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Main show · August 1, 2016

Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Fantasy News & Updates, NFC East Breakdown

RSSAug 1, 2016 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Fantasy News & Updates, NFC East Breakdown

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Inside the episode

136 passages
27:42 ↗

They carry to this guy. Then a carry to this guy. They had a four-man rotation there. I'm going to put you on the clock, Mike. Rashad Jennings or T.J. Yelden. Jennings. Rashad Jennings or Danny Woodhead. Ooh. Is that PPR? Let's call it half. Oh, I'll still go with Jennings. I'll go with Jennings. Last one here. Rashad Jennings or Justin Forsett? That's tough. What's your take on these, Jay? That's a tough one. I got me some Justin Forsett there.

28:12 ↗

All right. That's a tough one. But look, I think that Rashad Jennings is the guy. I know that Paul Perkins has been drafted and the dynasty community. They love his, they love the stock of Paul Perkins going up. But I think the team saw success when they finally committed to a guy. Will Rashad Jennings make it through the entire season? I cannot comment on that because he probably won't. But when he plays, like we were talking about, Aaron Foster.

28:40 ↗

These guys, they will give you tremendous value. And Jennings is going right now in the eighth round. So if I can get a starting running back at the eighth round, who I think is going to give me eight to ten games of great production. That's fantastic. All right. We need to move on to the Cowboys. But Jason, I want to put you on, I want to ask you this question. Rank these three guys. Carson Palmer, Blake Bortles, Eli Manning. Carson, Palmer, Blake Bortles, and Eli Manning.

29:08 ↗

I do expect some touchdown regression for Blake Bortles. And Carson Palmer is just as high. I will have Carson Palmer on my team before I'll have Blake Bortals just because of where they're being drafted. Eli Manning is a guy that's just a real boom-bust type of player. I don't usually like to draft those guys, but I'm going to stream Eli Manning for sure many weeks this year because he'll be the type of guy that has dropped to waivers.

29:35 ↗

after a guy starts him two weeks in a row when they're bad weeks, and he picks them up, you find the right matchup, and he explodes. All right, for those that won confidence in Eli Manning, I went and looked at Jason's rankings as I asked him that. That's the exact order he had them in, and it was 6, 7, and 8. So that makes him all very viable starters for your fantasy league. I like Eli. He will give you the occasional dud that just makes you roll your eyes, but he will win you a week as well. Oh, yeah.

30:01 ↗

Let's talk Dallas. Let's talk the Cowboys. Tony Romo returns. One of the teams that I think has the chance of just making the biggest win-loss reversal. San Diego was one of the teams I said could do that as well, but we'll see if they can stay healthy. Did you see the scandal on Twitter? The photographic scandal of Tony Romo.

30:21 ↗

Uh-oh. Oh, yeah. He's not dating Jessica Simpson again. I don't think he, I don't think Jessica Simpson would allow herself to date him now. Tony, the Twitter world was ablaze. They said, Tony Romo's a fat guy. There's a picture that he is, he's looking a little plump. Uh, but then there was, and just to speak to that point, it was clarified the photographer who took the shot, agreed. He said this, it was just one of those really unflattering angles and all the beat reporters from Dallas are saying that.

30:49 ↗

It's ridiculous. Tony Romo's in great shape. I am looking at the picture. It's a pretty funny picture. I agree. He had a little bad luck here with the way the jersey was bouncing on his shirt. Yeah. So just to get it out of the way. I still like him. And again, all those Eddie Lacey pictures were true. So you never know. Well, that's the thing. You show me 10 more pictures of Romo that looking fat. That's one thing. Because you could get Eddie Lacey from any angle last year. Like in any shot, you could be taking pictures of other people away and then Eddie's still in the frame.

31:19 ↗

Yeah. Oh, come on. All pictures from Packers Camp involved. Eddie Lacey was in all of them. Somewhere. All right. Des Bryant, Terrence Williams. If I had to choose a late round guy that wasn't Sterling Shepard, Terrence Williams might have been in the mix. Performed really, really well with Tony Romo. It changes the whole offense, obviously, having Des Bryant there. Terrence Williams is a two, okay? He's not made to...

31:43 ↗

to be the backbone of an offense on the outside. But Williams is capable, and he takes advantage of the double coverage and the different coverages that rotate Des Bryant's way. You know, an interesting stat on Terrence Williams over the last two years. He's played 16 games with Tony Romo, and he's averaged double-digit fantasy points with Tony Romo. So for a guy going super late in the draft, pretty much free and half of the drafts. Which is crazy to me, but... Yeah, he's a guy that could plug in as a flex.

32:12 ↗

as a legit starter. All right. Let's spend our time now talking about, well, do you want to talk about Des? No, we can get back to Des. The guy that I actually want to talk about, the old man on the team, I want to talk about Jason Witten, the tight end, the old reliable Ironman tight end, and that is because I think he's still a possible late round option. Last year, Jason Witten had 77 targets. You know who else had 77 targets? Greg Olson.

32:41 ↗

Greg Wilson. Now, I know there was a huge discrepancy as far as yardage, but here's, there was garbage quarterback play last year for Dallas. Jason Witten averaged 9.3 yards a catch. He's an 11-yard average on his career. So we're talking of difference of two yards per catch. I think that the targets will still be there for Jason Witten. I think he is an absolute. He won't be hurt.

33:07 ↗

No, he will not be. And even if he's hurt, it doesn't matter. You know, you think he won't miss games. You think the lacerated kidney problems of Andrew Luck and Keenan Allen would keep Jason Witten out. He would just, he'd rip it out. He'd pop in a new one. Jason Witten is. On the sideline, he'd pull it out and he'd say, I don't need this. Oh, I hurt my spine. Let me get rid of that.

33:27 ↗

I'm still coming out here. I think he's a PPR option. Look, I've moved last week when you were gone. I moved Antonio Gates up significantly. You had him very high already, which I saw. Jason Witten is somebody that you can, if you want to punt tight in and grab Jason Witten, you're going to be fine. In a PPR especially, and those numbers Mike was talking about, there weren't targets, but they were receptions. It is a good point that both him and Greg Olson got 77 receptions. I expect Jason Witten to have more receptions this year.

33:56 ↗

Not less. All right. So, you know, it's impossible to go back and look at Dallas's offensive numbers last year and let them give you any indication of what you're expecting this year because Tony Romo was out. You had a lot of different situations. And now you've got Ezekiel Elliott coming into the fold, who I think will be a very, very high volume back. I think there's no, honestly, as silly as it is, I think he's very safe. Yeah, I have been, I think one of the guys that have.

34:24 ↗

issued the most warning statements on Ezekiel Elliott, just in the fact that, look, we don't know how that split carry is going to go. We're assuming, you know, the 2014 DeMarco Murray, which I think is hard to do. It's hard to just say, yeah, they're going to do that because they did it once. All of that being said, I am rising on Ezekiel Elliott more and more. Ever since the Levium Bell injury, where I feel like my tier one of running backs disappeared because it was him.

34:54 ↗

I'm looking at who's left and who I want to get, and I feel like he's just as good of value as any other top running back. You can make an argument for him over David Johnson. You could make an argument for him being the number one guy. Yeah, look at Darren McFadden last year, started pretty much 11 games, fourth most yards on the ground for running back. That's Darren McFadden. Darren McFadden, who was an absolute abomination of a running back for years.

35:24 ↗

Almost 1,100 yards. And he was eighth in attempts. They're going to run Elliott. The question is, will they, I don't think they're going to give him that 300 carries, though. I don't see them saying, okay, the number four overall in the draft, we're just going to run you into the ground immediately. You ever met Jerry Jones? I've never personally met the man. No, I have not. He's a different.

35:53 ↗

Different. You met Jerry? You're a different cat. Good friend of the show. Good friend of the show. I met his type. And his type plays Ezekiel Elliott about 350 times. Yeah. But I think Elliot will still be tremendous. I don't know if you can expect the 300 plus carries. But you know what? It absolutely could happen. And that's what you want. You want upside from your running back position. They have a small window here, too. I mean, Tony is there.

36:22 ↗

and their defense is better than, you know, than people expected last year. They can protect Tony, hopefully this season, and I expect big things from them. So let's head to the nation's capital. Let's talk about Washington. We've got, just real quick, Des Bryant's very good. He is very good. No, that's all the commentary we really need on him. He's very healthy. I just throw that in there. He looks great. Yeah, there you go. All right, let's talk about the Washington Redskins, Kirk Cousins, leading the way.

36:52 ↗

Jordan Reed burst on the scene. Rule 86. You can see the, we haven't switched that jersey out yet. Not yet. Speaking of which, Antonio Brown has won the Jersey competition. Have you heard of him? A shock to us all. Antonio Brown took down the rising star, Amir Abdullah. Yeah, the numbers were 38% to Antonio Brown, 31% to O'Dell Beckham, 17% to AJ Green, who I was personally rooting for in this battle. Yes. And 14% for Amir Abdullah, who snuck in with a bribe.

37:21 ↗

My vote went to Antonio Brown because I'd just like to win. I voted for Abdullah. Yeah, there you go. A guy that I think I put on our value list for the ultimate draft kit. And we'll start talking about him right here. Deshaun Jackson. Yes. Deshaun Jackson, when he plays, is very good.

37:42 ↗

He's a very good player. That's good analysis. But look, there are certain players that when you say when he plays, you mean a little bit more than an injury. When Deshaun Jackson is invested mentally and not injured physically, he's still dominant. If you talk to DBs in the NFL and they ask you who the fastest player is, they'll still bring up Deshaun Jackson. It's not like he's lost a step. He is somebody that also in a fantasy league, standard league,

38:11 ↗

He can change your entire week with one play. He's the guy that demoralizes your opponent when he's had like two catches for the first three quarters and then catches two bombs in the fourth quarter. But Deshaun Jackson has been, I think, surprisingly effective. And I would pencil him in in that 18 to 24 range this season. It's all just a quick game for the listeners out there.

38:35 ↗

30 receptions. That's what D.JX had last year because he was dealing. 30. He had 30 receptions last year. He was in 10 games played technically, but he didn't actually play 10. But he had only 30 receptions. How many yards would you think that Sean Jackson could accumulate in 30 receptions? Because the answer was 528 with four touchdowns. The guy is an absolute monster. Wait, how many? What's his yardage? 528.

39:03 ↗

30 for 528. Yeah, that's over 17 and a half a catch. I mean, those are staggering numbers. And that's, and you know what? For 17 and a half, last year, I was kind of the, I was throwing caution on Deshaun Jackson simply because I thought he was going, he was going too early in drafts. People saw the numbers of almost 21 yards a catch. That was the outlier. That's an outlier for his career. But 17.

39:27 ↗

That's his average. 17 and a half is his average. And to be ridiculous because it's fun to do that. If you extrapolate that out to the catch total of Julio Jones, that puts to Sean Jackson at 2,400 yards receiving. He's done it. He's broken the 2000. Here's the truth about Deshaun Jackson. He is undervalued. In 2013, he was the 10th best wide receiver in fantasy. In 2014, he was the 16th best. He is a top.

39:54 ↗

Total on the year producing guy. The problem is he's a boom bust guy. So you want to pair with an injury risk. Yeah, you want to pair Deshaun Jackson with, you know, your Julian Edelman types, your Eric Decker types. I think where if you've got consistency up front and you want to put that strong bat, you know, behind them that can just hit a grand slam anytime, is baseball.

40:17 ↗

This is a baseball podcast. This is a terrible analogy. Nobody knows baseball better than Jason Moore. That's my forte. Goldie plays for the Diamondbacks. There you go. I'm an analysis. I'm an analysis. Yeah, you lose all the forms of the English language when you talk baseball. I know nothing about baseball. Nolan Ryan. I was a coach for my son's baseball team, which is ridiculous. Yeah. Yeah, I witnessed it.

40:45 ↗

You were a great first base coach. Thank you. Thank you very much. But what I was going to, well, Deshaun Jackson right now, he doesn't have to be paired with anybody. He can be sliding down the bottom of the bench. I mean, where he's getting drafted right now, you get the luxury of seeing what you have. And here's what I like about it. Let me turn this to strategy, not just talking about Deshaun Jackson. You know who just not? Deshaun Jackson is the best player to put up two huge games on your bench and trade.

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