Good Vibes, Bad Vibes + ADP Price Check

Well, first he said he hasn't been 100% since he was born. Yes, I'm glad that you are aware of that part of it. But then he basically said, look, he's like 80, 85%. The injury that he's dealing with is going to persist in and through the season. And look, Doug Baldwin's not likely to be 100% at all this year. Whether that means he's going to be a contributing fantasy member to your team or not, and to what degree, look, it's not good. It's not good to me.

No, and now, so let's take a look at the value currently of Doug Baldwin because I was with Jason. I like, I like that he was dropping. I was going to buy in for Doug Baldwin in the middle of the third. But now we're looking at him on fantasy football calculator at the 306, but he is currently sandwiched between T.Y. Hilton and Adam Thielen. And so Jason, as the.

The man who was all about you or bowdy-boughty-boughty. That Doug Baldwin injured life. T.Y. Hilton, Adam Thielen would both be selected over Doug Baldwin as of this moment. I mean, you can't ignore the news. I have been constantly like, yes, I mean, we get just nonstop tweets. How'd I do? And I see Baldwin in the fourth.

very frequently. In the fourth round, I think... In home weeks, he could drop further. I think at that point, you know, if you're taking him, if you're going to ask me, okay, Josh Gordon and his upside or Doug Baldwin, I'm still taking Doug Baldwin without a doubt. But if you've got other great options, you know, like what I see in T.Y. Hilton, he's a perennial top 10 wide receiver with Andrew Luck, then, yeah, I'm going to take the other great options over Baldwin for fear of the knee.

All right, well, we'll talk a little bit more about that. Let's go ahead and get into, uh... Oh, we got some hype train? Oh, you wanted to mention the trade? No, I wanted to mention the big piece of news that broke if you haven't watched Hard Knocks. I'm never going to stop this. If you haven't to watch Hard Knocks, the big piece of breaking news for me was Namegate continues. Oh. Yeah, how do we deal with this, Mike? Because, look.

I want to get someone's name right. Yes. That's important to me. I want to respect you. Is it Tyrod? Is it Turrod? Yeah, we had been saying, Corey, Clement. Yeah. And so we're fixing it. Yeah. I take great respect in getting your name right. And then, so everyone had made the switch to Tarad. Yeah. Even on Hard Knocks, the announcer called him Tarad.

But then Tyrod went into the press conference and said, hey, my name is Tyrod. So I don't even know what to do anymore. I think if he is saying, I think we go back. I think we have to go back to Tyrod. I think it's Tyrod. Official stamp. Okay. Tyrod Taylor. He said it. Yeah. So he said Paul is Tyrod. It's his fault. It's his fault. I just, I don't know what to do. My head is spinning. He's been Tyron for years. Everywhere.

Then you get all thrown into a tizzy, and then he calls himself Tyrod. We just stay there. All right, we're going back. We got enough Cameras and Clements to worry about. We don't need to work. Tarad, Tarad, Tyrod, we got it. We got you, buddy. I will only switch to Tarad if he calls me, comes on the show and tells me to. Okay. All right. He's Tyra. The invitation is open, Mr. Taylor. All right, let's talk about some preseason lessons. Guys, this is going to be kind of.

open discussion, open debate. We'll take a turn each to kind of talk about the things that we are pulling out of the preseason. What are the good vibes? What are the bad vibes? And we'll start with the good vibes. And we'll start with a player that I have disparaged. Less on the player level, more on the team level. But I have to acknowledge good vibes.

And that is Kenyon Drake. Oh, yes. And the capstone of those good vibes came this morning when Adam Gay said, look, ideally in a perfect world, he's getting 15 to 20 rushes. Yes. And a handful of receptions per game. And look, I don't like the Miami situation. I don't think they're a great team. I have seen great talent from Drake in the preseason. He's been an explosive player. He's...

overcome the offensive line, reverse field, gone the other direction, been dynamic out of the backfield. If Adam Gase means what he says, it means a lot for fantasy owners, right? Yes. I truly believe that it does. The thing about Kenyon Drake's talent is... I got a Drake, man. That's like a dragon. Yeah. Oh, yeah. All right. Is the offensive line is, well, it remains to be seen.

But what I know about Canyon Drake is if an opportunity arises in a play and there actually is a crease for him to go to, he's going to find it. And he's going to break off a big play. Well, and this is not, here's the thing about Drake that I have to acknowledge. This is not an Isaiah Crowell situation where you hype up Crowell before last year, but then the team doesn't get a lot of offensive plays and they don't get a lot of opportunities.

in the lead to give him first and second down work. Drake is going to work on third down. Right. And so he's more matchup proof, game script proof. Now, he's not injury proof. That hasn't been his history. And he's not Frank Gore proof. And that could still be a problem. But the vibes, the vibes right now are very positive for Kenyon Drake. So I want to bring that out there. And I know Jason, you've been.

You started the offseason as a Drake fan. You acknowledge the complications that exist in that backfield with Gore, Belage, team, etc. But Drake, the vibes are good. Yeah, and the preseason has, you know, look, I know that they have rested Frank Gore, so we haven't really seen that split. But what we did see this preseason was Drake full on same player as second half of last year. He was dominating for fantasy football.

Eventually, as a coach, you have to go, this player gives me the best chance to win. And I don't always assume that coaches are going to make the right decision. I think that's important. You have to look at their own history and realize that they might not have the same eyes that you have. But when it is this large, when the gap is, okay, you have a player who's dominating left, right, and center.

and you're an offensive-minded coach that has a history of capitalizing on your weapons like Adam Gase does, I now believe he will get the work. And I've said from the get-go, if he gets the work, if he gets over 200 carries, he's a top 12 running back. Well, Adam Gase wants to play fast. He wants to have an offense that's out there getting, they want to be at the top half of the league in plays drawn. Now, you want a lot of things, and you may not get them, but that's the ambition. It really puts a damper on...

on pulling the lever and getting triple sevens at the Bellagio. Yeah. If Kenyon Drake is out there. Kalin Blige will only benefit and have an opportunity if there's injury ahead of him. I've seen every draft I've been a part of this year, Frank Gore has dropped tremendously. I don't think anybody wants to drop or wants to draft him because they know that the ceiling there isn't high. Another good vibe I want to bring forward, it's the Tyree Kilpat Mahomes. Oh.

Connection. Now, they have a hard schedule to start the year. We've talked about it. But, boy, when you have speed, you've seen this with Goodwin, okay? There's similarities between Tyree Kill and Markey's Goodwin in size and in speed. When you have speed and then you evolve as a route runner, it changes the game for your quarterback. And Tyreek Hill has the take the top off speed and...

ends up always open. I mean, he's been a number one read all offseason long. And ultimately, Pat Mahomes has fallen in love with him. And assuming he can stay healthy, the vibes are very, very good for Tyreek Hill in less than a half, eight for 88 the other day with a carry. You know, you get the Percy Harvin-esque carrier to a game from Tyreek Hill on top of big playability, touchdown ability.

And if he becomes that possession guy for Pat Mahomes, he's a top 10 candidate. Yeah, and to kind of just pair with that, you mentioned it, but Pat Mahomes has just impressed the heck out of me this preseason from the vantage point of fantasy football. He is utilizing his weapons when he's out there with Kelsey and Hill and...

You know, even in the running game with Hunt, I mean, Pat Mahomes is going to be putting up fantasy points. I've moved him to where he's almost a QB1 now for this coming season. I mean, it's, I don't love his early season schedule, but I really am a believer in Pat Mahomes. And I'm also jealous, Andy, that you have him now in Dynasty. I also have him in our league of record. Diving into his reception.

Data provided by Matt Harmon for the ultimate draft kit in the sample last year. He had a 70% contested catch conversion rate, which is tremendous. And here's why Tyreek Hill currently cannot be guarded. He posted a 93rd percentile. So mathematically, extremely good success rate against press coverage. If you can't stop Tyreek Hill at the line,

You have little to no chance of actually guarding him. 14 receptions, 182 yards in a touchdown in the preseason. Pat Mahomes has gone 31 for 43 for 367 yards and two touchdowns in the preseason. The vibes are good in Kansas City. So we'll move on to some other good vibe candidates from my compadres. But first I want to thank NFL game pass. If you want to go watch Tyreek, light the world on fire.

It's very easy with NFL Game Pass. Top rookies, all the comeback players. You want to check out Kirk Cousins, whether he can take the Vikings up another level, whether Jordy Nelson will fit in in the Raiders wide receiver core and help Derek Carr become that top 12 guy. I think he can be. You want to watch a little Baker Mayfield? Oh, I do. On NFL Game Pass. Look, I'm excited for the season. We all are. And NFL Game Pass makes it simple and easy.

Especially if you're out of market to watch whatever game you want. We've been going through reviewing the tape for this preseason lessons show. It's all through game pass. They have condensed games, which makes it very, very quick in the preseason to go through and see all the main reps from the main guys. And best of all, you can kick off the 2018 NFL season with a seven-day free trial of NFL game pass. All you have to do is sign up now at NFL.com slash fantasy footballers. That's it. Game on.

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They were, you know, last year's, if you knew this season to fantasy football or you weren't listening last year, last year's rookie tight-in class was one of the best rookie tight-in classes in a long time. Now, we saw the breakout of Evan Ingram, but you might have forgotten about how good David and Joku was, how good O.J. Howard was. First round tight-ins? Those guys, the three of them, this was like a generational class for a position.