Starts of the Week + Week 11 Breakdown, Goose Burns - Fantasy Football Podcast for 11/18

and Dawson Knox even, I think that they're very solid plays. And this is the part of the year where we're not just looking at the total season defensive metrics. We're also looking at the past six-week metrics so you don't get fooled. And the Colts are very consistent. In recent history, they have been bad against quarterbacks, wide receivers, and the tight ends, and for the whole year they've been that way. So they've stayed strong against the run. The run is not a strength of the bills. They're going to stay strong against the run.

Josh Allen, Stefan Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Dossanox. I mean, you can even throw Cole Beasley into the lineup. 100%. Cole Beasley should be a great play if he's past the rib issue that I think limited him last week. I just wouldn't play Moss, Singletary, or Breed. I really wouldn't. I wouldn't play with the, what is it, a hydra now that you have in the back field with three options. Nice. So I wanted to throw out a couple names just to test that. So Zach Moss.

against the Colts or Ramandre tonight as a potential backup, as the probable backup. Well, that's a tough one, Mike. I think you probably go with one of the two. Tremendous. Yeah, it was great analysis. Thank you. I lean Ramandre Stevenson. Okay. I think he's the more talented player.

And I'm not sure that their opportunity might be that different. Who's more likely to score is all I care about, but I don't know the answer to it. Yeah, that's a coin flip. You could see getting down near the goal line. I mean, you know that the bills will put up more points. But again, we expect that to come through the passing game, not the running game. And if you told me who's more likely to get the ball 12 times?

That's a coin flip. So I'm going to go with the more talented player in Ramandre. Zach Moss or take the shot on Deontov Foreman against the Houston Texans. With McNichols and concussion. We'll flow chart that McNichols is out. I would give a shot with Foreman. Me too. On the other side of the ball, this is a kind of don't do it weak for the Colts offense because other than Jonathan Taylor, predictability is going to be hard. Michael Pittman is the toughest.

decision because of how good he has been. You also have a game line here at 50.5. I mean, the Colts are projected for 21 points in this game against the bills. It's hard to not, you know, it's not all going to be Jonathan Taylor against this defense that is number one against the run on the year. So I think Pittman probably has to stay in your lineup. Is that where you guys are leaning? I agree. I don't expect good things. I'm not putting him in, you know, lineups where you get to.

you know, your salary cap lineups. But I think if he's on your roster, I can't imagine that he doesn't get four receptions and have some kind of a baseline. And they've used them near the goal line. So Pittman or DJ Moore versus Washington. Yeah, I'll play DJ more. That matchup is too good. Yeah, I think. Yeah. Okay. The Baltimore Ravens at six and three take on the three and six Chicago Bears. The D.K. Sportsbook line Ravens minus five on the road. Overunder is 45.5.

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have, I think we said yesterday in the studio, played down to the competition. They have certainly disappeared on certain weeks. 25 implied points in this game. A tough situation in the backfield. But confidence levels for this starting unit, you always play Andrews. You always play Jackson. Hollywood has to be in your line. Hollywood isn't always play.

You know, that's one of those, I think we've crossed that threshold. Yes, I agree with that. Michael Pittman has had a good month. Hollywood Brown has had a good year. Going back to the second half of last year, he was obviously in the Never Not Working, one of those breakout players last year.

And he's been phenomenal. He's the wide receiver eight so far on the season. He'll have his bad games, but he is a must start every single week to get the good ones. And he is actually 70% of his games over the last 17 have been good games. So he's actually been consistent. So I think Mark East Brown, Mark Andrews, Lamar Jackson, and the rookie are all good plays this week. Yeah, I like Bateman.

I think he's going to have a good week. The Bears are 23rd against opposing wide receivers in the last six weeks, 29th on the year, and they should get some work done. On the other side of the ball, David Montgomery, coming off the buy, he's a smash play in this one. We just talked about Alan Robinson, the hamstring injury. Darnell Mooney all alone with a low passing volume, Justin Fields. You know, the one thing Justin Fields is doing, for those of you out there that...

You know, want the lay of the land with the passer Justin Fields. He's not completing a high percentage of his passes. He's under 60%. But he is targeting people down the field. He is third in the NFL in terms of average depth of target. So he is actually taking shots down the field when he does throw the ball. I mean, none of that is equated to predictability for the wide receiver room. Yes, certainly. But for like, as far as starting Justin Fields, he also, in the last month, like his first couple.

starts, he wasn't running. And they finally, I don't know if the team made the decision or Fields made the decision, but over the last month, you know, he's averaging over 40 rushing yards per game. He had the huge breakout two weeks ago. So I think that he would be like a fringe top 12ish.

type of guy maybe maybe just outside and he's he's running the ball so i i think he is on that cusp and part of the reason um that you know with with alan robinson maybe missing this game um still being willing to to consider fields at the very least is colquemette yeah colquemette is actually a really good play this week um

You know, I've looked at him in DFS lineups. The matchup against Baltimore is great. It's been a month since Cole Commet had fewer than six targets, which for a tight end that's available in almost all of your waiver wires, that's great. Last time we saw him, he was six for 87. And that was Fields' best game. Right. So I do think Cole Commet is an interesting play this week. I would be willing to stream him.

Did we discuss any of the decision making at the Latavus Murray Devante Freeman level? We did not. We didn't want to. I hoped I blocked it out somehow. Yeah. I mean, the truth is if Latavius Murray is back, I'm playing none of them. That's how I feel. And if he's not back, I'm not excited to play any of them. If he's not back, I would still throw DeVant Freeman in. He's been okay. He's average 11 fantasy points per game over the last four. Yeah. So he's fine. I would, you know, I would play Devonthe Freeman.

over Ramandre Stevenson and Zach Moss if he is alone. Obviously, Lev Bell gone. So if Lev Bell's gone and Latavius Murray is not active, then Freeman's probably someone you have to start. Lev Bell being released could have also been just a kind of endorsement of Devante Freeman. Yeah. And the fact that they feel confident with him doing all the things that he's doing and that Lev wasn't going to be better.

than him at any of them. I also think when it, the cutting of Leveon Bell, when it comes to Tyson Williams, is, have you ever done the thing where you show a dog food and then you eat it right in front of his face? That's what they're doing to Tyson. They're like, ooh, we cut love. You've got opportunity. Sike, you don't get nothing. That's what's going to happen. That was John Harbaugh, right? That was a impression. Exactly. Although I do love Harbaugh as a coach. He's a great coach.

Uh, Detroit, the 08 and 1 Lions take on the 5 and 5 Cleveland Browns. The Draft King Sportsbook line Browns minus 11. The over under is 43 and a half. The Lions games, and they've hit the under six out of the last seven weeks. What? Shocking. Uh, you've got a couple of number one picks here. Baker, Jared Gough. Yeah, um, maybe. Yeah, Jared Gough has that oblique situation. Yeah, I mean, you, you could have Tim Boyle. Oh.

Boyle rules. The Browns were the last team to go. Oh, and 17? Yeah, because they lost 17 in a row. Did they? Yeah. Damn Campbell. The Hugh Jackson years? Yes. Who's such a good coach? Oh, those were the good old days. I mean, this is a game that I'm not thrilled about. I really am not. The over-under is low. The teams have been struggling.

Nick Chubb is not yet off the COVID list. If he is, you obviously play Nick Chubb. If he's not, you obviously play Deerness Johnson. Yep. I would play Dearness Johnson either way. You just are changing your expectation of him. If Chubb is active, Deerness will have enough work against this bad Detroit Lions team to have a very solid fantasy game. Drivers Landry has not been helpful for fantasy players at all this year. So I think he's kind of off of your out of consideration with a beat-up quarterback. Donovan People's Jones.

limited with the groin injury. He already had a game this year where everyone expected him to put up numbers, and he was active, and then he did not play. So that's too concerning for me to put him out there. I was not concerned about him. He had, you know, a couple games in a row with 70 yards, 101 yards, 86 yards. Well, I'm talking about the injury. Sure, but that's what I was saying. I had him in my lineup for tomorrow, and then the injury happened.

He left practice yesterday again, and I pulled him out. I'm not rolling with any of them here. I think Austin Hooper might be the past catcher of choice, and I don't want to choose. So I'm rolling the running backs, and then I'm bailing. Yeah, Hawkinson is in. The goose hurts, but you got to move forward at the running back position. Swift was limited.

Jamal Williams is back, but Swift was limited. If somehow Swift misses this game, is Jamal Williams automatically in the lineup with possibly Tim Boyle as the signal caller against the Cleveland Browns? I mean, yeah, you're looking for. You'll just take the volume. You're looking for receptions. I mean, you just want, if he's all alone in the backfield and you're throwing the ball to Khalif Raymond and Amun Ross St. Brown.

And then not throwing it to Hawkinson. I don't know. I guess you have to. Is Jamal in if Swift plays? No. No way. No. It's not going to be an easy week for them at all. I mean, implied point total of 16 points. And they've hit the under in all of these games. The Brown should just be able to run the football. That's kind of the way this game breaks down. Even Hooper is scary because I think they're going to have so much success running that are you going to need them? If you don't get a play action pass on the goal line to Austin Hooper, you're going to be mad.

Yeah, and, yeah. I mean, David and Joku can have a bomb. Austin Hooper can have a touchdown. And aside from those two singular plays, you don't want to play with them. Would you pivot away from Hawkinson if it's Tim Boyle and go to a Colt? Would you play a Colquette? I don't. Oh, man, Colquette is interesting. I don't think I would pivot from Hawkinson.

We marveled at the fact that he had one uncatchable target last week. It was unbelievable. But part of the reason why we marveled is because he was running a ton of routes. And right now, the secondary for the Browns is not the best. There have been three games this year, though, where Hockinson has gone full Miles Gaskin, right? Oh, sure. Where he's got two points, three points, zero points. I just wonder if there's...

If Tim Boyle's enough of a reason to try to project another one. Yeah, certainly. I mean, I'm not excited about that. I'm not excited about Jared Goff either. And the goose sticks in your crawl here from last week. But the previous three games. Right in the crawl. The previous. Where is the crawl? It's the crawl space. It's under your house. It's right. Oh, really? Yeah. Is it not a body part? No, the goose is under your house, man. I believe it's.

Sticks into your craw? Craw, yeah. But that's what I was talking about the house. There's not an L in there? No, there was an L in there because I was talking about the house. Obviously, the goose is under the house. My point is that Hawkinson, before the goose was 10 for 89, 6 for 48, 8 for 74. Even when he's not getting a touch on, he's not great, that's still probably better than Colcomette. So I would roll Hawk.

Mike is sick he's under my house. That's what you just said. Yep. Him and Huck. They were last week. Get him out. He needs to go to practice. What is somebody's craw? We need to Google that. Or don't. I don't know. Seems scary. Houston at 1 and 8 taking on the 8 and 2 Titans. Is this the almost subset for any of you guys? Where is the crawl located? The stomach of an animal. Oh, really?