Fantasy Football - Week 15 Matchups + Wheel of Shame, PLAYOFF PITTS! - Podcast for 12/12

But again, it's up to the team to clear him from a concussion. I still don't know how he plays. This is maybe he's not playing. Yeah. Cam Ward Brock Purdy facing off Tony Pollard last week. I would ignore that as much as you can personally. Tony Pollard is creating a, I mean, it's incredible how many snaps and how inefficient he was for the entire year. One game against Cleveland. with a 65-yard run, just don't get too caught up in it. That's all I'm saying. This is not a situation where I think you're going to see a team. They were in the lead in that game. Yeah, that's, that was what it was. I mean, you look at his carries, 10 carries, 11 carries, 10 carries, 25 carries. What's the difference? Despite the massive point differential and they're usually down every snap, every play, every game. They won that game. They were up. They were like, hey, dude, check this out. We get to hand the ball off.

This is what we wish we could do. That's not happening in this game against San Francisco. No, San Francisco will be ahead. You'll see Taj Spears out there. There's just not. There's no options on Tennessee that I want. None. I don't think there's a single player that I would play. I mean, I know I said I would play Pollard over. Over backups. Yeah, over backups. But I play Devin Neal. I play Cream Hunt. I play Chuba Hubbard. I play Chris Rodriguez. I'd play Devon Singletary. Yeah. Everybody, but maybe Bam Knight. We'd play some 49ers. We, you know, Kittle will be in. I think Brock Purdy is a good start. There's, there are, you know, a couple of quarterbacks this week that have those dreadful matchups. You know, you got here with Brissette, you know, and who's been, he hasn't not been a top 12 guy. I would play Brock Purdy over Brissette this week. And Joanne Jennings is the you could do worse than Joanne Jennings situation. He's been inside the top 24, but not inside the top 20, right? He scores.

The yardage has been really low, 54, 41, 39 in the last three weeks. I mean, his fantasy points have been fine. Obviously, that's touchdown related, but you're pretty much always getting over 10 fantasy points most often with him. The comments on Ricky Pearsall, in case you're curious, Clay Kubiak saying it's circumstantial. Every game's different because he's only five catches on 20 targets since returning. In the Arizona game, we targeted him a lot. It's situational. He's not doing anything wrong. He's practicing his butt off. Five. Which is what Andrews did. It's five catches for 20 yards. Oh, five for 20. I'm sorry. George Kittle, four plus receptions in six straight games play him. Yeah? Oh, yeah. This game's pretty easy. Oh, must see TV. There we go. There we go. The Colts at 8 and 5, the Seahawks at 10 and 3. Seahawks by 13 and a half, according to Vegas. Over under 42. This is the like fourth or 15 this week with like a 16 or lower.

implied point total. Indianapolis with 14 and a half implied points. Oh, man, get bodied. It's the largest spread for the Seahawks over the last five years, the largest of Sam Darnold's career in terms of him being a favorite. Seahawks with 28 implied points and P. River and company. Can I tell you how our Sunday goes? Sure. We're going to get to the afternoon games as soon as the witching hour is over and we're going to say, hey, I want to throw the Colts Seahawks game up on our main screen. Yeah. It's pivot from the Red Zone. I want to watch every snap. About six minutes later, we will change back to Red Zone and go, oh, okay. Yeah. Okay. The prize picks projections on Philip Rivers, which I confirmed none of us have him in the segment later. More or less, 152.5 passing yards.

Okay. 0.5 passing touchdowns. Jason's projection was 200 200. Okay. And a 7.5 fantasy score. Oh, wow. Wow. Gross. It is worth noting the half a touchdown line, which is as low as you can go. They literally can't go below a half. Is a goblin. Which means it is the red one, right? It's worse odds than normal. Or yes, a demon, not a goblin. Yeah. That means it is difficult for him to get one of those. Yeah, I look, I don't like Jonathan Taylor in this game. I'm just, I don't like him at all. And you have. Okay. I don't like him at all. Where? I know where his, you want to know where his projection is? Spoiler alert, he's in my lineup later. All right. Okay. 71.

I just was saying, is there any world where you're willing to play someone else over him? No. No, because it's one big play. If Tony Pollard can one big play, Jonathan Taylor's not leaving my lineup. But, I mean, the Seahawks on the year, great against running backs, better over the last six weeks. You know what you do to stop P. River? 37 guys in the box. No, legitimately, you stack the box. You play close to the line of scrimmage. You make him throw the ball more than four yards and you put it all on that right shoulder and what's left of it. Yeah. Jason would love to disagree. I want to so bad. I still see a world. What happened to the man of hope? He's thought more. He's thought more. He's had more time. Emotion has worn off and now clear logic. The hope has ran through the veins and been urinated out into P. River.

The hope here is that you do get hollow PPR value from some of these players, that you can get four or five dumpoffs that maybe they won't be a ton of yardage. But if you're a full PPR to Jonathan Taylor, to Michael Pittman, I still think, you know, and even Tyler Warren, that the passing attempts, I mean, look, they're projected to lose by almost two touchdowns. So maybe Philip Rivers doesn't get to 200 yards. But he might still throw the ball 35, 40 times. And if they're dink and dunks, I think PPR value is what you're hoping for here. I don't disagree. I think that's your path. Jordan Addison against Dallas or anyone on the Colts. Addison. Luther Burden against Cleveland. Burden. Unless you're talking about Warren. Are you talking about Warren? I guess not not the tight end position.

Jaden Reed against Denver. I'm sorry. I have to break in. Oh, oh. Bill of Rivers' oldest kid is older than Tyler Warren. Yeah, I knew that. Yeah. He is a grandpa. He is literally a grandpa. This is Grandpa Rivers. Yeah. Not like a joke. Grandpa. Grandpa Rivers is what you would call him. Right. Officially. Officially. That's why, well, his grandchildren. That's what he would call. Sorry, Mike. I'm so deflated here. I'm playing Isaiah likely over Tyler Warren. What percentage chance? Yeah. What percentage chance? Be realistic, but be real. Could Philip Rivers come out here and with a quality team, a decent offensive line, Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren, Jonathan Taylor. Here's the roster. I got it. What percentage of chance could he come out throw for more than 250?

and win the game. Write it down, Mike. Oh, okay. 250 and win the game. Write your percentage down for Jason. He needs to, he may add our percentages together to help this out. I've got mine. Oh, look at that. So we got three, four or five. Jason's down to four percent. I'm at five percent. Philip Rivers lover. And Jason's four. This is where when news breaks of a trade, we talk about it during the season. Trade on the hype, okay? There was no hype. No, there was no, no. That's what I'm saying. I was. You can't trade with yourself. No, no, no. This isn't about trading. My point is I was like 200 yards is guaranteed. I bet you $100 that he'd be over 200 yards because Philip Rivers is coming. He's got and so I was hyped. And so you just when you pounce on the news right when it's coming out and you don't have time to think. You're just.

hopeful some guy signs some guy gets traded that's when you pounce because a couple days later he might go ah i wish i had a mirror to hold up right now there was one person who was that's all takes in every league if someone's hyped for say amari cooper getting traded to the bills and wants to give you um I'm saying this is this is what I'm talking to myself obviously here I'm saying but I'm saying you need at least one other person who's hyped and he didn't he made a hundred dollar bet I mean well yeah one you only need one you need one I'm gonna make a hundred dollars off of this yeah 200 yeah 200 because I already sent you the hundred let's take a break and then we'll get into a very exciting matchup

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talked a lot about Indianapolis. We did not talk about the Seattle side. I don't want to, like it's fairly straightforward because J.S.N's been the only wide receiver you can start. Ken Walker, you talked about earlier, but I just, I don't want to completely omit them in an important week. Sam Darnold is startable to me. Ken Walker, Flex, J.S.N. Must start. And then A.J. Barners, your emergency tight end. I can, I think that. There is a sneaky world where Charbs is in play here too for multi-touchdown opportunity. When we were looking at the David, I have David Montgomery and Charbs on my League of Record team. And I am, if I am forced to play one of those two, I will play Charbs, uh, Charbs over, over David Montgomery. But the question is, would you play Charbs or David Montgomery over Michael Pittman with the, with PPR?

utilization yes yeah i think i would yeah i just i i'm not going out like that i'm not going out with philip rivers philip rivers can't hurt me if i don't play pitman i mean he still came with jonathan taylor daggum it this is going to be a tough week let's just let's just help the foot clan out you've got jonathan taylor and michael pitman and you are playing both um currently i do not believe so i think i'm going to play Charbonnet. Over Pittman. You have both? In the flex, I've got all of them. I guess, looking at my roster, I am going to have to play Michael Pittman. Daggum it. So you're double. I mean, why not just stay delusional? Yeah, I should have. I should. Philip, you're so great. Green Bay, nine, three and one, Denver, 11 and two. Roma dunzae. Roma dunes a plays this week. You're playing Rome, who hasn't scored Jack squat? Yep.

With a broken foot. With a broken foot, you're playing him over Pittman. Yeah. I think so. We're both agree. Oh, man. This is, hey, it's your, we saw the football. We're trying to help you make the best decisions that you can make for your team. It's your team. Thank goodness. He's back. Green Bay, Denver, Vegas line, Green Bay minus two and a half on the road over under 42 and a half. Green Bay is just playing really well. And the return of. Watson, now Jaden Reed. It's helped a lot. I'm going to say a bunch of stuff. It's not about you, Jason. But the best thing for Green Bay is to make sure they're playoff ready. So that means getting Josh Jacobs the work and get him, you know, in game shape. What is happening? Packers have won four straight. December is a great month for Matt LaFleur.

They're favorite on the road in Denver. I mean, this is a lot of respect to what Green Bay has got going on right now and the fact that Denver's been, they're 11 and 2, but they've been really up and down. So, you know, the Broncos record-wise is amazing. They've won a bunch of games in a row. They are dominating the one-score games. They've played close games. Do you have a take on this one, Mike, on who wins this ball game? I think Green Bay wins. Jordan Love's been a top 12 quarterback in three or four weeks. Bo Nix right now sitting at quarterback eight on the season despite only one top 12 performance since week nine. A lot of people drafted Bo Nix with the plan of making him in every week starter. Those plans have changed, Mike. You're not living that life anymore. No, I would pivot. Like I would be, you know, Lawrence. Let's see. I mean, Stroud against Arizona. I would probably consider doing that Marioita against the Giants. I would strongly consider that as well.

Green Bay's... Mario is a very good play. Green Bay's defense, it's like the Philly defense. It's just, it is terrifying. Your guy could go out, and you get the one performance against that defense of the year. But in the game of probability, I will go with someone else. The wild thing is that Denver and New England are both at home, both fighting for the one seed in the AFC and both underdogs at home. So, you know, the... Teams that the Broncos have played and won against Davis Mills and Gino twice and Mariotta and Fields. There's been some easy ones in there. The Broncos are a weird team. They are. They're a good team. A good defense. They are.

But the offense can be very good. It's just it ebbs and flows throughout the entirety of the game. I don't know why you don't get. You don't have one game where they come out and score 57 points or something crazy. Honestly, I think RJ Harvey's literally the only player I want to play. And that includes Cortland Sutton. Cortland Sutton has scored 10 fantasy points twice in the last two months. And now they're playing against a team that has been, you know, on the course of the season, the Packers are top 10 against. quarterbacks, wide receivers, tight ends. Over the last six weeks, they've gotten better. They're top five against them. You're not going to have Pat Bryant. Yeah, I mean, I would imagine that doesn't really have an effect on Sutton so much as. I pretty much agree with you. And I think Harvey is a little bit riskier than he seems this week. I think Harvey is scary. What's the overrunner? It's 42. I mean, this, man, this can be this could be a dog fight. Yeah.

Yeah, oh, two great defenses. This could be two quarterbacks at each throw for one touchdown. And Jacobs? I think the line is perfect. 42 and a half. That seems like... Are you playing Emmanuel Wilson if Jacobs is out? Yes. Even though it's Denver. Number one in the last six weeks against running backs. Yeah, I still would. When Jacobs was out, we saw Wilson get an extreme amount of volume and he's played well with it. So if Jacobs doesn't play, I mean, I will be playing a... against Wilson, but you can play Wilson if you have them. Blake Corum in its current situation or Emmanuel Wilson by himself. Oh, definitely Wilson. Wilson. In a reminder, this is the afternoon game. So if you're Sunday morning, you know, when we, we send out our, what do we call this? The Sunday morning updates. The game with, yeah, thank you. Game Day alerts. Sunday live. How you doing back there, Al? You doing good? I'm doing all right. Nice. We won't know.

We may not know 100% if Josh Jacobs is playing. So you better have an afternoon or Sunday night, Monday night pivot or just go pick up Emmanuel Wilson. Christian Watson has been on fire. Oh, it's just so easy, Mike. You just go pick up Emmanuel Wilson. Oh, you can't do that. No, because my opponent has them. I, we're at like six weeks of me at least once a week. I try. Pick up your insurance running backs right now. You didn't try very hard. Apparently not hard enough. You thought you could get away with it. This is like an exposure therapy thing going on for Jason right now. He is in the, this is the hardest show you've ever had to do. It looks like you were just barely making it through. I need to lose this week because I can't handle this. Just get it over with. Kill me. Like, I have, I have Somaget P. Ryan on my bench, Jason. Because I have Chase Brown. Yeah. No, I get it. I get it.

Not everyone has had to deal with as many injuries and problems and have to use their bench. You've had a pretty easy path. Not all of us have. Oh, man. Yeah, I mean, I think those are the main players in this game. Jaden Reed, I'm still keeping my eye on Jaden Reed. I really am. I need to see. He was only 47% of the time out there, got four catches last week. But that's normal for him. Yeah, it is. But it's also normal to. consider playing him. I mean, the past two years, wide receiver 23 and 26. So you're getting lots of fantasy relevant games from Jaden Reed when he's healthy and active. When he spikes. And now no Josh Jacobs. I'm telling you, Jaden Reed is going to surprise this time. When Jaden Reed spikes, it is weak winning type stuff. But it's, he's all, he's, I mean, he's a D in the consistency. So 35% of his games, he's over 10.5 points. So.

35% of the time around that. He gives you a week really. Holy crap. Jaden Reed really helped me win. But then the majority of the time you're like, well, I lost because Jaden Reed. So close to making him a touchdown guarantee in this one. Dude. But that's not what I'm going to do. It's just a, it's a tough game. Sunday night football, Minnesota Dallas, Minnesota 5 and 8, Dallas 6, 6, and 1 hanging on for dear life. Dallas minus 5 and a half over under 48 and a half. Dallas Cowboy Games have averaged 59 combined points per game. Delicious. And eight of the last 10 have hit the over. That's because they don't have a defense and they do have an offense. And those work well. We know C.D. Lamb's going to be back in this game for the love of everyone's mental health. J.J. throw to JJ. Yeah.

You have the same initials. Just throw it to him. I made it my start of the week. This is a team that, you know, against wide receivers has given it up every single week. Justin Jefferson, they don't, you know, he came out. He's like, we don't care about fantasy. We care about winning. That's great and dandy, but I know you care about your stats. I know you don't like people complaining about you right now. Yeah, you don't want to be out there doing nothing. So I think the fact that he's done very little the last two weeks, they're going to try to get him the ball on some easy stuff and against an easy defense. He'll do special stuff.

Yeah. Yep. Javante on the other side. He's the RB 7 on the year. It's kind of wild to look back and see what he's done. His numbers have come down since, mostly since Cady Lam's been healthy and they've had the receiving game. But if there's no Jake Ferguson, maybe they lean a little bit more on Javante. Yeah, possible. Still been in the double digit averages since week nine. What do you do with the running backs for Minnesota? Because I... I've had some people ask me questions about Aaron Jones. I've pretty much chosen somebody else. It stinks because you should, Aaron Jones should be a must play in this type of a matchup where they've been better against running backs, but just, I mean, what was it, 59? When a game is averaging, in a game environment is averaging 59 points. You just, you want.

everybody in there. But it's usually in the passing of especially since the trade deadline when Dallas beefed up their their D line. They have not been. Jerry got that one right. They have not been a sieve on the ground, but they did not fix the secondary. So yeah, I don't think I want to play Jordan Mason or or Aaron Jones. And Aaron Jones limited Wednesday and Thursday with the shoulder. He's kind of been getting hurt a lot in game. Not enough to just completely take him out, but it is a concern. Man, JJ, he's time to go. You need JJ this week because you need Dallas to need to score. I need CD Lamb with two touchdowns. This is the way. Other starts at decisions in this game? There's not much. I mean, I don't think you're playing Hawkinson despite getting a touchdown last week. You're not banking on that. Ferguson, if he plays, otherwise have a pivot.

Monday night football guys Miami six and seven against Philadelphia Pittsburgh seven and six Vegas line Pittsburgh minus three over one over under is 41 and a half oh oh yeah Andy's almost upset of the week yes just feels right we need to this is this is for Joe Burrell our man is down the mental Joe Burrow is in a Joe Burrell could be in a dark place right now. We need the Steelers to lose. We need any ounce of hope that Joe Burrow can have in his life. Sorry, Steelers fans. Miami, Miami's been playing well. They've been getting it done. Devon A Channel playing this game. I don't even know who the Steelers are. I think sometimes they're okay. Sometimes they look all right.

We got news yesterday that T.J. Watt was in the hospital. He's not going to play this week. He's not? No. Yesterday, Tomlin was saying he's not sure. Breaking news. Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur sets. Josh Jacobs. He's will. Will. Will play football. Practice in a limited capacity on Friday. Oh, man. Everything is not enough. Everything. Just, just put the man in. Give them. Like. 30 to 50 carries. You got to keep them warm. You don't want that thing to tighten up. This is my favorite bit of the season. Just getting to do this to Jason. It's so much fun. Oh, today's the last day you get. Well, it's probably not. Oh, my gosh. It's not Sunday morning every day. Never read. Oh, my gosh. Do you want to do Sunday live this week? No, I can't. I couldn't do it. Mike's fine. Mike's like on bye everywhere. He's going to come here. You were. Hey, everybody. What a great week. You were.

in the middle of updating the T.J. Watt injury situation. Yeah, so everything that is coming out most recently is, is that it would be darn near impossible for him to play. He's still currently hospitalized with a long issue. We don't know a lot of the details. There's speculation right now, but most of the doctors I've seen speculate, including, you know, the former San Diego medical trainer. He does not, does not anticipate that he could play this week. He didn't. get tie rotted did he uh no i i think that that was because i he was asked kind of that question and it was that he does not think that that is what's going which if if you do not remember like punctured his long the i mean years ago when justin herbert was drafted in the first round and not starting right away taylor had to get he was he was named the starter he was hurt yeah as as as taylor always is and but he was trying to

numb up and he took a shot to the lung and it had punctured and deflated his lung. Yeah, I think the speculation here was more like blood plot. Just to be clear, that was a physical shot. Yeah. Not, and also to be clear, not from a gun, but like from a needle. Yeah. When you say a shot, I mean, that's like like like like an injection. Yeah, that was like language for getting hit. Oh, sorry. No, he had an injection. No, he got an injection. Yeah. That. Yeah. So this sounded like a practice oriented thing. Um. How do you feel about Warren? How do you feel about Gainwell? How do you feel about Matt Caffee's my start of the week? You know how I feel. I want to know how you feel. I mean, the dolphins on the season are right in the middle of the pack, but the last six weeks, they have been stingy against the running back position second. They're playing so hard for their head coach. Yeah, the dolphins really are, they're trying to win. They're getting after it. But I think that both Warren and Gainwell are still in play.

I lean Warren, but not by a huge margin. If the Steelers win, their playoff probability goes to 72%. Miami can get their win probability up to 1% with a win. Did you talk about DK? No, I did not. Jason, do you have thoughts on DK? 38% of targets last week. Yeah, that was the huge thing, 12 targets. He hadn't been double-digit targets this entire season, which is kind of mind-blowing that you've... paid $150 million for a guy with no other great receiving options behind. How to work out for the Steelers to give him, oh, they won. It worked out. It worked out great. And you want to know why that happened. We talk about it a couple times there's teams you don't play tight ends against. Okay. And one of those was the Baltimore Ravens. And Arthur Smith was pissed. He was so, he's like, I've got so many tight ends and they're so big. We should only throw to tight ends. And they're like, you can't throw tight ends against Baltimore.