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Main show · May 14, 2020

Buy or Sell + Q&A, Space Oscars - Fantasy Football Podcast

RSSMay 14, 2020 · transcript indexed
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Buy or Sell + Q&A, Space Oscars - Fantasy Football Podcast

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Inside the episode

100 passages
14:39 ↗

That is how you get the biggest win in a trade. Anybody can craft a perfectly fair trade. But if you move Gurley at highest value before the wheels fall off, if you move a different, you know, Devonci Freeman last year or, you know. Yeah, somebody that has maximum value and you can pick it if you're confident, that's the time that you can go do what Jason said, get a player that's slightly less proven plus a draft pick and maybe end up winning the trade in a big way.

15:07 ↗

So Twitter, Jeremy wants to know, what is the ceiling for Mike Evans this year? His ceiling is Mike's ranking. Mike, take it away. Wait, you have Mike Evan super high too, Mike? Because I know you have Chris Godwin super high. I do have him very high. And my numbers, I don't believe they're outlandish. Maybe it's just the way that other wide receivers got ranked. So let me, I'll throw out my projection for him. And you could tell me if you.

15:37 ↗

I think that that's as egregious as where you think his final ranking. So I have him at 78 receptions for just over 1,300 yards and nine touchdowns. That's a lot of receptions. I've got him at 74. I mean, I'm right there. He had 67 last year in 13 games. Yeah, I'm right there with Mike on the reception count. I think it's a question of, you know, you've got them with 300 more yards than I do. It's a matter of will Brady go?

16:07 ↗

deep, deep as often. So, you know, I've got him dropping, you know, he's last year, 17.3 yards per reception. I've got him down at, you know, in the 14s, which is, which is still good. So it's just a matter of what you think Brady's going to do systematically. It feels like, and Jason, you and I were talking about this, and maybe we can expand this conversation to Tampa Bay as a whole. I know we'll be doing some ranking analysis, explain yourself, and we'll probably talk about it then too, but.

16:36 ↗

When I look at possible outcomes for Tampa Bay for Tom Brady, you know, he's got something to prove. Bruce Ariens does not limit the offense. He likes to throw the football. And Brady has something to prove. So you've got narrative street on that side where, look, it's been a while since Brady's been a top-tier fantasy quarterback, three years. But all the weapons are there.

17:05 ↗

and the coach is there, and the chip on the shoulder is there, and Grankowski's back. So Narrative Street says that, like, I just don't see a real middle ground outcome for Tampa, is my point. I feel like you either have Brady regressing as an aged quarterback, and it just doesn't come to fruition in Tampa, or you probably have a pretty high performance, high touchdown, high efficiency type of year from Brady. Do you see...

17:32 ↗

a middle ground for him where he just kind of moves the ball along but doesn't produce for fantasy owners? I think if he stinks, if he's lost a step, he'll be okay for fantasy just because of the weapons. But yeah, to answer this question, Mike Evans' ceiling would still be a top six wide receiver if it just so happened that he ends up with.

17:58 ↗

the targets and the touchdowns, you know, I've got Brady crazy high. I was. Yes, you do. I've got Brady as my quarterback six. So I'm, I am. It's spicy. It is spicy. It feels crazy. Very, very high. But when you've got, when you've got Godwin and Evans and Gronk and Howard. So the one thing he doesn't have is his past catching running back or a proven past catching running back. Yeah, we'll see what Kishon Mung can do. It's just, uh,

18:28 ↗

I think we assume the passing volume will come down in some capacity, and we want it to be made up for with efficiency. Evans has had a, what, regression in multiple years running in terms of the target totals. So it's kind of a crapshoot with Brady. I mean, I'm not going to pretend like I know what he has left in the tank, but he's got all the weapons to be successful. You know, I'm not going to lie to you.

18:56 ↗

This is, this is, this is, this is narrativey. But watching the Jordan documentary has, has given me a little, there are, you know, there are just certain guys, the makeup, the metal behind the scenes is, you know, but Jason. When you're talking about the goat, when you're talking about the greatest of all time in basketball and the greatest of all time in football, I'm not going to, I'm not going to bet against Brady with those weapons. They have not.

19:25 ↗

made a Wizards documentary of Michael Jordan. Okay, okay. We haven't got to episode 10 yet. We'll see. That's a very fair. That's a very fair comp. You don't want the Wizards here. Let's wait until episode 10 comes out and see how far Brady drops. The hard part is that team could win with a mediocre Brady. I mean, it could be successful with him just protecting the football.

19:54 ↗

We'll see what happens. Dynasty trade question from Texas Marine in Austin, Texas. Well, that makes sense. Mike Evans or Josh Jacobs in a half point per reception dynasty league. Oof. Oof. Dynasty? Yeah. I am going Josh Jacobs. I am too. Wow. It is surprising because I'm so much. Mike Evans will be turning.

20:24 ↗

27 years old this year. Mike Evans has never had under a thousand receiving hearts in a season in his career. Look, I totally understand that. I would love to have Mike Evans dynasty. But if you're telling me, you know, the 27 year old versus the 22 year old, I know it's running back. The career is not as long. But I look at it and I say both of these. In terms of like player years, they're the same age. That's exactly my point. I think both of these players have three amazing seasons ahead of them. And so.

20:54 ↗

You take the running back. I'm going to take the running back if they're about equal there. And you've got to say we'll have a different quarterback at some point. Exactly. Like Brady is, you know, okay, two seasons from now, three seasons from now. Is he still tied to Brady? Is Brady playing? Is it, you know. They'll just have James back next year. Sure, maybe. And he'll have a year learning under Drew Brees. But I do have Jacobs ahead because of the age, 22 years old. He's amazing. Let me ask you guys this, because I have been firmly on.

21:23 ↗

Team Josh Jacobs, if you've been listening to the podcast with the offseason. But these moves that the Raiders just keep making at the running back position, specifically with guys that are past catching running backs. You bring Jalen Richard back. Okay, I'm not super concerned. You've got to have people there. But now they add Devante Booker. Like, will Josh Jacobs actually be unleashed to the player that we believe that he should be? Maybe the Raiders just don't.

21:54 ↗

Don't see that happening. I think he will be. Devante Booker doesn't scare me. They have to add depth. You also have to bring in Lynn Bowden Jr. They drafted him. He's going to be one of those Jack of All Trade guys. But they did lose DeAndre Washington. He had 40 plus targets. So I've got Josh Jacobs stepping up, not to where I want him to be. You know, I want him to be one of those 70, 80 plus target guys. I've got him with 55 targets.

22:25 ↗

But, yeah, I mean, that alone will make him an upper tier back. Okay. I was going to go check out my – yeah, I have a 53, 53 targets. So dealt with injuries last year. Great running back. It is all about opportunity. I just don't – it's confidence. You know, is he one of the big breakout candidates this year? I think he still is. I think he is as well. It's just, would you – do you trade –

22:56 ↗

an elite wide receiver for a running back where you can get running backs in the draft. Were you happy with Mike Evans last year? With that passing volume, I know the season that he had, but were you happy with Mike Evans? Overall, it's very nice. Even if I think your ranking's crazy, Mike, it's still possibly gets that ranking and you're not, you're not even,

23:18 ↗

You're not as happy with him as you might be somebody else. It was very Amari Cooper in the sense that he was boom or bust, hurt a lot of people, a lot of weeks when he was in your lineup, did nothing. And then he'd go out and have three touchdowns at 7,000 yards on a game. I think the consistency will be a little bit better with Brady. But your point is valid, Andy. All right. Instagram question from Peter. He says, best and worst quarantine meal that you have made yourself. Ooh.

23:46 ↗

The worst was cereal with water. That's easy. Now, the best, that's also easy. Birthday week, we got filet mignon's, we got homemade mashed potatoes, we got rice errone, we got stovetop stuffing.

24:08 ↗

I don't even remember dessert. I was barely alive at that point. It was fantastic. The best part of your Truman Show complex, Jason, is that you just say birthday week as though the world knows what you're talking about. Yeah, well, I mean, they do. Everybody gets an entire week where they are. No, but they know about, you know, my thing. Yeah. Was that the week you enslave your wife for? That is the week that my wife or myself, whoever's birthday it is.

24:37 ↗

Gets to be king or queen of the world, at least, of the home. So we get whatever we want at all times. I can tell you the worst quarantine meal I made myself was 30 minutes ago. When I took my time to cut fresh slices of sourdough, pile it high with fresh lunch meat.

25:01 ↗

Fresh sliced cheese. It's just a beautiful, well-made sandwich. And then I took a bite and I said, hmm, that doesn't taste right. And then I took another bite. And then I took another bite. And then I said, I must stop this because the new mayonnaise that I had just placed on the sandwich was quite expired. Oh, no. You used the word fresh enough times that I had a feeling this was not going to be a fresh sandwich.

25:31 ↗

The sandwich was ruined, and I was quite unhappy. I had to go throw it away after I saw that the date was sometime in the back part of 2019. And, yeah, I mean. How's your tum-tum? Well, TBD, TBD, my friend. If Andy vanishes halfway through this show, you know where he is. Yeah, I'm not going to be worried about it.

25:57 ↗

I'm going to check the dates from now on. So, Mike, do you have any candidates here for this question? Best meal, burgers. I just like burgers a lot. And worst meal, man, nothing's standing out. I'll think about it. Maybe I'll circle back to it. Now, you're still doing the quarantine thing where you're pumping iron slash eating donuts, right? That's the... Oh, yeah. It's the...

26:26 ↗

Mostly not donuts. It's mostly like edible cookie dough, which they sell now in stores. But I also know there's donuts too. There has been donuts. Have you dipped the donuts in the edible cookie dough yet? I don't know if you could dip it. You would have to scoop the edible cookie dough upon the. Look, there is, I still have one donut left and I still have cookie dough left. So I think I know what's happening tonight. So if I am not around next week, everyone knows what.

26:56 ↗

Do you want some mayonnaise? I died as I lived. I don't want to get too far into the rabbit hole of explain yourself here, but who knows? We'll just let it happen. Twitter question from Kyle. Who has the better season this year? Juju, Smith, Schuster, or Devante Parker? Juju. Juju. For me, that's, that's, uh, that's going to be easy. I think the quarterback situation is.

27:21 ↗

more assured, even though there is some question with Big Ben's health. And you've got more success in the past than Parker's had. I have Parker higher than Ju-Ju. Oh, man, you hate J-Ju. I would say that if you looked at our individual rankings and you had to pick, you know, three or four significant takeaways, the Brady ranking for Jason would be one.

27:48 ↗

The Hopkins ranking for Mike, which he has them down in the teens would be one. It doesn't make me happy, everybody. And then I have Juju not worth the draft capital in my rankings. So we can talk more about that on the next episode of the show. Fair. Instagram question. Oh, gosh. Now we're doing it again. Another one? Who would you prefer in Dynasty? Juju Smith-Schuster or one of the rookie wide receivers.

28:15 ↗

This is a more difficult question because Juju is very young. And whether he stays in Pittsburgh or whether he goes someplace else, look, I don't, my ranking is not, you know, some catastrophic indictment of Juju Smith-Schuster's ability. I've said on this show multiple times, it takes a special talent to put up 1,400 yards. I don't care if A-Bs on the other side or whatever the case may be. So I...

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