SHOW 1000! Surprises, Show Moments + Week 14 Advice - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/9

As of right now, I expect Tayson Hill to be the quarterback. And if that is the case, I do not expect Alvin Camara to be a top 10 running back. I think he's good. I think you should start him. I know you will start him. But I don't believe he's a top 10 guy. So much of his production, we've said it before. 68% of his production in PPR leagues came from the passing game prior to the change at quarterback.

That is a lot to give up. He's still phenomenal. Now, to be clear, the redemption is based off of last year's matchups. Yeah, because Camara had a good week last week. Yes, Camara was the top 12 running back. But if you look at the notes here. Oh, okay. This is fantasy stinkers from week 14 of 2019. Yes. Fantasy burns in the playoffs. So 2019 versus San Francisco, Camara not.

Not on top of his game. Yeah, I'm going to, so am I buying that he is bad again or am I selling that he's not good? You're going to buy or sell top 10 running back performance from Alva Camara. Sell. I'm going to sell it too. I don't think he's top 10 this week. What do you think, Mike? Yeah, despite Philadelphia's offensive disgustingness that we have seen, their defense has still been.

You know, pretty stout aside from Darius Slay getting wrecked. So I'm going to go. I'm going to go ahead and I will sell it. If we're all selling, then I will just point out. You said last week he had a really good game. He was the running back 11 last week. So he would have sold on his really good week. That's true. Tyler Lockett against the Jets. Oh, hot locket. It's been a cold locket.

Lockett. On fire. I just hop right in right now. I'm buying. My man is showing up for the playoffs. Oh. And he is going to help me destroy the Yeti in our league of record. Tyler Lockett, absolutely top 15 wide receiver this week. You've been saying that in the mirror this morning? Yeah. Tyler Lockett, crypto zoologist. Exactly. That's right. I'm going to sell it. I'm just going to. When's the last time we've had a top 15 from Tyler Lockett?

Has it been since the Cardinals? I don't think he's done it since Arizona. Yeah, so in the last- Three weeks ago. Yeah, against Arizona. So in the last, what, two months, we've seen Tyler Lockett be good for Fantasy twice. He certainly can do this. There's no question. I'm just going to take the odds of recent odds for Tyler Lockett. So I'm going to sell, what are you doing, Mike? 15's a good line because it's not hard to sneak in there.

Which makes his last six weeks so hard to comprehend. Yeah, not so sneaky lately. I'm going to take the odds, too. I will, oh. I mean, when it comes to rankings, you're going to have him ranked as a top 15 guy because it should happen. Because you would, well, here's the thing. You would play him over other players. Exactly. When you've got Tyler Lockett, you're going to play him over other players. That doesn't necessarily mean that's where we think he'll finish. That's the, that's where.

We believe we would start them because there's upside that factors into rankings. And he has the upside. He's been the wide receiver won on a week twice this year. Yeah, and rankings, if you think about it this way, if Tyler Lockett, let's say he has a 50-50 shot. That's our evaluation. 50-50 shot of being top 15. And then another wide receiver has a 40% chance. I'm going to rank Tyler Lockett higher, even if I don't think either one are favored to do so. So Lockett, I'm selling in part because I want to twist the knife.

on Jason if it doesn't go right. I'm going to buy it. Okay. Thank you, Mike. Marvin Jones is a top 24 wide receiver against Green Bay this week. Is this contingent on Gallaudet missing another week? Yes. Because it makes all the difference in the world to me. I will absolutely buy this if he is not back out there, which I don't think he will be. So I'll buy Marvin Jones against, he's got three top 11 finishes in the past six weeks. I'm going to buy it. The matchup against Green Bay.

is not what you prefer for your fantasy playoffs, but the matchup against Chicago last week was not something that you would be excited about. We've seen 29% of the targets against Chicago, 30% against Houston a couple weeks ago against Washington, 31%. He is seeing a huge amount of the Detroit targets while Kenny Goliday is sidelined. And we talked about the unleashing that interim coach.

Beville has seemingly in one game done. One game, very short sample, but it's not just the one game. It's the one game combined with last year's unleashing. So you put those two together and this leash is off. It's und.

Yeah, I think the line is one that odds say... I'm buying it. I think the odds say you should buy. I am going to sell on the basis of Jair Alexander. I think that he is a really great cornerback. And, you know, we saw a couple weeks ago against Houston, Marvin Jones got 12 targets.

I mean, 12 targets, you're top 24, except he finished the week as the wide receiver 42. So what about 12 targets against Chicago, Jason? How'd that go? Wide receiver 5. Yes. It's a touchdown situation. And I don't think he gets it against Jair Alexander. All right. That was by yourself from pristine auction. Pristine auction.com. Use the code ballers. Get a $10 credit. You want to go talk about some news? I think so. I'm skittish. I'm going to hit the news button. News and notes from around the league. All right.

Jalen Hertz starting quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles. Oh, brother. Good luck. He gets the Saints. Yeah, good luck, Jaylon. We offer Jalen as tribute. We were talking in the studio yesterday. Mike is playing the Saints defense against me. I am. And I was kind of like, oh, great. You know, Jalen Hertz, rookie. I mean, it's not good, but is it better for me than...

Carson Wins starting? Probably. He is, and here's why. Carson Wins has been taking so many sacks because we've all seen it. He is skittish in the pocket, holds the ball too long, moves around without reason or rationale. And you just guys, like, we didn't really talk about it. Sorry, Jason, but the Andy Dalton.

where he was scrambling around the pocket and then he did this weird jump and he threw both hands out like he saw a bee on the field. Did anybody else see this happen? I didn't follow that. It was tremendous. I did see him try a few Russell Wilson back spin moves and for no reason. Like there was nobody there, but he did him. Well, you got to practice the move. This works for us. I also saw the commentators say he's doing his best Lamar Jackson in response to one of those.

Oh, man. Getting outside of the pocket moves. But the reality is this, that heavy sack defense of the New Orleans Saints. Very heavy. They were going to demolish Carson Wins. They were going to crush him. And Jalen Hertz at least can get out of the pocket, can do something with his legs. And I think this is good for the Eagles chances.

All right. Oh, no. Yeah, it seemed like it was coming. Spontaneous congratulations. Hey, Adam Rank here. You guys stink. Thank you. I didn't want to take an opportunity to congratulate you on episode 1,000. That's amazing. You know, so many times people in this and people come up to me and they're like, hey, man, I want to do what you do. Not a lot of people do it. And not only have you guys done it.

You've exceeded most people, including myself, so I congratulate you, wish you continued success and can't wait to see what you guys have cooked up next. I'm going to be honest. I like show 1,000 quite a bit. This has been great. Thank you, Adam. It's weird because every time they start talking, I feel kind of embarrassed. But then by the end, I feel like.

Hold it together. Yeah, we got to hold. Do this? Well, look, I'm, thank you, Adam. That was very nice of Adam, especially considering, oh, no, I knocked him out of the playoffs in his league. Eat it, Adam. I knew it was coming there. All right. This year or last year? Both. Oh, that's right. We took him out last year. That's right. Oh, my gosh. Boom, Shakalaka. I just figured if you're going to dunk on him, I'm going to.

I'm going to lean in there. All right, James Connor. He plans to play against the bills. So we need to follow that this week coming off of COVID and we'll see what happens. Antonio Gibson diagnosed with a painful case of turf toe. It is very unlikely that Antonio Gibson will play this week. He was projected for points early on in this on most platforms. He's not playing. That's just to rub it in. Right. So that he can take him away. Yeah. So they could make me feel even worse about the situation. Turfto.

Antonio Gibson is going to be knocked out a few weeks. And then even when he comes back, let's say he comes back in week 16 somehow. He's going to be hobbled. Turf toe sucks, especially for a running back. If he was active this week, would you even feel? No. Yeah, like playing. No. Okay. Kyle Shanahan suggested both Jimmy G. and George Kill need more time before they can think about coming off of Injured Reserve. So will we see them again this year?

This is only a situation of if, you know, the last week or two of the season, week 16, week 17, if they're in the playoff hunt and they still have a fully legitimate shot, you know, this is a team where if they actually got healthy and snuck in the playoffs, then they're an absolute contender, even though they've, you know, had such a difficult season. Joe Mixon, eligible to return this week. I know the team believes he'll be back in playing.

I haven't seen anything about Joe Mix. It kind of surprised me. I have a league where I have Frank Gore and Antonio Gibson who started for me last week. And not a lot of depth on the waiver wire. And I'm looking on my bench. I got Joe Mixing. He's been sitting on IR. And I was happy to see that report. Now, he could be back out there for that team. I'm playing Joe Mixon. Yeah, I was going to say that when you've been as conservative with the health of him as they have, this isn't a.

All right, he's finally just barely ready to get back out on the field. We'll ease him in situation. I would be really surprised at that. This seems like they're waiting until he's, and this is what they said. They're going to wait until he's 100% healthy and he's ready to go. So when he's back, he should be put into the Bengals lineup as normal. Now, that doesn't mean you're going to get a great Joe mixing game. What's their offensive?

tackle who was injured. Whitworth? No, Jonah. You went to the Rams. Jonah Williams? Thank you. I believe he just went on IR today. So he's going to be out. Obviously, they have no quarterback. They do have a great matchup, though. Are you? The Dallas Cowboys. I've been playing him without question if he's active. Now, I want to be clear. I'm not reporting that Joe Mixon has been activated from IR in his playing this week. But if he has, I think you can play him. We talked about it yesterday, Cam Acres.

Sean McVeigh says he expects him to play on Thursday night. It's against the Patriots. It still is not a – I'm not trying to play Cam Makers this week. I'm trying not to. I think he's a flex option. Sure. Yeah, I mean, 63% of the snaps, that's by far the highest he had – that he had ever seen. But this is the Rams. 78% of the attempts. I know. We say that every week for a different running – and you know me. I love Cam Acres. But on a short week –

with a shoulder injury against the Patriots defense. Sure. Who just shut out the Chargers. I'm not trying. I'm not excited. I understand. Flex might be fine. And maybe you don't have another option. But just laying it all out there. All right. We have a mystery segment coming up. Yeah. But speaking of celebration, let's celebrate today's sponsor. Omaha. Oh, my gosh. It's the holiday season. It's been a long time coming.

Make it worth the weight. Send the perfect gift. Send yourself something special. Like Omaha knows what we're all about. A one for me. Look, you can't spell meat without me. Oh, that is very good. Look, they've got, check this out. The deluxe grillers assortment features Omaha steaks, butchers cut filet mignons as well as tons of incredible meats, amazing sides.

And infamous, infamous Omaha steak desserts. Oh, there's caramel apple tartlets. Oh, no. And right now you can get the deluxe grillers assortment plus four free burgers, a free digital meat thermometer and add an exclusive price available only to our listeners. Go to Omaha steaks.com. Enter the code footballers into the search bar. You'll get the burgers, the extra gift. We love Omaha steaks.