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Main show · December 17, 2015

Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 15 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

RSSDec 17, 2015 · transcript indexed
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Fantasy Football Podcast 2015 - Week 15 Fantasy Forecast, Starts of the Week, News

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Inside the episode

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40:38 ↗

the majority of the snaps, 77% of the snaps, yet he only ran the ball nine times. And he got two targets. Guess who had seven carries? And I was just going to say, you know, on 10 snaps, a guy who got seven carries and looked okay, Mr. Robert Turbin. So for me, is there, there's a little bit of concern here for the Darren McFadden volume play. There's a lot of concern. Especially against the Jets. It's already a bad matchup.

41:07 ↗

So, Darren McFadden is not an automatic start from this week. He was your sit of the week, right? He was mine. Oh, yeah. Which I love it. The Jets are the number one rushing defense right now. And now they get to go up against Matt Castle. Matt Castle completed 13 of 29 passes in week number 14. Man, do I love the Jets defense this week? Absolutely. Mike, are you starting them in your consolation ladder? I am. And I'm also starting them in my Money League, so you guys can eat it. Hey, by the way, don't play.

41:37 ↗

Des Bryant. Yeah. He is my sit of the week. Yeah, you can't do it. You know, he's still a guy that could go out and have a fine game, but I'm fine having that game on my bench because more often than not, the rest of the way here with Castle throwing the ball and him not looking like the same Des Bryant, he's going to be putting up turds. Oh, man. The bills at the Redskins. What do we think about this game? It's a game.

42:08 ↗

All right, it's a game. The Bills, obviously, you have Tyrod Taylor. How do you feel about him against the Redskins in Washington this week? I feel pretty good about Tyrod Taylor. He's been getting back on track where he didn't give you the monster game last week. He's still, but the connection with him at Watkins is really starting to develop, which is fantastic news for his outlook. But the problem with Taylor is the throwing attempts.

42:38 ↗

If he's not getting you the touchdowns on his lower volume of passing, then he's giving you just an average game. So is he an automatic in-guide guy for me? No, not necessarily. I think I have as a lower one. He's still an okay option for me. So let me pull up my rankings. I want to see some guys that you have around Taylor because if people are making streaming decisions this week, I want them to know.

43:07 ↗

kind of where you have him laid out. So I have Fitzpatrick ahead of him. Right now. That makes sense. Right now I actually have Taylor a couple spots ahead of Big Ben. I think I'm going to take a look. I'll take a closer look at that. I'm not sure I would be willing to pull that trigger. I have Matthew Stafford one spot ahead of Tyred Taylor. I believe I've got Taylor the highest this week. I think that what you mentioned a second ago, that connection starting to heat up with him and Sammy Watkins.

43:33 ↗

with the Redskins. I think he's a safe play, especially because he gets 50 yards on the ground every week. So his floor is something that should be okay against the Redskins in this matchup. But his ceiling, I mean, I know he doesn't have as many attempts, but he has several games with three touchdowns. He can run in a touchdown. So I like this matchup quite a bit for him. I would play him over Fitzpatrick, who I like.

43:57 ↗

I've got him ahead of Derek Carr and Matthew Stafford. So to me, Tyraud Taylor is one of the stronger streams this week. Are you guys as scared of Deshaun Jackson as I am in this game? Yeah, well, coming off of his injury of maybe he's going to play, maybe he's not going to play, that's not a situation where I'm comfortable playing a guy whose his game is built on the speed and the long ball. Sure, he's been getting some more targets closer to the line of scrimmage.

44:26 ↗

For a guy who you want that big play and he's saying he's hurt, he's not a guy I want to start. If you're starting a Redskins running back because you've been depleted with the Rawls injury and these other, the Stewart injury, you are starting a guy whose name begins with Matt Jones. But it's probably that coin you flip the heads I win, tails you lose type of a coin.

44:56 ↗

Yeah. Heads you lose, tails you lose. Yeah. If you're starting Matt Jones, you're probably in the consolation bracket. Either now or next week. I don't know, man. I'm starting Fizi Whitaker against you. Oh, that is true. There's a lot of people who Thomas Rawls carried.

45:13 ↗

through and got enough done last week. I like the comment that somebody made on our poll on Twitter where it said Fosie Whitaker versus Tim Hightower's faceoff because we've got like this pretty strong monster roster and then you get down to our RB2 and it's Fossey versus Hightower. Just like we all thought. Yeah. In the beginning of 2008. Those guys might have been on the same roster in 2008.

45:40 ↗

Bazzi Whitaker started on the, he was playing for the Cardinals preseason. Was he really? Yes, he was. Wow. And if I'm wrong about that, I'm sure I will hear about it on Twitter, but I'm pretty sure he played at some point in time on our practice squad. There you go. So, okay, other relevant, LaShaul McCoy's out there. Carlos Williams is expected to be back this week, but I'm not worried about him at all. You saw last week even, I don't know how to pronounce his last name, Gillisly. Oh, the backup running back? Yeah. Yeah.

46:10 ↗

He scored, is my point. You still got a few carries to him. They'll go to Carlos Williams, and I'm not starting any backup there, obviously. Shady's tearing it up. And then Rule 86, locked and loaded. Absolutely. Stick him out there. Jordan Reed. Chiefs face the Ravens in what I expect to be a lower scoring game. Match job, like I said, likely to start. Not a game that I'm worried about Alex Smith at all. I think Alex Smith was my stream of the week. He was. You staying on board?

46:40 ↗

I am. Okay. Yeah, I really like Alex Smith this week. He hasn't, he doesn't throw interceptions. The Ravens are, their interception rate is the worst of any team since the 70s. I'm not expecting this game to be disrupted by turnovers that somehow make it a, you know, a more competitive matchup against the Ravens. I do expect the Ravens to play hard. They're well coached. They still go out and fight. And with Alex, you know, with Matt Schaub back, maybe they're a little bit more efficient in the passing game than they would have been with Kloss and even with the interceptions.

47:10 ↗

That being said, love the Chiefs D. They're an elite option for you this week. But I don't know about Travis Kelsey. And a lot of people don't know about Travis Kelsey. You still want to believe the upside is there. But with somebody like Jordan Reed, you've seen him put up two touchdown games. You've seen them have a baseline. Kelsey, two touchdowns seems like an impossibility right now. The difference between Travis Kelsey and Jordan Reed is targets. It's not necessarily the talent level. I think Jordan Reed, if you're just going talent, Kelsey and Jordan Reed,

47:40 ↗

are actually among the elites of tight end. But can somebody get him the ball, please? Alex Smith and Coach Reed, get Travis Kelsey some targets. But until that happens, he has to be looked at as a lower end starter at this point, which is just infuriating. And the Ravens are very good against the tight end. They have it all year long, and they're very bad against the wide receivers. That's just such a combination that keeps tight-in scoring low against his team.

48:09 ↗

Travis Kelsey on all three of our lists is quite low this week. And if you've got another good option, you know, like that, Jordan Reed, I would start him over him. The biggest question mark in this game to me by far, it all comes down to where because Charkandric West at the running back position is a guy. And I want to know if you guys have the same opinion that I do. But the way that I look at this matchup, if Ware is out, West is a great play. And if Ware is in.

48:37 ↗

I don't really want West in my lineup, or where? I do not have that opinion. Okay, so you are, I'm guessing, on board with West either way? That is right. Okay. Yeah, I think West represents actually, I don't have him ranked super high, but I think he's one of those guys where, you know, you kind of rank him where you think they'll end up, but he has this larger upside to me where he could have a really, really good game. Very similar to Mike Evans, what I was saying. I marked him where I thought he would end up, but he's got

49:07 ↗

potential for a blowup game. The problem is just, you know, when he started taking over, he was getting, you know, 20 plus carries a game. And then as soon as Ware came back, now it's like 9 or 10. And so, you know, you're talking half, literally half of the production opportunity. So that's where I just see what's happened since Ware's been involved and I don't like it. So he did have a 57-yard touchdown call back last week on penalty. So he still has some of the,

49:36 ↗

But I understand they might not need to really err it out much in this game. But I like West with some upside this week. I like, I have no problem with West, especially with where being banged up. And the running back situation where it is of all the guys who have gotten hurt, I think West is still an upper level option. Like West or guys you just picked up, West or DeNard Robinson? I would play West.

50:03 ↗

Yeah, I would play West as well. That's why I mean, like the guys in Seattle, the guys in Carolina. But this is a great example of just where I'm coming from. I've got West right now ranked as my 10th running back because I'm going, I statted him without statting where. Because where completely mispractice yesterday. He wasn't involved at all, wasn't even a limited participant. So if that continues and wears out, man, I love West. But.

50:28 ↗

If Ware is back, I would start Denard Robinson over West. I've got Denard as my 14th running back. Yeah, I'm more basing the Ware stuff on. He's going to be limited if he plays because of pain tolerance, rib injury, things like that. But hey, this is called forecasting for a reason. It's because we don't know how it's going to play out. We don't. And so we have to play what we know right now. Jeremy Macklin, very confident in starting Macklin.

50:54 ↗

Very confident. I am the anti-Macklin guy through the year, but I think this matchup. Yeah, you're also going to be the wet guy. Yeah. Because I'm going to win that bet. Probably, unless he gets injured. So, oh, my God. Oh, come on now. I'm just saying. So just so people know. So you're telling me there's a chance. So just so people know, the bet was. A thousand yards on the season for Jeremy Macklin. He is presently at 935 yards. And he's got three weeks to do it. Three weeks left. So it's going to happen without an injury.

51:24 ↗

Yeah. I hope he doesn't get hurt. It looked. I mean, you rewind the tape. He could go on a stretch like he had in the middle of the year. I don't like Buck Allen. I don't know. And I don't feel confident enough with Kamar Aiken to start him. I mean, there is a place where I would start Kamar Aiken, but I don't feel that good about it in this matchup. I feel okay about it. I don't think it's the worst. Buck Allen last week against a good defense in Seattle was...

51:52 ↗

Terrible. Now, if you were in a point per reception or a half point per reception, he just kind of was bad. Pretty terrible. Yeah, I know. I'm just saying at least he got five receptions and he got some points. But he was garbage against them for the most part. And I think Kansas City is a better defense against the run. So I don't like Buck Allen at all. Yeah, I mean, he's going to, Mike was right. He's going to have a level of baseline. Shob got him eight catches a couple weeks ago.

52:21 ↗

12, 12 a couple weeks ago. Yeah, yeah, I'm sorry, 12 catches a couple of weeks ago. So there's going to be a baseline for him. It's just, can you do anything with those? We'll see what happens. I start a lot of guys over him. He was a sit-of-the-week this week. All right, Texans and Colts, man, this is, we talked about it earlier, 96 points.

52:46 ↗

96. This is the headline to me, okay? It's not the Yates versus Hasselbeck. Oh, come on. That's it. That's the story. The headline is the Indianapolis defense giving up 96 points in the last two weeks. This has to have some sort of ramification on the Texans offense.

53:08 ↗

Do you agree? Do you not agree? I apologize. The mic's talking to the puffy black things in front of you. The question is really who's going to pick it up? Because last week we can joke all we want about the Jaguars, the Jaguars, the Jaguars, being that way. People are so mad at you right now. But. Me? No, we'll go. He could keep on the Jaguars. Who would be the guy from, I mean, you got DeAndre Hopkins could completely go off.

53:37 ↗

But are you confident just because it's the Colts starting one of these running backs? I'm not. It's impossible to be confident, but can you look at the situation and see Danard Robinson having success last week? It's probably Polk. Grimes was more efficient, but Polk got the start from the staff and Blue was out playing special teams. So I've looked at that. I had Grimes a little higher on my waiver priority because of big play.

54:04 ↗

I think Polk's safer because he was given the start. Last week, I said that it was going to be Polk, and I think I was right there. I think this week it's going to be Grimes. You mean given the start or just the better? The more carries. I think Grimes going to get the actual more carries in this game because of game flow. Polk is a guy that...

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