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Main show · March 3, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - #FootClan Mailbag Episode, Dynasty, Keeper, Commish Questions

RSSMar 3, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - #FootClan Mailbag Episode, Dynasty, Keeper, Commish Questions

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Inside the episode

127 passages
26:53 ↗

He didn't have a good year. He was especially inefficient in the red zone, and that killed him. They didn't target Julio a lot there. Julio had many weeks where he was dominating reception total-wise, yards-wise, but didn't score. So will Matt Ryan bounce back. Matt Ryan will bounce back. The reason I say that is because you have one, two, three, four years in a row where he's thrown for over 4,500 yards, including this last year. His completion percentage is fine.

27:23 ↗

His attempts are fine. The whole difference was touchdowns. Last year he threw 21 touchdowns. He hasn't thrown 21 touchdowns or less since his rookie year, which was a long time ago. He usually throws 28, 26, 32, 29, 28. Those are all the years before it. I don't see him throwing 21 again this year. I think he'll bounce back. He'll probably be a good...

27:47 ↗

value-type candidate. That being said, he is one of those guys that's very lukewarm when he's good. He's not going to go out there and win you weeks with monster games. I would rather stream guys that I can go, okay, this guy plays nuts at home, and he's against the super porous defense. I would probably play that guy over Matt Ryan in general. Most weeks, yeah. It's like Maddie room temperature? Right.

28:14 ↗

Well, we just talked on the last show on Tuesday, if you didn't hear, about the possibility of Mohammed Sunou or Marvin Jones, or there were even rumors about Travis Benjamin. If they can find another viable passing weapon for him to mix in with Julio Jones and Devante Freeman, who I think we all agree will be a passing weapon for them this next season, you could see an improvement on those numbers. I completely agree with that. So we're up to Nick in Winnipeg. Bonjour.

28:43 ↗

Thank you. I was waiting for you. I was over here trying to remember Justin Hardy's name. Yeah. Oh, yeah. It was escaping. Second year for Mr. Hardy. Could he take a step? So Nick in Winnipeg says since the majority of people think Tyler Eifford is a higher tier tight end and don't think he is TD dependent, how do you think shopping him now so far from the draft would be beneficial since I'm sure his stat line spoken about in August? Hmm.

29:09 ↗

Also, what tier of wide receiver or what round pick do you think you could get you? I do agree with your assessment that he will be valued in that top tier, and I understand the fact that if he repeats his tight-in performance, he'll be worthy of that pick. I think what they're asking is, do you think his value is higher right now, or will his value be higher in August come draft season? In August come draft season.

29:37 ↗

That would be the case I made. I think I made this case. But why would it be lower now? Supply and demand. Essentially, there is just not enough people right now who are caring and riled up for fantasy football. Obviously, everyone listening to this show is, the person writing in is, but he's going to find that his league mates, maybe he's got one guy that's really interested, maybe two. But you come August?

30:01 ↗

You're going to have 10 trading partners. You're going to be able to float something out there that has just more demand for your supply. So I would say that's the better time personally. There's definitely an ebb and flow to the value of guys and picks over the offseason of a guy like Tyler Eifford, who right now is valued.

30:28 ↗

wherever, you know, like wherever his line is, over the summer and towards draft season, I agree, him doing absolutely nothing, his value will change. So it's heavily dependent on your league, what tier of player could you get? Once again, that's up to your league mate, so we don't know how highly they value him. You should, you should value Eifford.

30:53 ↗

as a higher-end tight end, don't sell him for anything less. Well, I think, hold on, to your point, Jason, you're contending then that the narrative about Tyler Eiffert in the, I guess in the expert discussions is going to be that he belongs in that top tier. Yes. Because if you didn't, then if you thought people were going to come on board with our thought that he's a little TD dependent.

31:20 ↗

then people would be off of him later on. I mean, I think there's no perfect answer for that. If you have a guy that's really interested in him right now, shop him right now. Absolutely. That's why I was going to frame the question of do we think, you know, just do we think his value is going to be higher or lower later on next year? I think his value, his average draft position for where he would be drafted now versus where he's going to be drafted come August, I think it will also be higher. I think the community is going to be.

31:48 ↗

Really excited for Tyler Eifer and they're going to want to sneak him. You want to know why you're right? You're right? You're right because Marvin Jones will be gone. Yeah. And that narrative will help carry it on too. Okay, you lost another passing weapon. And Sanoo could be gone. And Sanoo could be good. So you're right. I think his value will go up personally. All right. Eric and the injury, you know, he had an injury at the end of the year. Even Dalton coming back, they'll both be healthy. Well, he'll be a lot of hype. In the Pro Bowl, right? Yeah. Yeah.

32:12 ↗

Eric in Jacksonville, North Carolina. Hey guys, I'm in a standard two running back, two wide receiver, one flex, $200 auction league that allows three keep keep Gurley for $23 bucks, Rolls for 11, Langford for 11. Wouldn't make sense to keep Amari for 27 instead of one of those running backs, right? Thanks for keeping the show going year round. You're welcome. So you get three keepers, so he's just deciding, does Cooper belong in the conversation, or does he just run forward with Gurley Rawls and Langford?

32:41 ↗

Cooper absolutely belongs in the conversation of, so it's 2-21 is the player format. I would move forward with the three running backs personally. What about you, Jason? Name-wise, he is 100% in the conversation, but value-wise, that breaks the tie. So I would as well go with Gurley Rawls and Langford. I don't feel the need, you save that extra $16 and buy a better wide receiver with it.

33:11 ↗

See, I think Amari Cooper is going to be great. I think he's going to be an elite-level wide receiver. And both... We need a Donald Trump drop of. He's going to be huge. Both Rawls-Langford tremendous value, tremendous questions for both of them. And so to me, it's Gurley Cooper and...

33:39 ↗

one of those Rawls or Langford. That's how I would do it. All are good values, but I just like the value of the three running backs better. All right. Yeah, that's fine. Dan, Dan the mailman in DCUSA. Last year, the no running back rule unless you drafted. Zero RB. Yeah, the zero RB rule. Unless you drafted AP seemed to be the way to go. If that's the same way to lean going into the 2016 draft, take wide receivers high, which means...

34:08 ↗

taking more chances on running backs in the fifth or below rounds, grabbing hopeful starters, et cetera, PPR Keeper League. Oh, this is the question of the offseason. Yeah, I'm not a big fan of the zero-rb theory. Now, the zero-rb theory is essentially you take wide receivers for your first, you know, four picks, four-five picks. You don't take a running back until late.

34:29 ↗

and then you get a ton of running backs with potential. The theory is as the season moves on, running backs get more injured, some of these guys grow, and so you're getting the best value over your draft. It can win. You can win a championship with that theory. Last year we knew coming in, it was a pretty decent year to try it. I think this year, it is also a good year for it because the top end of this draft with running backs has a lot of question marks. All of that said, I'm still not going to do it personally.

34:58 ↗

Because I think you have to have just so many things hit your way for that to win. If you like that theory, it's a good year to do it. Do it. But I'm going to stick to my standard way. Yeah, there's at least a few running backs. Peterson, Gurley, David Johnson. So those three guys are their first round picks for me.

35:26 ↗

Now, that seems low of the amount of compared to, you know, like three of 12. Right now I'm guaranteeing that those three are worth the first round pick to me. But you don't put Rawls in that category? I don't know yet. Right, right. I'm just saying as of right now at the beginning of March. Wait, you only have three? Yeah. Wait, who are you missing out? Levi-on Bell, Adrian Peterson, David Johnson. Oh, Bell, yeah. Okay, Bell. Well, Jamal Charles. Even Bell, both Bell and Charles.

35:53 ↗

We assume they will be back. Charles, I think Charles is more likely to be ready at the beginning of the season than Levi-on-Bel. We could, like, Levi-on-Bel, I think I could be wrong about this, but I'm pretty confident that he has the same injury that Breschard Perman is dealing with. Breschard Perman is still not cleared. Yeah, but Breschard Perman is also 43 years old. Levy on Bell is a young man. Oh, my gosh.

36:23 ↗

The jokes from last year on. Poor Bradshaw. We could have done so much with you, Bershad, if you had just been active. We could have talked so much about you. But, like, Perryman's still not cleared. So there's no guarantee that we roll up to draft season. And they're like, Levy on Bell's playing week one. Maybe Levy on Bell's playing week seven. We don't know right now. So I'm just saying those are the three. But because those three are guaranteed, let's say I have a top three pick right now, besides Antonio Brown, I'm...

36:51 ↗

I would love to get one of those guys. Oh, Brashad Perriman. You don't know ARP. If you don't remember. Oh, that's funny. Go Google Brashad Perriman if you don't remember what he looks like. All right. Josh and Scott. Poor guy. Josh and Mike's going to look that way in a couple years now that he's 33, 34. I'm on the way, man. All right. Josh and Scottsdale, Arizona. I will just move the beard out. Local guy. That's right.

37:18 ↗

Hey guys, a big fan of the show. We're allowed draft day trades for picks and we can keep a player drafted in the fifth round or later. I have both Todd Gurley and David Johnson eligible to keep. Also, there's one guy as a huge Rams fan. Do you think it's worth trading Gurley to him for his first or second? Hey, why now both? If you can do both, if you can keep David Johnson and then trade Todd Gurley to get an extra pick and you're just double dipping 100% do that. If it's got to be in lieu of...

37:46 ↗

keeping one of them, then no. It seems like, yeah, I agree with you on that one. So if you can only, if you can trade one and keep the other, 100%. Absolutely. Let's say you can only, if you're going to trade him, you have to, it's your keeper, so you won't have a keeper. So you're trading a guy like Gurley for an extra first round. I would not do that. Unless, I agree. No way. No way would you do that. I would just keep them. So let's say you can't do that and you got to keep one. Who do you keep? Gurley or David Johnson? I completely keep Gurley.

38:16 ↗

Yep. I love David Johnson, but I would go girly. We're going to debate this all summer. Yep. It's not even worth it. Mike's going to always hesitate and say maybe David Johnson. Yeah, I am. All right. Tyler and Orlando says, hey, guys, thanks for an abundantly entertaining podcast. You guys do a great job and led me to a second championship this past year in my League of Record with your inside. I have a few options at Keeper. Only one that I get to keep. It's like Highlander. Tyler, I for a 13, car for a 16.

38:43 ↗

He says he's a waiver pickup. Sorry, Jason. Jason, go ahead. Hey, he apologized. Mark Ingram for a fifth and Julian Edelman for a sixth round pick. Keep one. PPR league. Give me the Mark Ingram, baby. Edleman is six round pick PPR. Give me Mark Ingram. Edelman's sixth round PPR is very, very tempting. But I am going to go Mark Ingram. We forget that this last year, Mark Ingram became a pass catching back.

39:12 ↗

He was extremely involved in that game. Because of the position scarcity, I'm going to take Mark Ingram in the fifth. It's Mark Ingram for me, too. He had 50 receptions. And how many games did he miss? I just closed the window. All right, Dan in Morgantown, our league is considering changing our positional format to one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receiver, tight-in, and two flexes in one DST. So you don't even have to play a tight-end.

39:41 ↗

No, or you could play three of them. So both options. You're right. Do you guys have any thoughts on combining the wide receiver and tight-ins? How do you think this would affect the draft? You kill tight-ins. That's a big change. That is a huge change. Yeah, whenever I see wide receiver tight-in combo positions, I take them as wide receivers. Now, obviously, Gronk's going to get in there. Jordan Reed might get in there. Greg Olson. Yeah, there's four or five guys. Four or five guys that you'll sneak in there. Delaney Walker. Because the fact that this is.

40:10 ↗

Two running back, three wide receivers plus two flex. It's very deep. And so the depth might actually encourage tight ends and bring them back to life. But in general, I would say make one tight end spot and then go ahead and make all the wide receiver spots wide receiver slash tight end if you want. I don't have a problem with that. What would you dump out though? Would you dump one of those three wide receiver tight end flexes? I would dump. Or one of the two flexes?

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