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Main show · March 3, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - #FootClan Mailbag Episode, Dynasty, Keeper, Commish Questions

RSSMar 3, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - #FootClan Mailbag Episode, Dynasty, Keeper, Commish Questions

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Inside the episode

127 passages
40:39 ↗

Yeah, I would probably dump one of the... You're not just saying just add a tight-in, no. No, I'm saying take out one of the two extra flexes. Oh, I would take out one of the three wide receiver tight-in combos and make it a dedicated tight-end and keep the two flexes. If you want a deep league, I'm all for that. That makes the game tougher. That makes you have to know your stuff even more. I agree. So one quarterback, two running backs, two of those wide-receiver tight-in flex.

41:08 ↗

a tight end, and then two flex. All right, Jesse in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada. Uh, conichua. Hey, guys, listen to every show. I get two keepers forever, no round penalties. Forever. It's a 12-team non-PPR. My no-brainer is Antonio Brown. I need to choose between Alan Robinson and Rawls. Do I go into next year stacked at wide receiver, or do I balance them out and take Rawls? I don't know if we can answer this right now.

41:35 ↗

I think that I would take Rawls when you have Antonio Brown. That's exactly how I feel, but you have to wait and see what Seattle does to know is Rawls really there as the number one. If they come back... Give me the odds that Rawls is worthy of a first round pick in your head right now today. It is March 3rd. 70% for Jason. I would go around the 70% percentile.

42:03 ↗

But let's say for Alan Robinson, what do you think of Alan Robinson? Is he worth the first round pick? No. I would say no. Really? Yeah, I think he's on the bubble. He's going to be drafted there. Okay, that's fair. He's on the bubble. And we always say granted win now. Completely agree with that. But let's just think in just a two-year window for this. The percentage chance that Thomas Rawls is worth a first or second round pick.

42:31 ↗

next year compared to Alan Robinson. That's tough. That's tough. I would say the odds are higher for Robinson. Yeah, I agree. At his age where he's out with the quarterback position, I didn't get to answer it, but I would say my odds of Rawls being worthy of a first-round picker, around 85%. Yeah, and that's about where I'm out right now. He says he's drafting 12th overall, which means... Better wide receiver spot, probably.

42:55 ↗

Exactly. It's going to be more difficult to find a running back there with two keepers already gone and then 11 picks. Because people who do the same strategy, they're going to go, okay, now I've got to get that running back in those first 11 picks. So I think you're going to end up keeping Rawls here. But that's a great. Wait as long as you can. Wait as long as you can. Today, it would be the two wide receivers for me. That's fair. Yeah. Bob in Valhalla. Yeah. I own Javorious Allen. Is this MedMex? Yeah.

43:22 ↗

Javarius? Well, what do you can, what can you expect from Javaris Allen moving forward? Mike, you weren't here to embrace all that is Trent Richardson's rumored signing with Baltimore. But what can you expect from Buck? Because honestly, the signing, if for some reason they bring in another guys to compete with Tali Afaro and Forset, it doesn't speak ill of Buck Allen to me. It speaks more about what they really project Forset to be able to contribute for the rest of his career.

43:51 ↗

Not that I expect Richardson to make the team. But that being said, what is Buck Allen? Because he's going to be talked about a lot. Buck Allen is the poor man's Giovanni Bernard. And that is all he... For next year. And that, I think... For his career. I think that's all he will ever be. I agree. Who's the rich man's Giovanni Bernard? Oh, okay. Just making sure. Mike M. in Rhode Island. In Rhode Island. Hey, guys, longtime Foot Clan member. Right on.

44:20 ↗

I've withstood multiple championships, including a back-to-back title defense thanks to you guys. Excellent. That's thanks to you. Tremence. However, a title alludes me in one league. Oh, no. You've got to get the complete. Yeah. Sweep. Sweep, yeah. I like to stream quarterback in my other league, but this league allows only 10 add drops for the season. Boom. How would you approach quarterback there? I can tell you.

44:47 ↗

I can as well. I think you guys will both disagree with me. Oh, let's have it. I would draft a pair of them. I would draft a pair of quarterbacks late. That is exactly what I would do. I would take two guys late. Here's what I would do. I would wait, and then I would draft a pair of quarterbacks. I completely agree that's exactly what I would do. I would half do what you're saying. I like drafting two quarterbacks when you can't make...

45:12 ↗

moves because quarterbacks are so so great to play based on the matchup and the defense are going up against. But I'm going to look in those middle-ish late rounds for a value. So if in the sixth round, Russell Wilson drops there. Oh, I know that's, yeah, okay. I mean, right now he's going at.

45:33 ↗

the end of the fifth. So if impossible things are going to happen, then, yeah. You'd go with the impossible things. No, he's going at the end of the fifth. I'm saying if he drops a few spots. He'll go in the fourth round. Or higher. But I can agree with that. My point is, if you are in those middle, normally here's where I sit on the quarterback position. You would let those go more. I let those go. Hey, a guy should have gone around to go. I can get him here. I don't care because the difference between him and someone else, you know, late and what I'm in a stream doesn't bother me.

46:02 ↗

But if I'm in those middle rounds and I think that there's a guy who's got the potential to do great things like Russell Wilson or maybe a Big Ben or Drew Brees, and they should have been drafted two rounds ago, I'm going to snatch them up there, grab another quarterback league. Either way, you've got to save those 10 moves for injuries and terrible things happening. But if I'm in this league, you give me Philip Rivers and Tony Romo two thumbs up.

46:31 ↗

Yes, sir. Derek Carr and Phillip River, something like that. All right. Mike in Wilmet, Illinois. Oh, wait. It's said it's only three point per passing touchdown. So it's even, they're even devalued more. Yeah. Russell? Wilson. You might be right about that. Illinois. I can keep one of these, Alan Robinson and everybody's got Alan Robinson keeper decisions. I've noticed that. It's because they listened to our show last year. And all of our mail bag. And we had everybody draft Alan Robinson. I can keep one of these, Alan Robinson in the fifth, cooks in the seventh.

47:01 ↗

I've written the 12. Leaning A, Rob, what he thinks the best value? Thanks, guys. Keep up the good work. I believe the right decision here is Alan Robinson, despite the value for Cooks. It's not much of a difference when you're going to 5. If this was Robinson in the 3 and Cooks in the 7th, I would think about it. It would go Cooks that way. But I'm taking Robinson. Yeah, I think I'm a little closer than you are on leaning, on thinking Cooks is there.

47:26 ↗

But if this was my own team and I have to pull the trigger, I would keep Alan Robinson. Alan Robinson. Land of the fish throwers is the name of the question asker. From Seattle. In Seattle. The land of the fish throwers in Seattle. Okay. All right. Hey guys. Love the podcast. Brought me a ship last year despite some epic whoopsies in my draft. You do not win championships in the draft. And we all love draft season.

47:55 ↗

I will say this 100,000 times more. I said it all last year. Look, draft's important. You can lose some things in the draft, but you don't win your championship at the draft week. See, I thought you were going to say you do not want epic whoopsies in your draft. Well, that's also true. We all make them. Yeah, we do. My question is this. You mean like when Jason trades for Fred Jackson before he's cut? You don't win the championship at the draft.

48:22 ↗

My question is this. Whenever I mock draft on fantasy draft wizard.com, my starting lineup ends up rating very poorly, while my bench is usually first or second. Anyways, I feel like it's a decent starting lineup, but fantasy draft wizard.com vehemently disagrees. Oh, you are right, land of the fish throwers.

48:45 ↗

That is almost always... That don't matter. Every single time that I do a mock draft on fantasydraft wizard.com, that is almost always how my lineup turns out. It is... Don't worry about it. Not ranked very high. Sometimes my bench is ranked great. The thing is, we're going with who we believe is best. If you want to have the best, if you want to have the best score...

49:06 ↗

Just draft who it recommends every single time as the highest ADP. It's a computer. And then it'll say, oh, you drafted like perfect. That's right. I would prefer my ranking to be won at the end of the season in my actual league. That's the ranking I care about the most. It's hard, right? We're all...

49:23 ↗

list makers and evaluators, and we want to hear people say, bravo, well done, good sir. You've drafted like a, even us. We see those. At the end of our mocks the other day, we all compared to each other anyways. What the ranking says? I thought I have a killer team and then I look. It's like, you did eighth best. And you're like, no, I did not. And then you won the Twitter poll. There you go. So there you go.

49:48 ↗

But don't let that sway you. Yahoo does the same thing. Even when you do your actual draft, they all give you report cards and things like that. Just say, I don't care. I don't care about what you say computer. I care about how my team finished. Print it out and put it on your wall is built. Bullets and board material. Yeah, exactly. Send it to us at the end of the year. Or send, better yet, tweet Yahoo at the end of the year and say, I just won my title and I was ranked eight. Suck it. AJ in Boston, $200 budget auction league. Keep one of two.

50:18 ↗

Is that right? Keep one out of two. And after three years, the price goes up five, after three years. Okay. After three years, it goes up five bucks per year. David Johnson for a buck Robinson for five dollars. Do we have the music? For. You know what music I'm talking about. I don't know if we have that possibility or not. Not in this stage? I'm sorry. Are you talking about the one you just made? You can sing it. No, it's David Johnson. David.

50:46 ↗

Oh, I don't have that music. That's what I was referring to. Oh, well, sorry. I don't have it. Oh, this is... Yeah, it's definitely David Johnson. David Johnson. Okay. For a buck. Matt in Twinsburg, Ohio, what round should Jordan Reed be picked? Ooh. Is he a top six? Top six rounds, yes. Yes. He is definitely a top six round. For me... He is worth...

51:11 ↗

He's worth a chance in your league. He can make such a difference. And people, they're scared about his injury history. And yeah, I will agree that his is a little deeper than most, especially when it comes to concussions. You don't want to screw around with concussions because he could be knocked out. However, here's Jordan Reed in a standard league, weeks 10 to 16. He was the number one, tight end.

51:41 ↗

By over 20 fantasy points. I mean, like, that's over Rob Gronkowski. That's including Gronk, yeah. Just think about the way people evaluated risk with Rob Gronkowski returning from injury. That evaluation of risk was, is he a first round pick? It wasn't, is he not going to be drafted? Jordan Reed belongs probably going to be higher on my board than a lot of other people because I'm willing to take that injury risk for the upside that it represents. He has been, he was fairly healthy.

52:10 ↗

last year. He got it going and the report, assuming Cousins comes back, the rapport is great. I love Jordan Reed. I probably won't have Jordan Reed on any of my teams because for me, I will take him without a, without hesitation at my fourth pick. Or if it was late, late in the third, I know I've got another pick, a couple picks away. Because I want three good stud guys. If I take with my second. As opposed to the number one tight in.

52:38 ↗

Well, no, but I'm saying because of his injury risk. So stud meaning... At the position of tight end that I don't think is so necessary to have, I would say, I would rather get wide receivers and quarterbacks with my first three picks. Wide receivers in quarterbacks? Wide receivers and running backs. Yeah, I want two or three quarterbacks with my first two or three picks. I feel like we'll back roll right into the Antonio Brown risk aversion debate if we start getting...

53:08 ↗

too far into that because I feel like... So what round do you draft Jordan Reed? Third round. Okay, so... Really? You're third, I'm fourth. Yeah. Yeah, I don't see... If people are drafted in Robyn Caskey in the one, which I won't be doing, I'm happy taking a shot at the guy who's going to be right there neck and neck with him, potentially, in the third round. I really am. If I start my draft and I've got, you know, two running backs in those first two rounds, I'm...

53:34 ↗

I'm going to hesitate quite a bit on going Jordan Reed in the next round, but he's in that consideration for me. Yeah, I think there's a difference between Gronk and Reed when it comes to what we've seen them do through their career. And that's why there's the difference between the first and third round. And I will say this, just another piece of strategy I think that fantasy players should live by. Like we say here, we don't advocate the early round quarterback.

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