Fantasy Football Podcast 2016 - Listener Mailbag Episode, Keeper Questions

Does that make you shredder? I guess. If anybody's shredder. Yeah. You're more of a bebop. All right. So check it out. I don't know why that's the point. Because he basically saying you're a warthog? I don't know what I'm saying. We'll mention this again. I think there's a 15-day nominating period. But it would be pretty cool if people headed over there, head on over there, went over there. So anyways, Paul in Edmonton, Canada. Hey, guys, I'm in a 12.

Team, full PPR Keeper League with two running backs, three wide receivers, and a flex. All right. We are allowed to keep three players at the round that they were picked at, and any free agents that are kept for the, uh, are currently, wait, I just skipped a line there. Free agents are kept for a 17th round. Sorry about that. Yeah. Just like Jason likes it. If you keep two free agents, then the next one is in the 16th round and so on. Currently, I know I'm keeping...

Oda Beckham Jr. for a first, and Alan Robinson for a four. My question is this. Which of the following should I keep? So one out of this, Jonathan Stewart for a three, Josh Gordon for a 17, Lewis for a 17, that's Dionne Lewis, and Jeremy Langford for a 17. How many? One? Yep, one in a PPR. That's going to be Dionne Lewis. Dionne Lewis at the 17th in a full PPR. In a full PPR, he actually cracks, I believe, two-thirds of our RB-1s.

He's an RB1 projected in a full point PPR to get him with the last pick. I mean, I don't even know what else you could possibly hope for than getting an RB1 in the last round. Assuming... There is an argument to be made for Jeremy Langford. He is not coming off an injury, and if nobody else is drafted in Chicago, he did catch a lot of passes last year. I will give you that argument in the sense that...

he has the chance to be an RB1 as well. So it's not necessarily contradicting what I just said. You're hoping for an RB1. Which one of those guys are you looking for? I think at a full point PPR, you just have a baseline there. Yeah, I'd go Lewis as well. All right, let's go ahead and do a voicemail question. I'm going to pull that up here. Here we go. Hey, guys. This is Stephen from College Station, Texas. A little teaser for what to come.

I got two questions. First one is a commissioner question. I'm reducing my roster size, and so it's a dynasty league. The scoring doesn't really matter, but I'm wondering how I should handle all the extra guys. It's an IDP league, and there's just – I didn't put roster restrictions. A lot of people are just stashing a bunch of offense, and they're not really holding on to defensive guys.

I'm going to reduce the roster size a little bit. And, you know, so when people do that, and after we draft, we're drafting only rookies. So after all that happens, you know, I'm kind of just wondering how you guys think I should handle dealing with all the influx of players into the quote-unquote for your agency. So just any ideas that you'll have on how to deal with that. The second question I really have is just more kind of an afterthought. Being from College Station, a lot of guys in my league,

in another league are Aggie fans. So we all pretty like Mike Evans. So I'm just wondering where you guys think is too early to draft Mike Evans. Someone I've been looking at, someone I've been really looking to get. So Wendy all thinks drafting Mike Evans is too early. Thanks. Love the show. Keep it up, guys. All right. I'll tackle the first half of that question. First question there.

let's say you've got 40 guys if you're in an IDP league and you're going to 30 in your dynasty. Obviously, like you said, a lot of guys are going to go back into the waivers, and so you need to know how do you deal with that. And here's how you're going to deal with it. What you're going to do is you're going to make the roster size smaller than what it will end up in.

as the year goes on. So if you're going to go, if you're going to go to 30, then make the roster cut down to like a 28 or something like that. And then if you've normally got, say, a four-round rookie draft, you're going to make it a six-round or a seven-round, eight-round draft, and it's going to be a rookie slash vet free agent draft. So in that draft, instead of it being just rookies, you'll actually include the veterans who have been cut to waivers.

in that group and actually i know a lot of dynasty leagues prefer to have their rookie drafts every year uh be kind of they close their waivers in the off season and then they draft uh either or vets and rookies together but that's a great way to do it if you're downsizing your roster which it sounds like you need to do yeah the only thing i would i like that idea or i would just make sure you're on a fab system and maybe instead of his uh instead of a hundred bucks

bump it up this year to 150 or something. Well, how do you handle that in the offseason with fab spending, though? What it did? Because it depends if they close every day. I would do the waivers. Yeah, but when does the fab reset? Doesn't that, isn't that an in-season budget? Mew, okay, well, then maybe. Would you give yourself an off-season budget of $100 and then say, okay, guys go hog wild starting this date? Yeah, I guess that's fair. And then in the beginning of the season, we'll reset the fab. Sure.

So that would be an opportunity to kind of bid on what's out there without doing the draft? Because it does sound like he wants to do a rookie draft alone. I think those are a couple good options for you. I'll let you continue. I mean, you'll never stop talking about Mike Evans. I will never. When is too early to draft Mike Evans? Is it just because he has the same name as you? Well, that's 50% of it. Is it because he's twice as tall as you? Twice as tall. He's a big man. Maybe as Jason. Old bebop over here. Wow.

Pilot on. To me, it's Mike Evans is a target. If you're talking strictly redrafts, the top of the second round, he's a target for me. That's too early. That's where I'm targeting. Honestly, early first round is too early. I mean, there's going to be guys who I want more than him, but back with the first round, he's in that category of talent for me. Seems like this year he represents that.

player you really want to have that you might reach on a little bit because you want a share you want you want the opportunity you're you're more willing to take a risk and so because of the youth maybe in a keeper or a dynasty league you're really going to reach up higher yeah i'm willing to reach for evans is that's basically the everything okay

Do you have anything to add to that or should I? No, I mean, I think that that's exactly accurate. It's not too high to grab him at the back of the first. I like him. I still would not. I think there's just better guys there that I would grab. But, you know, early seconds, mid-second, definitely grab him. I don't want to throw any shade on Evans, but I do have a thought myself that they may draft a wide receiver higher than we're expecting them to do so.

You have Vincent Jackson who... He's going to age out real soon. Yeah, he might age out, and they have an opportunity here to build around Winston and give him other pieces to succeed with. So that's one piece I think needs to be remembered. He also, Evans, with those incredible target numbers, didn't play much of the season with ASJ. Not that I'm expecting big things out of him. But I'm just trying to find reasons why those numbers can't just kind of go up infinitely because they can't. It's always good to look at the counter argument and not just...

be completely positive on a guy. So I don't have a problem with that. All right, Michael in Austin Town, Ohio, the last couple years I've gone with risk over safety. So he went more Mike, less Jason. Two years ago, I picked Zach Stacey with my first round pick. Then last year, I took Jeremy Hill, so obviously these haven't worked out the way they should have. It's hard not having a player to really depend on. Going into next year's draft, should I go with a safe pick or a boom or bust pick?

Thank you very much. Well, I mean, I'm not going to ask you guys that question. I was just going to say that I still like taking risk. I just don't like taking risk with my, essentially my first two picks. My first two picks is where I'm going to go risk adverse and then I go risk because I'm not risking as much. To me, he's the, you've got, you know, you've got most of your IRA tucked away into GE.

Mike, Mike's got it all in Tesla. I got it in penny stocks, my man. No, to me, look, the first round bust rate, probably half of those guys are going to bust. That's just the way that it goes. Now, disappoint at least. Sure, disappoint slash bust. Now, like, there's very, very few guys to me that have.

little to no risk. I was going to say is safety an illusion? Yes. I think safety is very much an illusion. So go with the upside. I was all on board with the Jeremy Hill. I feel unfortunate for you that you went with Zach Stacey in the first round. That's rough. But I'm still going with the guy who can boom and has the huge upside knowing that everyone in that range has the chance to bust. But doesn't everybody in that range also have a boom?

potential. I mean, some of them have more than others. How many guys in the first round don't have the chance to finish as a great option? That's why in the first and second round, I feel like everybody's got a high ceiling. I'm going to go with the safest floor. Right, but okay, so let's say you're in the middle of the first round. Who's the safe guy there? Who's going, give me some names. Julio Jones? Okay, so you're in the middle of the first round. These are the guys available. Devante Freeman, Jamal Charles.

Gronkowski and Hopkins. Well, Hopkins would be probably the safe of those three. I think it would probably be the safest pick of those three. Gronk is pretty safe. The risk there, I mean, obviously he has a little bit of injury history, but it's more positional. You're taking a risk by giving up a running back or wide receiver. Of those guys, that's, you know, I'd probably rank them like that. But you're just looking at the ADP from...

Even if you consider Peterson to have an age risk. But after Adrian Peterson, the list of the next eight guys or so, they all have massive risks. So take the guy that you want and that you think will perform and just I wouldn't be. Don't draft. Devante Freeman. Don't be afraid. Devante Freeman is far more risky than DeAndre Hopkins. Right. There's nobody that's going to argue that point, I think. I mean, you got one year of kind of.

elite play versus somebody who's at a position that's more consistent that's done it for a few years or maybe not at last year's level but there's a lot of question marks with freeman he you know he didn't start out last year as the starter where they went into week one and tevin coleman got 20 carries was only when tevin coleman got injured that even that that happened and now in the off season so you just got to look at each guy individually and yeah there's no guarantees there is more or less safety in different picks all right

Byron in Arkansas has this question. He ended up with Mike Evans in the third round, and he ended up with Winston very late in the draft. This is a mock. Yeah, this was a mock, Jeff. He needed a tight end, and the only guy that he kind of thought was attractive there was this third Tampa Bay Buccaneer and adding Austin Safarian Jenkins to his team. So he just has a question about is triple stacking that type of, you know, would you do that? No, don't do it. And here's why I wouldn't do it.

because there are plenty of other tight-in options. We just talked about this in our last show. I'm the highest on ASJ. So if I'm the one saying, no, it's not worth putting these three together, I know you guys specific to these three guys, not just a general rule. Can't have three guys on the same offense. But I just believe that there are plenty of other options at tight-in that are just as good as ASJ that are being drafted after Austin Sfarion-Jacan. I will say, I mean, if you're taken...

ASJ in the very last round, it doesn't really matter. I mean, you can dump him and grab another guy anyway, so if you feel like you need to take a chance on it. But the odds, I think, of having success with those three guys, I mean... Well, let me ask you guys this then. That's a lot of shares in Tampa Bay. I'm going to name a couple guys that are going significantly after him and see if you guys had Winston and Marriota. And would you... And Evans? Yeah, Winston and Evans. Would you guys... More quarterbacks, please. Draft Austin Sfarion Jenkins or Dwayne Allen.

I would take Alan. I'd probably take ASJ. I would take Allen. Zach Miller from the Chicago Bears. I'd probably take ASJ. That one's very close. I think I would lean Miller. Jason Witten. Whitten. You're basically reading guys in order from my list. Oh, really? These are all... That's funny because I read them out of order from an ADP list. Here's my order. Actually, now that I look at my list, I have Alan, Miller, ASJ, and Witten back to back, to back, to back.

And where's ASJ on that list? Third. Okay. So, there you go. My point is... In a half point. My point is those are all guys that I would be willing to take over Austin's Ferry and Jenkins. So you would do that to hedge the Tampa Bay. To hedge the Tampa Bay. Okay. That makes sense. Let's move on here to Ryan and Austin. Would you keep Antonio Brown in the first or Jordy Nelson in the ninth? Oh. PPR. Wow. Wow. Mike. That is the ultimate value.