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Main show · October 2, 2019

Buy/Sell + Snap Count Trends, "Cool Andy" Revealed

RSSOct 2, 2019 · transcript indexed
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Buy/Sell + Snap Count Trends, "Cool Andy" Revealed

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41:54 ↗

If the situation breaks in the right way for a player, like if someone's going to miss time, if David Montgomery misses time, then Tariq Cohen's touches are going to go way up. Yeah, but I will say this. I had Tariq Cohen. I've dropped him already, moved on, needed to make some roster moves. I totally get he's worthy to be on a bench if you've got that luxury. But the difference between him and Philip Lindsay or Royce Freeman, if you look at their touches.

42:22 ↗

Both of those guys have had double-digit touches every single week all the way up to 25 touches, 19 touches, whereas you're getting six touches a game. And yes, Tariq Cohen is getting his in the passing game. He's a more electric per touch player. But it's hard to bank on a guy getting a few touches a game without a quality, competent quarterback that's moving the ball. And with a defense that says,

42:51 ↗

That's just fine. All right. What about the Eagles backfield situation? In weeks one and two, Miles Sanders was at 48%, 43% of the snap percentage. In weeks three and four, 34% 35%. Yeah, fumbling will do that. Yeah, and you've seen Jordan Howard obviously really effective against Green Bay. 53% of the snaps, 18 touches scored three times total touchdown wise. We haven't seen Darren Sproles really touching the ball. He's out there frequently, but he wasn't in week four.

43:22 ↗

And so I think we can be a little bit encouraged if the trend is towards these two guys. But who do you want rest of season? And how do you see Miles Sanders situation playing out? Because he's the more explosive player, but he seems to be the less trusted player. Well, Howard, Howard's good. Like, Howard is an excellent grinder at the running back position. And that sometimes that's what your team needs. Like, last week, it worked out perfectly for Howard, had a few people.

43:50 ↗

hit the Twitter mention saying, you guys didn't really talk about Jordan Howard as a pickup. What should I do? And I was like, yeah, you can pick him up, but I feel like if you're picking Howard up to play him, you are just chasing those points of last week. He has overproduced immensely in the touchdown category, padded by that multi-touchdown game he just had against Green Bay. He's an okay play every week.

44:19 ↗

Between him and Miles Sanders, though, that's where the conversation gets much more difficult because I want to stash Miles Sanders for the unknown upside if he actually starts getting the work. But on a weekly play, Jordan Howard probably is the better, the better eagle because he's getting the goal line carry. Yeah, you've got a rookie who's talented but troublesome has cost them some, you know, drives with fumbling. And then you have Jordan Howard who has.

44:50 ↗

But keeping drives alive, scoring touchdowns, being efficient, being a quality vet. And this is going, no matter how great either one of these players play, I think we can, I think we can be confident that Doug Peterson is going to use a committee. None of these guys, if Miles Sanders was just the most amazing talent, he's still going to be in a committee. And if that's the case, I want Jordan Howard, who's the clear, when they get in the red zone, they bring him in.

45:17 ↗

They move the chains. They scored touchdowns. I want the touchdown upside in fantasy. Yeah, I lean the Miles Sanders direction out touching Howard three or four weeks. And like Mike said, I mean, you take it for what you will. Jordan Howard, I think he scored four times on the year. Yeah. JJ Zacharisen came out and he was talking about, you know, there's metrics that Numberfire presents that show the average touchdowns to the opportunity. And, you know, Howard should be in the like one, one and a half touchdown range.

45:43 ↗

And he's got four on the season. So he's overproduced in that department. Like I said, the Eagles were gifted a lot of things in that game against Green Bay. They were. For positive offensive things that happened. But I think at the end of the day, I mean, Miles Sanders and Jordan Howard or Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman? I mean, which combination of running backs do you want? I would rather have the Eagles because I expect the Eagles offense, especially when Deshaun Jackson gets back, to be a much more prolific.

46:10 ↗

higher scoring team. All right, one wide receiver snap count breakdown before we get into some mailbag, maybe get into the, we will get into the Thursday night preview. But you guys want to look at this Jacksonville wide receiver core? Sure. Do you believe in DJ Chark moving for? I do. He's been around the mid-70s snap counts. D.D.

46:35 ↗

saw his snap percentage drop in week four against Denver. But target-wise, it seems like Westbrook and Chark are the only two that you're really interested in. And you buy Chark season long. I'm buying him. He was a second round pick. He was the forgotten second round pick because he's in Jacksonville where you didn't love the passing volume. Projecting them into this season was, it was difficult to give a rosy outlook to anyone but D.D. Westbrook.

47:05 ↗

because of what the team has been in the past, where you get infected by Blake Bortles and his ineffective passing attempts, the fact that they want to be a team led by Leonard Fournett. So it was hard to really buy into DJ Chark taking that next step. But to me, he has, man. He's that second round pick. He's crazy fast. We have seen the trend of speed.

47:31 ↗

killing in the NFL just over and over and over. You had the touchdown call back? Yes. He would have had a touchdown every single week had it not been for one of the penalty that could have been, the flag could have been left in the pocket on this particular play. I'm in on DJ Shark. Let's put that to the test because I've got some interesting names and I'm reading through these and saying who would I rather have, DJ Shark or Marvin Jones? Marvin Jones has had one of four weeks where you've really been happy about it. Sterling Shepard.

48:00 ↗

Jarvis Landry. Where do you put Chark in that group? Shepard's going to have Golden Tate coming. Goodness. Got the rookie. I would rather have Chark over Shepard. Okay. And that was the one I was really curious about for you, Mike. Is that because of Golden Tate? Yes. Yeah, the return of Golden Tate. Like, Shepard was, it was nice getting those freebie weeks in there. But let's see. I mean, you can say even the same thing for Evan Engram. I still think Engram will be the number one guy on the team. But.

48:27 ↗

What happens? Like, does he take the dip in targets? Man, I think I would take Chark over all three over all of those guys. He does seem to be emerging, not on the injury report. I would take him over Jarvis Landry. Landry had the monster huge week this week, but prior to that, he hadn't been in the top 40 at the position. He's...

48:54 ↗

You know, hard to trust. So the upcoming schedule for DJ Chark against Carolina. Don't love it for DJ Chark. I'm still willing to play him. But then he gets New Orleans at home. And then he gets the Bengals. I mean, you have two plus matchups as based on fantasy points allowed right now coming up for DJ. Yeah. Adam Thielen. Oh, gosh. Wait, are you? I'm more trolling on that one. Okay. I was like, that's not a.

49:22 ↗

Real question. No, but the reason the name is there is because Adam Thielen is worse on the season than every name that I mentioned ahead of you. So whether it's Sterling Shepard, Marvin Jones, Jarvis Landry or DJ Chark. Honestly, this. Poor Adam Thielen is down there in the sad category. This part of the season is, it becomes incredibly difficult to make that decision. Yes. Like you're talking about where DJ Chark is emerging.

49:47 ↗

as a fantasy player. And by next year, you could look back and say, well, of course, D.J. Chark is a, he's a great fantasy pick. We're going to draft him in the fourth or fifth round. Meanwhile, these players that have, they still are holding on to their name value. And that's what you're grasping onto. That's your teddy bear keeping you warm at night. Meanwhile, you've got to stay water and realize that players emerge in fantasy every single year.

50:16 ↗

and you look stupid until you don't by buying into the player who's breaking out. Yeah, that's absolutely right. And there are certain players that you are kind of, you're handcuffed and you have to stick with. The Hopkins. I'm not talking about those guys. But when you get into that middle tier and you're starting to be frustrated week in and week out, it's very hard, it's hard to pivot, but it's hard to stay. It's hard to keep throwing a player out there over and over again. Like a player, so for Thielen, I get it.

50:43 ↗

I'd be staying with the other. But go to his counterpart. Stefan Diggs. You want Stefan Diggs? For the rest of the year, you want DJ Chark. I don't want that question. Exactly. That's what I don't want. Exactly. I didn't want it either. Thursday night breakdown. All right, the three and one Rams take on the three and one Seahawks. The games.

51:09 ↗

Up in Century Link, the Seahawks are one and a half point favorites at home, 49 point over under. Last year, both of the Rams Seahawks games went way over their Vegas line. And the 49 points, that's a nice line to begin with. We saw Jared Gop throw the ball 68 times last week. We saw a very efficient performance from Russell, but they didn't need him very much in Arizona. On the year, Wilson has been great.

51:38 ↗

So far, so good on the fantasy production for Russell Wilson. He ranks 10th in passing yards per game, which is up from his career average. He's got a career best 72.9% completion percentage. And then you've had Jared Gompf be extremely... I think the consensus that I've heard from national media and from my eyeballs is that this isn't quite the same team that we saw last year. I mean, it's just they're not throwing the...

52:05 ↗

You know, Gurley's not Gurley, Goff's not Goff. Woods up until last week hasn't been Woods. They're winning games, and they were right on the precipice of winning against Tampa, obviously. But them losing that game at home against Tampa shows you that they're not quite what they were last season. Yeah, I was going to say last year both of these games hit the over because the Seahawks can do whatever it takes to win. If they're down, if they need to score a lot, they can. They have Russell Wilson. Not what they want to do. But the Rams last year,

52:35 ↗

We're scoring on anybody and everybody the last two years. That's not the Rams we've seen so far this season. I don't know that I would take the over here. In fact, I'm a little worried about Jared Goff. He has not been great. We've talked a lot about the home road splits. Now he's on the road. In one of the worst places to play. Absolutely. The 12th man is real there in Seattle. So this is one of those like, I'll be honest. And this is gross.

53:03 ↗

I apologize to both of you first and the Foot Clan for even speaking this out loud. But I have Jared Gough, and I am contemplating whether I'm starting him or Andy Dalton. Live in the stream, bathe in its refreshing waters. Yeah. So I have not come to a decision, but I need to obviously buy tomorrow. Wait, what league is this? It's a league you know. It's a league you know and love. Okay, Jason.

53:35 ↗

I could take the 30 seconds and go research it, but just tell me what league is not league of record. I believe this is the listener league. Okay. So, is Jacobi out there? Uh, no. Oh, okay. You, yesterday you blew my mind talking about Andy Dalton on the show is your streamer of the week. Okay. It's not a, it's not a bad play. Today you're blowing my mind with the Dalton over golf. I will still trust in McVe, golf, cup, woods, cooks, girly over.

54:05 ↗

Dalton, Auden Tate, Tyler Boyd, Tyler Eifert. Yes, no, I completely agree. And the fact that John Ross is out hurts big time. I mean, this was a decision that I had picked up Dalton last week for this. Now Dalton had a horrific Monday night football golf through the ball more. So it probably will be golf. But that's the world we're living in here. Sure. All right. These two teams defensively,

54:34 ↗

What are you expecting them to do with Gurley and Chris Carson? Carson last week. He was averaging 20.5 opportunities per game. He got charted with 21 broken or missed tackles in the game. Cardinals will do that to you. How is that possible? That's an unprecedented amount. And we were there. We saw Chris Carson consistently gain an extra yard, 2, 5, 11. And he looked great.

55:00 ↗

But Rashad Penny is supposed to be active and available in this game. This is going to be extremely interesting. If I have Chris Carson, I am playing him with full confidence. However, this storybook that's playing out for Chris Carson is going to be fascinating because he was losing work, potentially losing his job to Rashad Penny because of the fumbling. Penny misses the game to Chris Carson's favor.

55:28 ↗

Carson delivers against a bad defense. So was that enough for Pete Carroll to fall back and pull things back on trying to force Rashad Penny out there a bit more? Yeah. You can see more of week one and two, and the Rams are giving up 23.5 fancy points per game to the running back position, which is 25th in the league. So you have to start, Carson. 100%. I'm playing it. But I'm saying what to watch for is,

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