Top 10 Shocking Stats from 2018 + Trade Targets

You know, so I think that this is important if you don't realize how critical. If you're out there and you're new to fantasy or you're picking this up in the offseason, you're wanting to get a head start. If you don't realize how critical pass catching is to a running back in fantasy, that's going to change everything for you. Here's the message to me. It's that we don't need to wait as long to buy into a pass catching running back.

only weapon. Does that make sense? Yeah. Where sometimes we've wanted to see more consistent snap counts or carry counts or rotation involvement. The value of a guy like Austin Eckler, you could have, if you had made the decision to buy into some of that early, you probably would have gotten some nice weeks out of that, right? So that's the message to me is that at any moment one of these guys can turn it on as that type of player. Yeah. You're Duke Johnson's. Okay. I, again,

I don't know what this title means. Number eight, day of the dumpster, mighty morphin into wide receiver ones. Now, that is actually the title of the first ever Power Rangers episode. Is it? Yes, which is why. So this is a deep one. Yes, this one's digging deep. We will allow this to slide. This is mic level stuff. Yeah, I approve. All right. There were 12 wide outs.

that were drafted outside of the top 40, according to average draft position, that had stretches of at least four games, so a whole month, as a wide receiver 1 in half-point league. So there were guys drafted deep, deep, deep, 12 of them outside the top 40 that had at least four game stretches where they were a wide receiver 1. These guys are Robbie Anderson, okay, he had a four-week span, Mike Williams, Calvin Ridley.

DJ Moore, Kenny Gulliday, Tyler Lockett, Deshawn Jackson, Tyrell Williams, free agent, Albert Wilson, Dante Pettis, Adam Humphreys, and Tyler Boyd. All of those receivers were outside the top 40 in draft position. All of those receivers had four weeks spans of being a wide receiver one. At least four weeks. I mean, in the case of some, take Tyler Boyd. It was pretty much all season from week two through 15.

He was a wide receiver one. So, you know, is there a name or two that jumps out from that list that you either played a lot in your roster that you can answer the question, do they feel like a wide receiver one to you? And are there some of these guys that you project forward, both in draft position but also in value that you think will be there next year?

Yeah, the guy that I would talk about would be Dante Pettus. You know, I wouldn't, I don't think I win our Dynasty League championship if it wasn't for Pettis. I started him through that entire stretch, and it was, it was a good time to have your double flex scoring as a wide receiver one. I think he's got the opportunity to step. It's not, it's not guaranteed that he's going to be the wide receiver one. Right. But there is an opportunity that he is.

Garoppolo's wide receiver won. I loved him coming out. He has a lot of film from college of just beating guys in open field, and then that translated, and he did it in the NFL. So if you want to take a guy and say, okay, who could really continue the trend? And look when he did it. You know, it was the end of the year. It was 12 through 15. Then he got injured at the very end. He came into his own. So he's the guy that I will project going forward significantly higher.

than obviously where he was last year. He's interesting. This whole list is interesting. He doesn't get close to me on wide receiver one potential the way that Kenny Galladay does and the way that I would look at probably Mike Williams. I think Mike Williams and Kenny Galladay, I think, have a higher potential of being a wide receiver one in fantasy than Dante Pettis. But he is on the interesting list, no doubt. Mike, do you have a name or two, or do you agree or disagree on those guys? I...

Agree with the thought process that Kenny, both Kenny Galdane and Mike Williams feel like wide receiver ones, far more than Dante Pettis. I mean, it's a, and that's just a natural inclination of stature. I mean, Pettis is a smaller guy. Kenny Golade and Mike Williams are both prototypical wide. They're big wide receivers. But both of those guys have alpha.

level players on their team. I mean, Mike Williams has Keenan Allen. Kenny Gallaudet has Marvin Jones. Dante Pettis doesn't have that. I mean, Pierre Garcone is going to be back. We know that he will be back, just contractually. I don't know if he'll be on the field very much, but he's at least going to be on the team, and I would take Pettis over Garcone. I would be talking about Markey's Goodwin a lot more than I'd be talking about. Sure. That was the next one. He was paid to come and play a heavy role. Right. And then, Ken they count on it. George Kittle.

Yeah, well, Hunter Henry for Mike Williams. I mean, my point was simply that Pettis of, he doesn't feel like the one, but his path to being the main guy on his team, and they could be a very surprising offense next year. Pettis is going to be.

A very sneaky pick. I would say that everybody on the list that you read, Andy, outside of Deshaun Jackson and Albert Wilson, I really like the entire list. I will target these guys in next year's draft because they showed in a stretch of games that they have the potential to significantly help my fantasy team. I'll probably cut Adam Humphries off that list. Oh, really? Yeah. That's sad. He's a free agent. Yeah, product of...

you know, injuries at the tight end position. Yeah, I get it, but he is, you know, pronounced as an Humphrey. You just want, it definitely is. I actually think that Albert Wilson's intriguing, at least. I mean, he was paid to be a strong part of this offense. It's what's going on. Changing head coaches, changing offensive situations. Changing quarterback. Yeah. Like, could he get a massive upgrade at the quarterback position in Miami? It's at least inside the realm of possibilities now.

All right, number nine, Jay Gris says stream your defenses. Wow. Yeah, listen to this. Really? Yeah. The Bears were the number one fantasy defense leading the league in defense and special teams touchdowns. That's why this is the name of this hot stat is blowing my mind right now. So they were number one. Fewest points allowed.

All of that being said about how dominating Chicago was, they only beat the number two defense by two fantasy points per game, and the number seven through 12 defenses were only four points per game behind. In fact, over the last 10 seasons, only one overall number one fantasy defense went on to finish in the top five the next year. So that's over the last 10 years. You only had one top five repeat, the 2015-2016 Cardinals. I think the Bears will do it. I think the Bears will do it as well.

I think the Bears will still probably be overdrafted. I agree with that, too. Yeah, that's the fact. So, you know, we talk about it every year, but is streaming the defenses, is streaming defense is the way to go? Yeah, it is. It is the way to go. You cannot invest high draft capital on a position that rarely repeats in multiple years. Turnover, it's not just turnover at the, it's really not even about that. It's just about things like injury.

offensive performance. The variables surrounding a defense are, there are so many of them. If you lose one or two players on defense. If Leo Mac misses any time for Chicago, then they'll still be fine. But your draft pick is, is definitely not worth it. Yeah, and you've got matchup problems. Whenever you've got a defense, even your great defense, you know, are you going to start that defense against Kansas City and Pat Mahomes? Right.

You probably would make a mistake to do that more often than not. So streaming defenses, meaning playing different defenses off the waiver wire and not committing to one the whole time is you'll outscore oftentimes the number one scoring defense on the year because you're playing nothing but good matchups. Basically, you're playing defenses against the bills every week or whoever.

pre- Josh Allen dominance. Josh Dallion. Number 10, this one's titled, you get a touchdown and you get a touchdown. Look under your chairs. In 2017, there could be a touchdown under your chair. In 2017, there were 738 quarterback passing touchdowns. Last year, there were 834, almost 100 more passing touchdowns. Pat Mahomes led the way with 50.

Andrew Luck, 39, Matt Ryan, 35, Russell Wilson, 35. You had nine at 30 or above. So based on that statistic, if you believe that that number is a little high compared to what you'd expect, if there's a surplus there, who are some quarterbacks due for regression? I don't believe that there is a surplus there. I think that the crazy gap is.

more indicative of 2017 where, you know, Mike brought up earlier how low it was. Now, we talked earlier, is it going to regress a little bit? Yeah, probably. And I would say the number one regression candidate, I would still put Pat Mahomes there. And that's to say he finishes number one and passing touchdowns just with 10 fewer and still is great. But.

You know, I look at most of the list. That would be number one with 10 fewer, like you said. Exactly. If he had 10 fewer touchdowns, he would rank one. So I think most of the guys on the list that threw near 30 are going to repeat. And I see some guys that didn't who definitely could have. I mean, think about Baker Mayfield. He only threw 27 touchdowns. He only played, what, 14 games? I'd be concerned. The one that jumps out to me is Russell Wilson.

Because you saw the transition last year the way they ran the offense, the way that he didn't run the ball as much. He only threw for 3,400 yards. But he had an 8.2 touchdown percentage, which meant he threw 35 touchdowns. That made his entire fantasy season. Yeah, that's fair. So if you take, you know, he threw for 1,500 fewer yards than Patrick Mahomes. So that would be the one that jumps out to me. You could throw in. As potential regression. Kirk Cousins, he.

Just barely got to 30 at 30, and you saw the change that happened when they changed their office of coordinator, similar to Russell Wilson. They want to shift it away from the passing game, be a more, you know, slow the game down, wind the clock, run the ball. And so around the goal line, he might have a few more opportunities that he had this last year that go away. I would say Philip Rivers. Sure. Philip Rivers came through with a great year, but.

much like Russell Wilson overperformed. His touchdown percentage was at 6.3%. And it's not that he can't throw 32 touchdowns. I mean, he's done that before. But his passing attempts came way down and the touchdowns still stayed up there. So I think if those are the attempts we're going to see from Rivers, I would expect him to be more in that.

27, 28. Yeah, I can totally get that. And if those three guys all fall below 30, someone else will replace it. Baker Mayfield, Deshawn Watson, Aaron Rogers, Cam Newton. Those guys should be at that 30 number, and they weren't this year. Yeah, I would expect Matthew Stafford to have a much better touchdown performance next season. He lost one of his best weapons midway through the season. Gallaudet getting established. Marvin Jones was hurt as well. So he didn't have a lot of guys to throw two, no carry on Johnson. And so his touchdown percentage was way down.

But I could see him getting back to 30 very easily. And, you know, obviously wins and foals. Neither of them were in that category of 30 and above. And assuming one gets to play the whole year, that should happen in Philadelphia as well. So that is it for the top 10 shocking stats of 2018 and some of their fantasy football implications. Any final thoughts from you, gentlemen? No, no, no, no, no, no. Neither have you pushed the mute button. Oh, whoops.

Wait, Brooks, did you hear that? Could you guys hear that? My bad. All right. Head over to pristine auction.com. Let them know the fantasy footballers sent you today's pristine deal of the day. It is not. No. It is not the Devante Adams signed jersey that went for $62. Yes. Are you going to bring it up? I'm going to bring it up. Yeah. Because this is great. I mean, look, if you got a Devante Adams signed Packers jersey for only $62, JSA certified, congratulations, pristine auction, we know. It's an amazing place.

Mike, Mike got something for me. He just won yesterday. Something for you? I got Jason a little present. It's for the office. But it's for the studio, but it's for me. He got me a Dante Pettis signed jersey. Oh gosh. 29 bucks. What? Stealing it over there. That is 100% real. Like a 49 or jersey? Yes. Not like a like a high school collegiate.