The TRUTH About Fantasy TEs in 2018 + Super Bowl Reaction

Jason went to a baseball game in the third quarter. I honestly have, I have been to a baseball game that was more interesting. And that's the biggest insult I know how to give. Yeah, the reason for me why, if this was a regular season game, like if this was Thursday night and I had to watch this for work and come in on Friday and talk about it, that would have sucked. The difference was this was the stakes. Everything was on the line for this one particular game.

I was okay with the defensive struggle and seeing the meltdown of the Rams O line and Jared Garf. Oh, Jared Garfed all over. He garfed everywhere. 229 passing yards, 19 for 38. That's exactly 50% passing. One pick, no touchdowns. Brady had no touchdowns either. Oh, Brady looked terrible most of the game. If he wasn't targeting Edelman. Yeah.

It was just, I mean, Chris Hogan had exactly no separation from anybody. I mean, it was two good defenses. Like, Jason, you kept saying the whole game, how disappointed would you be if you're the Rams? If I'm Aaron Donner, I'm so pissed. I'm like, I held the Patriots to 13 points that we lost. How did that happen? Was that Sam Darnold's brother, you just? Yes, yes, it was. Did you say Aaron Arnold? I'm pretty sure I did. That's okay. Hey, by the way, congratulations to Brian Nocter, who won the NFL playoff challenge.

Yes, congratulations. Eight hundred and eight points. Pretty impressive. Our editor-in-chief was right there up until the end, but sorry, Kyle. No dice. All right, a little bit of news before we get into the truth. This was interesting to me. This is from Ian Rappaport. He said that the Eagles are planning on picking up the $20 million option on Nick Fultz. It needs context, though. Go ahead. Give it. This was the move that you knew was going to happen.

Because now that they have picked up the option, the way that it can work. For trade? No, is that Nick Foles can now give the team $2 million and buy free agency. So this was the move that they were going to make. And what's interesting is what comes next. If Nick Foles, does Nick Foles just say, all right, cool, give me $20 million to beat your backup.

That's kind of hard to say no to. Or does he want to go be the starter somewhere? So we'll give the $2 million. But then if he does that, do the Eagles franchise tag him and then try to trade him? I think he'll get traded. That's what I think he'll happen. I think he's going to end up. It's very interesting. I think he'll end up in Jacksonville. I think he'll end up in Jacksonville. Even if he doesn't get traded, like he.

I guess what's the trade value? Life is good for Nick Foles. Yes. It depends what the trade value of the market is for the Eagles for a franchise tagged quarterback. Yeah, it'll be like a third round. But if it's a third rounder, you're just saying you're paying him a lot of money. No, then you don't play the game at all. You don't play the game of chicken. You let him go get signed and you'll get a third round compensatory pick. So you don't even have to go through the hoops. If you believe all you'll get is a third.

then you just let him buy free agency and let him go. Yeah, you get it a year early. I will say this. I mean, you know, we're building the ultimate draft kit, 2019 behind the scenes going through our admin. And I'm turning players on and off. And I turn Nick Foles on because I expect him to be a starting quarterback in the NFL. I do too. I mean, Jacksonville, yeah, yeah, Jacksonville is the one that makes the most sense. Yeah. Pat Mahomes on the NFL MVP.

Sequin won the rookie of the year. Andrew Luck, the comeback player of the year, Matt Nagy, the coach of the year. No real surprises to me in that bunch. No real surprise is the only questionable one at all that has debate is should it have been Sequin or should it have been Baker? Baker. What would your guys vote? It would have been Baker for me. It would have been Baker for me as well. There you go. Partial season.

for Baker. Partial season where he broke the rookie record for passing touchdowns. In 14 games, that's pretty impressive. It is definitely impressive. I'm not taking anything away from Baker, but we are playing in a different NFL than years past. There's always so many players eligible to do that. I just wanted to mention this because this is amazing. It's a Super Bowl recap thing. Super Bowl MVP, Julian Edelman, Spotrack just tweeted this out. Brandon Cooks, who's going to make $27.5 million this year?

That will be more than Edelman has made in his entire 10-year career with the Patriots. That's not fair. That's how you win. That's how you win. You find guys that you just keep paying them crap. The Patriots had Braided Cooks. And they didn't want to pay him. I'm not paying for this. I've got Edelman. Chris Hogan is, he was terrible in the Super Bowl. And mind you, maybe that just means Marcus Peters was great on him. But Chris Hogan is a free agent. I bet you anything.

that Chris Hogan ends up on a bargain basement deal and makes 10 important catches for the Patriots next year. He could. I'm going to throw this out. The New England wide receiver field could possibly be very, very different next year because there's only a handful of guys that are actually under contract. Josh Gordon, whether it was the news of could he be back for training camp? He's not technically under contract. Chris Hogan is not under contract. If Braxton Berrios is on your dynasty waiver wire,

Go pick him up. Yes, that's a great name for Dynasty players to be aware of. It went from Wes Welker to Julian Edelman, and some thoughts are that if Brady does indeed play till he's 80, it will eventually shift to Braxton Berrios. Well, it's just, look, Dynasty, that's the game you're playing. You're not saying all these guys are going to pan out. You're saying you put them on the roster because there's a pathway. And only a handful of those work out. But if you, you know, it's like Jake Kumero in Green Bay. You put them on there because.

Who's Tom Brady's favorite? Who becomes Aaron Rogers' favorite later on? So that's it for news today. Remember, play on a fantasy sports platform that doesn't suck. Yeah, if you're playing Dynasty, you should be playing on Sleeper. Yeah, check out the Sleeper app, Modern Design, Infinite Customizations. We'll talk about them a lot as you set up Dynasty leaks. You guys ready for the truth? Yep. You want answers? I think I'm entitled. You want answers. I want the truth. You can't handle the truth.

I just, uh, you know, we have Michael Keaton back to my right. Yes. On the set today. He's looking fierce. Stoic, but fierce. Yeah. And, um, possibly, uh, losing all temperature to his body. Because he's looking. The pink lips. The pink lips. Yeah. That's okay. Get this man a heater. Well, I just heard Jack Nicholson in the, the truth drop. And it made me remember the Joker.

because I may or may not have watched the original Batman in honor of the bust we have in our studio. That's how I make all my movie decisions. Spectacular. Yeah, based on the busts I have around. All right. This is the final truth episode. Right, Brooks? Do we have any more? Do we know truth for kickers? Yeah, yeah. We thought about breaking the tight end into two episodes, but we didn't want that much crap.

out there. The truth of the tight ends this year, okay, this episode's going to last another 30 seconds. It's that they suck. No, no, we got great content, Jason. There is actually, there's, there's real important discussion on these guys. See, I thought it would be fun because the way I look at the truth here is we're looking at, look, we know what we know about Kelsey and Earths, but let's project these guys forward. Let's see what we got out of them.

Yeah, so the way that we track the tight ends, we have our own consistency score where we look at how many of their performances would put them near the top three. You know, a week winning great. So if we say how many percentage of their great games, that's talking about them finishing near that.

that top three mark over 15 points. If you had a good game, you're over nine points. And if you completely bust, you're under seven points, you're fewer than seven points scored. That puts you outside the top 16 on a position where you only play one guy a week. And here's what's crazy. This is the top 12, okay? The top 12 at the end of the year, those are your best. Those are your best tight ends, right? The top is the best. The top 12. The top men. Seven of the top.

Men. Seven of the top 12. So the majority of the top men at tight-in. I like that you guys are making a reference and you don't even know what you're doing. We're just repeating you. Top men. Seven of the top 12 tight-ins busted, meaning they completely ruined your lineup more than 50% of the time. Yeah, and every single owner of not Travis Kelsey, Zacherts, George Kittle, felt it.

All year long. So, you know, it begs the question, Mike, last year, you realize this. This was not a surprise to Mike, the fantasy hitman, right? Correct. This was not some kind of perplexing reality to Mike. And that's why you put your... I put my eggs in a basket that had no basket. It was just me dropping eggs onto the ground.

Yeah, it was like you saw the situation where the basket was up over the ground. You realized the danger and you knew you had to put them in a basket. You got to have a top tight end. You just didn't realize there was a hole in the bottom of the basket. Exactly. That was gronk. Yep. Yeah. So if all of your arguments, I mean, they were all right. It's just a different basket. Yeah. Okay. Could have been this one. Could have been Travis Kelsey. Number one, number one, most consistent tight in.

Jason, he did not bust more than 50% of the time. He busted one time. One time. Thank you, Patrick Mahomes, and I believe that was week one. Week one. People were afraid. Oh, people are selling. They're like, oh, Alex Smith. Patrick Mahomes isn't going to use the tight end. Hope you didn't sell. 103 receptions, 1336 yards, 10 touchdowns, 150 targets.

Thank you very much. Yeah, he outproduced where you drafted him. If you project him as just a receiver, including all tight ends and wide receivers together and look at his ADP. He outproduced it by more than 50 points of the expected point total of that position. So you were happy to draft him. The only difference, you can't just go apples to apples because you still only need one tight end versus multiple wide receivers or running backs. But if you drafted him, you were happy. He was among the top 15 players.

drafted that made it into the playoffs according to ESPN. It's finished as the top two tight-in in each of the last three seasons. One, two, one. Third straight year with a thousand plus yards. He's only the second tight end to do that. Yeah, Olson, right? Yes. The big difference for Travis Kelsey, Jason, is I agree. You got to do the apples to apples, the tight ends up against other tight ends. But Travis Kelsey would have been the wide receiver nine on the season, which

makes him completely worth the draft value to me, where he's going to be a back of the second, early third round guy. And at that point, I'm taking a shot on a wide receiver or a running back who I think has top 10 potential. Travis Kelsey has top 10 potential at the wide receiver position, except it solidifies that tight end spot for the entire year. So how high does he go? Because if you think he goes in the...

Probably the middle of the second. That's where I think he'll go to. I mean, when you finish first, second, and then first, you know what you get with him, and he's got the best quarterback in the league, fantasy production-wise, at a minimum. Look, it just, I was looking at Dynasty Leagues this morning. How do I put him on my roster? Right. I mean, how do I find a way to do that? Should have traded Grong for him last year. Thanks, Mike. You are welcome. Before we get into the rest of them. You think I'll still take that? You think he'll.

Maybe. I'm going to try it out right now. Yeah, you got at least try. Send it through and let us know if it happens. All right. Yeah, we'll see how that goes. Hey, everyone, Foot Clan, we want to make sure that you remember the right place to get your tickets if you're doing any live events. Longtime supporter sponsor of the Footcast, the Foot Clan.

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