options, it tied in. Yeah, but Sanders and Beasley are out. No, thank you. I'm out on that. What do you do with the running back situation? We don't know if Zach Moss will be inactive again. Like that's still up in the air. I think he probably will be. I think he probably will be as well. But let's say you've got Devin Singletary, who.

54:41 ↗

is at least volume-wise is an okay play. And it will be a slush factory, so hopefully he can hold on to the ball. I've ever heard that quite put that way. And you did have Hilliard and DeOte Foreman have some good weeks against them last week. Yeah. And like on the season and over the last six weeks, 18th. That's what the Patriots are against fantasy running back. So if there's any points, score it on the Patriots, that's where it is. Do you like them more than Brita?

55:10 ↗

I do, I think he'll get more volume. I agree with that. But the question is, do you take that risk going into Monday night with what already looks like a bad situation for everyone involved? If Zach Moss is active, now everything is completely screwed up and you would have already missed your opportunity for a Sunday running back. Yeah, I mean, you might not have the choice, obviously. If you do have the choice, I would.

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