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Main show · October 30, 2020

The Halloween Show! + Week 8 Matchups, Candy Comps - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/30

RSSOct 30, 2020 · transcript indexed
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The Halloween Show! + Week 8 Matchups, Candy Comps - Fantasy Football Podcast for 10/30

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Inside the episode

149 passages
28:02 ↗

Let's go to somebody else here. I refuse myself from this conversation. Yeah, no, I do think that Lev Bell is, if you're telling me, okay, do I want to start Devon Singletary or Levi-on-Bel, I would go Levi-on-Bel. I would start Lev-Bel. Because the offense here, the implied team total of 34.

28:23 ↗

points. The weather is one of the games we're not worried about this weekend. You expect this team to be absolutely smashing to the point where if you brought, you know, Andy Reid has talked about, they brought in Lev Bell in a way to help alleviate some of the workload on Clyde Edwards-A-Layer. They want to keep him healthy. Well, if you're up 20 points, which is the line, you're going to.

28:48 ↗

not just keep running out your first string running back over and over. So I think he gets enough carries. If he gets 10 carries and three or four receptions against this defense, he should be an okay start. He's certainly not someone that you have to start. I believe he'll have more carries in this game than Clyde Edwards-Alair. It's certainly possible. And the Jets are 28th against fantasy running backs with the point spread. Lev Bell is in play here. So if you believe that.

29:15 ↗

then wouldn't you say you almost must start Levin? Because I see Clyde Edwards Aller as someone that I must start. Huge home favorites. I don't see them really very much different in this game. Okay. They're going to afford Lev the opportunity to exact his revenge. And he is prepared and ready and able and the jets are accommodating and going to be on the receiving end of it. This is the time, Lev.

29:43 ↗

If you want to show the world that you still got it and that we made a mistake over here in New York. Yeah. All right. It has not been an advantageous thing for fantasy football players to go beyond Tyreek Hill in the wide receiver room for Kansas City. One week, DeMarcus Robinson makes a few catches. McCull Hardman really has not been a viable option. I released Hardman. I'm a Mahomes fantasy manager.

30:09 ↗

He's not worth keeping because if I can't play him now without Sammy Watkins, when am I going to play him? Right. Travis Kelsey, you always play him. Anything else from that game that you want to highlight? Nope. Play your chiefs. Sit your jets. Hey. The Los Angeles Rams at 5 and 2 take on the Miami Dolphins at 3 and 3.3, the debut of Tung of Iola. I probably failed. That sounded right. The Rams are 3.5 point road favorites. It's a 46 point over under.

30:38 ↗

Aaron Donald is part of the welcoming party for Tua. Congratulations. This is going to be very, very interesting because we have come to rely on Miles Gaskin, Devante Parker, and we all want to know can we continue to? I think you can rely on Miles Gaskin to a degree because, you know, when there's clarity in a backfield and one player is getting such a large percentage of the work, you know, he's.

31:08 ↗

I don't think his ceiling is high here, but his floor is high. And that's what you're looking for in those mid-level running backs. So he's in play. As far as the other options outside of Devante Parker, Mike Gisicki, Preston Williams, those are players I'm really not wanting to start. I want to hold on to Githickey, not drop him necessarily, because...

31:31 ↗

Tua could come out and utilize the tight-in. Tua could come out and completely look away. We don't know his tendencies yet. We haven't seen him in the NFL. I do think that Devante Parker will stay his number one read because he's the clear best receiver on the team. So outside of starting Parker and Gaskin, I think everybody else is just a hold, including Tua. In fact, Tua isn't a player I would pick up yet to hold.

31:57 ↗

But I just want to wait and see on everybody else. I'm actually pretty concerned about Devante Parker in this game. He's going to face Jalen Ramsey. He's dealing with the groin. He's left some games early. And we don't have any, you know, Ryan Fitzpatrick will just chuck the ball. I think this will be more game management and protecting of Tua. You're not going to let him get pummeled in the backfield, which means you're not going to have a lot of deep drops. You're not going to have a lot of downfield in his inaugural game. I have, if we had a sits of the week,

32:26 ↗

It would be Devante Parker. You know, that's a fair assertion with all the variables. And over the last six weeks, you know, the Rams, they've only given up 21.1 fancy points per game to the entire wide receiver position. That's the fewest in the league over the last six weeks. So I think you do bring up a good point. Maybe if you have the ability to use caution with Parker, do it there too. All right. Here's a question for you. The Rams. Jared Gough. He hasn't been very kingly this year.

32:59 ↗

Miami's defense is actually better than a lot of people realize their fifth against opposing fantasy quarterbacks, and this team is still predicated on a rushing attack and a defense that's been stout this year. Is Jared Goff a sit this week against Miami? I think Jared Goff is a sit this week, yes. Goff or Stafford? I would go golf. I think of them almost the same in terms of their disappointment to fantasy players. Yeah. We've at least seen a couple.

33:29 ↗

games from Goff this year. Yeah, I agree. The reality for this game is where do you beat the dolphins? Their secondary has gotten better. They have been locking it down on the passing game, but they can easily be beat in the running game. And when you match that with the Rams who have been winning their games by running the ball, if that's the way they win and then Tua isn't able to keep up with a good Rams defense, I could see this being a game where Goff does very little.

33:59 ↗

So Darrell Henderson, to me, is someone I would love to start. Yeah, yeah. He's been getting so many carries. I mean, the last three weeks, 15 carries, 14 carries, 15 carries in a winnable matchup. He's in my lineup. Right now, the Rams have the third most rushing yards. They're number one. If you look at the football outsider's metric, number one, an adjusted line yards. Compare that to Miami who is allowing the second highest rush success rate. I mean, this is the formula. This is the mixture.

34:27 ↗

for Daryl Henderson to have a good game. I think you can play Jared Gough. It will just come down to the coin flip of the touchdowns. Like, do they, does Cooper Cup get the touchdown or does it end, is Daryl Henderson run it in? And it seems like you won't go to a tight end that you can predict right now. Higby is still questionable. Everett is missing the walkthrough with an illness. And then Munt ended up with some receptions last game. I mean, are you rolling?

34:56 ↗

Everett back out there if he's the guy? No, there's much better options on the waiver. Who are you starting between Woods and Cup? If you had to pick one of them. Goodness. Probably Cup. Yeah, I think so, too. This projects, like I said, to be a not a Jared Goff game, necessarily more of a slow game, which means the possession receiver, the volume guy probably won't be as valuable. You're hoping to get a touchdown, and a touchdown is usually Cups game.

35:25 ↗

All right, here is an exciting matchup. The Pittsburgh Steelers at 6 and 0 taking on the 5-1 Baltimore Ravens. Ravens 4-point home favorites. So 46.5 point over or under. Can you hit that button for me, Al? Oh, I'm in on this one. Yeah. Andy's almost upset of the week. Yeah, in our office pool, I took the Steelers to cover. I did as well. Yeah, this is a game where, you know, you want a measuring stick for where?

36:00 ↗

Lamar Jackson is, you're about to get it. And he can come out and he can shut us all up and show us that he hasn't had to do a lot, right? He hasn't been put in that position. And he can go up against this Pittsburgh defense, which is seventh against quarterbacks, third against running backs, you know, likely without Mark Ingram and go out there and just put it all on display and prove us wrong. I don't think that's going to happen.

36:28 ↗

I need to see it to believe it, and I haven't seen Lamar drive the ball down field. I think if I'm Lamar, I'm terrified of the past rush, and I'm terrified of trying to, you know, throw that ball into the middle of the field where Mink and Fitzpatrick is roaming and they're taking advantage of opportunities out there. And, you know, a fumble or an interception could be the difference between this game. So, you know, that being said, you know, a lot of people asking the question, am I playing Lamar Jackson or am I playing blank? Is it?

36:56 ↗

You know, Carson Wins. Is it Josh Allen? Yeah, it's really ironic. It's a terrible week for the pivot options. Justin Herbert. Yeah, Justin Herbert. I mean, and Carson Wins, those are names that need to be at least considered. It's tough because think about last year, right? Last year, Lamar Jackson was scorching the earth. He was so far and away better than the quarterback, too. He was unstoppable every single week.

37:25 ↗

of the season a top 12 quarterback. Well, except one. And that was against his only game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, where he was the quarterback 17. Now you've got him with some passing issues. They're coming off to buy. Maybe they figure it out. I'm certainly not going to actively bet against Lamar Jackson for being able to get it done on the ground for fantasy. But when you look at the matchup and you say this is a fast defensive line, this is a defensive line. You know, what can run him down?

37:53 ↗

or at least get him to the sideline quick enough to stop him. So the passing game is going to be necessary. He's so good. He is. I love watching him play. With my rankings this week, Lamar Jackson has been my most difficult quarterback to rank because I keep wanting to move him down, but then all the weather issues are like, you brought up Josh Allen. It's.

38:16 ↗

you know, 25 mile an hour wins and rainy there. Do I start that over Lamar Jackson now? Last year, the one game that they actually played where Lamar played, because he sat out in week 17 against Pittsburgh, 161 passing yards, one passing touchdown, three picks, 70 rushing yards. If I had to predict a line for Lamar Jackson, it looks exactly like that. That's not an end of the world line when you have 70 rushing yards and a passing touchdown.

38:44 ↗

but I don't expect much more than that. So if you're looking for ceiling, I don't know if you can get it against Pittsburgh's defense, which looks better this year than they even did last year. For the running backs for Baltimore, right now you have to make the assumption that Mark Ingram is going to miss. He had the injury two weeks ago. He still hasn't practiced, even though they had a full week of rest, a full by week. J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards. I know that the matchup is not.

39:11 ↗

ideal. So this isn't like, oh, I'm smashing this guy into my lineup. But running backs, it's tough in the streets right now. Where do you prefer? Do you prefer J.K. Dobbins hoping that they let the rookie get some work or do you go with the Gus bus who actually saw the work two weeks ago when Mark Ingram left the game? I'm curious, we're the same, Jay.

39:35 ↗

Yeah, I don't really want to start either, to be honest. But if I had to pick between them, I would go J.K. Dobbins. He's going to touch the ball far less than Gus Edwards. But if they want to get it done, it's going to be through the air. They need to use the screen game and the dump-offs. Gus Edwards doesn't catch the ball. Gus Edwards doesn't get thrown the ball. So if he doesn't get a touchdown, he could get 20 carries in this game.

39:58 ↗

and be bad for fantasy against this Pittsburgh Steelers lineup. So I don't want to start either, but I would take the receiving hope of J.K. Dobbins. Completely agree. You're looking for one big play. Dobbins is more capable of that. That's what Miles Sanders did against Pittsburgh. It's what AJ Brown did against Pittsburgh. Who's the highest odds of one big play? It's Dobbins. Hollywood Brown, a sketchy start this week. Jason hasn't in the highest. Mike and I are in the 40s with Hollywood Brown.

40:26 ↗

It is not somebody that I want to play. Yeah. I mean, the Steelers are 23rd against fantasy-wide receivers. So they have given up some performances. I have Hollywood. I wish I could pivot away, but I will be playing him. I've got a good feeling about him this week. I don't know if it's just my love. But, I mean, the reality is the matchup fantasy points-wise, that's where they're going to need to go. He's not the...

40:54 ↗

I whiffed on OBJ against Pittsburgh with the same metrics, so I'm hesitant with Brown that's struggled. Yeah, I get it. But the nice thing is this is one of those games where I don't think Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are destroying them and then able to run the ball. If that happens, obviously, then that's one of the issues with starting Hollywood Brown. But you want to start Hollywood Brown in the tough matchups, in the

41:22 ↗

They need to throw the ball. They might be down in the game. And the Steelers are pretty good against tight ends. And, you know, they've got two options here. They've got Mark Andrews and Hollywood. Yeah. By the way, Rodrigo, do you struggle kicking with so much of your eyeballs up into your helmet? Well, this helmet is very large. Okay. I'm just surprised you can kick so well. Yeah. I feel like I need. With your eyeballs in the helmet. Yeah. I.

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