Explain Yourself! Rankings Debates & Tar Pits - Fantasy Football Podcast

That's what I believe. I believe Big Ben put that video out to get you to explain yourself. Well, here's what we at least know now is that picture that came out a couple weeks ago that we were all like, what happened to Big Ben Rothersberger during quarantine? That was the answer. Like he apparently had said, I will, I'm not going to shave my beard. I'm not going to cut my hair until I can really throw a football again. And now he's all cleaned up and you're like, oh, Ben's still under them.

There, like, he's back. Todd Gurley. Let's talk about him. The Falcons, offensive coordinator, Dirk Cutter. Then that way, hold on. I want to clarify. Yeah, he's. Go ahead. Offensive coordinator, Dirk cutter, as in the offensive coordinator for the team that Todd Gurley is currently under contract with. Yes, that just signed him, Mike. Yeah, like they have them on the team. Okay. Yep. I'm just making sure. He said, quote, the main question is that no one seems to know is what is his health status.

Well, this is the quarantine world, right? I mean, it's harder. They're not seeing each other. They're not in the facilities with one another. Obviously, I believe he passed as physical. So, you know, there is a baseline of health. But when the, when the coaches are coming out saying that that's a known worry that they don't have an answer for, you realize that a lot of times, and this is something we see during the draft.

and we think teams have so much more information than we do. That's what I was thinking too. But then you watch and you go, oh yeah, they're humans that don't know everything about other humans. Where's all the secrets? Well, they certainly some of these documentaries you see about the general managers at home, they're saying the same things we are. Who's going to go here? Maybe this guy's going to go there. They don't see, you know, they're following along like we were at home. Here we are with Gurley and you have to wonder if GMs are backed into a corner saying, well, if I'm going to get him.

I got to make him the offer now. They should have been on that bleacher report feed. Somehow those guys had the picks, like five picks in advance. Well, you got to pay for it. You got to subscribe or something, right? Yeah, I don't know if he's passed the physical yet or not, but there have been. There's questions about Todd Gurley's health and have been for now, you know, going into year three. So this is why when I was statting out Atlanta, I chose.

to give a soft projection for Todd Gurley, I think, compared to at least Jason, because I just don't, like I projected him for fewer carries in Atlanta than he had last year in Los Angeles. That was more based around the team talking about the guys that they have and, you know, just trying to balance out that offense. But Gurley's a tough call. I don't think he's going to be on many of my teams this year. Yeah, he probably won't be on mine either.

The Saints signed Ty Montgomery. I don't care. Yep. Good for you, Ty. Yeah, yeah, nice. That's a good team. He's happy to go to a team. He's happy to go to a team that he says utilizes. He wants to be utilized as a weapon, not necessarily a running back or a wide receiver. So you go to a coach like Peyton. All right.

How about this hype train moment for you? Oh, yes. This one's going to get going. This thing will be a bullet train before drafts. I wonder. Frank Wright, head coach of the Indianapolis Colts, said, quote, it wouldn't surprise me if there's a game this season that Naeem Hines has 10 catches said that Philip Rivers, we know this, right? He's got the ability to get the ball to the running back. Saw it with Echler last year. Oh, so many targets for Echler. And then...

He said Naim Hines will be very much integrated into the game plan on all three downs. That part's weird. You didn't need to say that, Frank. Like, Hines has been great as a pass catching running back. Like, he has excelled there for a couple years. Not so much the rushing part of the running back, but all right. It's three backs that I hear Marlon Mack could be a good value.

Jonathan Taylor is going to be awesome, and now Naim Hines is going to have 10 catches in a game. And, you know, you worry that there's too much hype around a good team, which should be an improved offense with a great offensive line. If all three guys are involved, that's just bad for fantasy. At the end of the day, there won't be a value. Yeah, I think the worry with Taylor, not Jonathan Stewart, he's not back. The worry with Taylor is just, you know,

Is year one the year that you're going to get that payoff? Is he going to be a redraft pick worthwhile or not? And so certainly when you hear about one, what did they say, a one-one punch? Yeah. With Mack and Taylor and you got Heinz in there and it will be difficult. It'll be interesting to watch. Brooksie did pull something up for us. Field Yates had tweeted out dirt cutter talking about Todd Gurley that.

As of May 14th, he had not taken a physical. Oh, well, I guess Dirk really doesn't know. And that would be May 13th, 2015. He hasn't taken a physical since then. So we haven't had a good update on Gurley in quite some time. The thing is, I mean, so I started him out for 16, and the reality is he missed a game, but he finished the season healthy, right? I mean, he...

Yeah, for Todd Gurley. It's not like, you know, Eric Ebron or Trey Burton, these guys who's signing to new teams, and they're currently injured. This is a guy who left the season healthy. Well, because his injury is not a, it's not a bone break. Okay, I'm out X amount of days. They'd say they have, when I heard the Rams talking about it, they just, they would never know when the neat would flare up and become an issue. He would have weeks where.

You're like, oh, there's the old Todd Gurley that we need for our team. And then there's weeks where he could barely move the knee. So it's a really tough call for Atlanta. I think he'll play all those games. But how can they really rely on him for 16 games to be a workhorse back? That's the bigger problem. Yeah, I don't know if they're going to try to. I think that's what we all have to look at. I don't know if they're going to try to do that. Head coach on a hot seat.

with a one-year contract for your running back, and garbage behind them says, we're giving it to Todd until that knee blows up. That's what it says to me. Before we move into splaining ourselves, one of a thing today's sponsor, Manscaped, look, you got to take care of yourself. You got to take care of that hygiene, and that's why I love using my Manscapes. I feel like a new person. I feel clean. They have excellent technology.

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with free shipping at manscape.com. Use the code footballers. I'm quite well. Thank you. No. Clearly you are not. No rational person would do as you have done. Explain yourself. All right. Let's kick it off. Time to explain yourself. Mr. Wright. We're going to start with DeAndre Hopkins. Now, Mike has, I mean, we've all done the dance. We've all been very...

Hmm. Very, very excite. Very, very excite. What is that voice? That's a Borat. That's a Borat reference. Oh, okay. All right. Look, practically as a Cardinal fan, thrilling to have DeAndre Hopkins on board. Great for Kyla Murray. You know, breakout season in the cards. But DeAndre Hopkins. Mike, you have them at 15. Jason has them up at 5.

Right now he's being drafted as the wide receiver three in best ball leagues. There's a lot of excite, as Jason said. I'm kind of more on your side than Jason is. So I think he's the one that needs to say it. Okay. Mike, explain yourself. All right. The first thing I will say is here's what a feature. 15 is low. 15 is low. Well, that's what I want to address first off is.

In our ultimate draft get, you can see our actual player-by-player statistical breakdowns and see their points where a rank, or if you're like, holy crap, Hopkins at 15, like, he's really just a handful of points away from number nine. So, like, I could give him a 20-yard reception, and he'll jump up to nine. But my point still stands that I think he is a lower-end wide receiver one or a high-end wide receiver two this year.

because of the target volume. Like, where, what do you do with Kyler Murray? Where last year, I mean, he had a great rookie year, but threw for 3,700 yards. He threw the ball 542 times. Does he all of a sudden explode with passing volume? Like, that's kind of weird, but does he jump up like 100 passing attempts? I just don't see that as anywhere in the realm of possibilities for Kyler, and he spreads the ball around.

One, you have Hopkins trading teams. That's not always necessarily the best situation right away. But Arizona played on three wide receiver sets, on passing plays. Three wide receivers were out there 39% of the time. Four wide receivers were out there 33% of the time. And what I'm bringing that up because there's other guys out on the field. This isn't just Arizona running two wide receiver sets. They run a two wide receiver set.

Very, very low compared to everybody else in the NFL. Guys like Demir Bird, Kishon Johnson, they're both over, they were both over 40 targets last year because they're on the field and they're getting open in the play. I just don't see DeAndre Hopkins as elite as he is and coming in Arizona and immediately pulling another 30% target share. I just, I don't see that happening.

My contention is that he doesn't need a 30% target share. I do 100% think the passing volume will go up for a second year, Kyler Murray. Not a hundred passing attempts, but it was already. It's rookie year Kyler Murray.

through 50 more passes than Deshaun Watson. That was as a rookie. So if he goes up another 50, you're talking about a potential 100 more targets. He doesn't need to have 30%. You look at Kyler in college with C.D. Lamb, they had the four wide receiver sets. This is spread offense. But when you had a dominant one, he's going to go to him. And you bring up Demir Bird and these guys who are, those are our point. That's my point. The competition.

DeAndre Hopkins is the clear one here. And, you know, Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald will be nice additions on the field. But I think this offense will hum. And I think, you know, you should have at least 140 targets going to Hopkins, which is low for Hopkins. That's what I have them for 140. Really? Yeah. I saw this could. This could just be a case of I have other players that I like. Well, I like.

a bit more than Hopkins. But it's funny that it's funny how when you're breaking down statistics, like we can look at the exact same thing like all those targets for the auxiliary players. You see it one way and I see it the other. Well, and you didn't mention Kenyon Drake or Dan Arnold or Isabella in the year two, Hakeem Butler. There are other weapons that they want to use and it's not to take away from Hopkins, but you're not going to have a traditional training camp this year.

You're not going to have the kind of, look, I don't know how hard it is to form a mindmeld with one of the NFL's best wide receivers, but you will not have that in advance the way you might have had in a normal training camp for Kyler and Hopkins to get on the same page, which is a piece of the puzzle, right? No matter what, you know, how good of a wide receiver you are. But it's a situation where Hopkins is traditionally viewed in that top two, three, four, five range.

So you are making a judgment with the team transition, whether or not you buy into the fact that Hopkins can stay at that level. I have them at nine. That's just where he ended up landing in my rankings. But Arizona distributes the ball a little bit more than I think they do in Houston. Yeah, I think the distribution, the way, at least we only have one year of Kyler playing, of course, but him and Deshaun Watson,