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Main show · May 20, 2021

Live Mock Draft! + Beard Powers, Getting the Tilt Out! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 5/20

RSSMay 20, 2021 · transcript indexed
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Live Mock Draft! + Beard Powers, Getting the Tilt Out! - Fantasy Football Podcast for 5/20

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Inside the episode

154 passages
55:00 ↗

The same amount of times as Houston got the ball last year in terms of how the game of football is played. It may be Davis, what is it, Davis Mills? Yes. But it might be ugly, but it might be productive. And when you look at a third number or a third receiver, it's, it's him or Chase, and we went cooks. Coming back here, I do have an interesting question for you. Are you actively targeting Trace Sermon in this draft because of the most her pick? Or is that simply filling up your roster?

55:30 ↗

with a player you never feel like you can drop. I would not be doing it. Whenever there is one of those ambiguous. Oh, man. Yep. That's what it was. You paused. Then you went with it. Yeah. You paused and then you told yourself that that is correct. Guys, my brain can't remember what it is. It's ambiguous. Ambiguous. No, it's it's ambiguous. Ambiguous. Ambiguous. Amidious. That's, that's the hot new restaurant.

55:59 ↗

Downtown. Yeah, ambiguous is you want to eat there. You have no idea what you want whenever you eat there. They're like, they're not even sure what their menu is. They're ambiguous. Wow. That was incredible. But what I was going to say is whenever you have one of these. Ninth round vocabulary. One of these situations where you have a somewhat untrustworthy.

56:23 ↗

rotation at the at the running back situation um you know new england patriots of old the san francisco 49ers of current where you're not always sure who the starter's going to be i do not like clogging the roster with oh i'm going to just take all of them because i know something because then you have to make that decision and you get it wrong sometimes just take the guy you think it's going to be and hope you're right and if not move on versus clogging it up um Corey davis still on the board

56:52 ↗

Michael Gallup, Mike Williams, Antonio Brown, Jalen Waddle. You could take your rookie here, Mike. Waddle, Waddle. No, thank you. No, thank you. Pass. Running backs on the board. Singletary is still there. Gus Edwards, somebody that no one will want to draft but might have value this year. Michael Carter. We're kind of locked up on quarterback and tight in, so what are you guys thinking? I would go wide receiver, and I would go with a rookie wide receiver that I think is...

57:20 ↗

personally going to... Devante Smith. Absolutely. Between him and Jamar Chase, okay, Jamar Chase has the better quarterback, but Jamar Chase is battling it out with 100 plus targets to T. Higgins and 100 plus targets to Tyler Lloyd. Tyler Boyd. And big U-offs. And so I think that Devante Smith, if you want a rookie wide receiver, that's the way I would go. And if...

57:47 ↗

I'm looking at wide receivers at this point that you're trying to take the shot. And we mentioned this team earlier in the show that you have no idea who the number one wide receiver is. And that's the Indianapolis Colts. And I know we like to joke about Michael Pittman's one route. But Michael Pittman was a very high second round pick. They drafted him before Jonathan Taylor. And T.Y. Hilton is the aged veteran at this point.

58:15 ↗

If Carson Wentz has anything left and with his being reunited with Frank Reich, Michael Pittman is the one on this offense that I would project to take the big leap and a potential top 24 wide receiver in the ninth round. That's where I would go. So you'd go Pittman. I would go Smith and Andy gets the pick. I do.

58:37 ↗

Yep, because we both chose different people. Well, the problem I have with Pittman is he could just as easily be the number three target on the offense with Paris Campbell returning, run heavy offense, T.Y. Hilton. And so I'll go to Vante Smith. I don't think there's any chance he's the number three on that offense. And so I'll take the volume. I do think Pittman can make the lead. I'd say there is a, there's definitely a chance that Smith is a three. Like if it's up to Jalen Rager, though, but you could have Jalen Rager and you could have Dallas Goddard.

59:06 ↗

be the top two targets for them. Okay. Well, I also knew Pittman would be around later, so I didn't feel the need to take him. DeVanza Smith, Singletary, Corey Davis, Hollywood. I really like Irf Smith this year, guys. I think he has an opportunity. Yeah, he is an opportunity, but... He surprised me in my projections. It's... But the problem with Irv Smith is it all comes down to touchdowns.

59:32 ↗

If he gets nine or more, then you're really happy with the Earth. Also the problem, it's the same problem with Mike Gisicki with Robert Tunyon. It's the same problem with Logan Thomas and no offense. Yeah, yeah, I completely agree. It's the tight end problem. I completely agree. But I feel like even Mike Gassicki and Logan Thomas will see regular volume as compared to Earth. Sure. Like you'll be a, if Earth Smith sees four targets a game, that's a great success. Just draft Hawkins in this year, everybody.

60:02 ↗

Yeah. You're that bullish on hot. I am. I think I've got him with almost 140 targets. Now, you know that if he turns the target into a drop, it doesn't count as any points. I am aware. Okay. Not a great catch rate. All right. We're in the 10th round, Mike. I want to give you this pick. Some options at running back are, they're not great. Trey Serman is there. Michael Carter. You could take a shot at a rookie, see if he establishes himself in training camp. Right.

60:27 ↗

I don't think that there are other great ones. I mean, Jamal Williams, ew, not somebody that you necessarily see upside with. Wide receivers, you could go with Pittman if you want to take him here. You got Waddle, you've got Marvin Jones. T.Y. Hilton, you know, you talk about Pittman or T.Y. Hilton, it was Hilton that outperformed Pittman last year. So where are you at? As a rookie, I'm just projecting the leap for Michael Pidman. But right here, because we just went back to back with the wide receivers.

60:55 ↗

and the very ambiguous running back situation of the New York Jets. Michael Carter is not my favorite. I've talked about him before, but he would be my pick here. All right, Michael Carter. Michael Carter was the pick. I like the opportunity. It's hard at the running back position because you know that how thin it gets later in drafts and also you're just looking for opportunity. And the offensive line. I love the offensive line in New York, so I think Carter is worth the dart throw in the 10th round.

61:25 ↗

A couple more quarterbacks went in the rest of the 10th round here, Matt Ryan, Ryan Tannenhill. And you're starting to see things really thin out. I mean, Tyler Higby, I think he's interesting. He went in the 10th round here at tight end. And then going into the 11th round, that's where Marvin Jones went off the board. Trace Serman did go. So that temptation is removed.

61:43 ↗

Evan Ingram, Hunter Henry, and we're back on the clock here in the 11th round. Jalen Waddle, another rookie still on the board. Oh, this seems like I know, Mike, you're very upset that we took Brandon Cooks instead of Jamar Chase. Correct. Incorrectly being upset. But what is nice is Michael Pittman is still here. So if that was a player you liked a couple rounds ago, that would make the most sense to me to grab them here. And it would easily be my pick. Yeah.

62:08 ↗

Well, it is your pick, and Michael Pittman is now on our roster, and he's very happy to be there. Blake Jarwin next, Mooney, Waddle went at the end of the 11th, and we're back around the quick turn. T.Y. Hilton did go, and he went after Pittman, and he went in the 12th round. It is ironic. We could have taken T.Y. Hilton over Pittman. I did bring that up before, yeah. I would have taken Hilton over Pittman, but I think I understand what Mike's saying, which is this is an opportunity for a leap.

62:35 ↗

and a ceiling we don't know. Hilton's ceiling, we've seen it. It's not coming back. Correct. And if you think about Wince developing a new rapport, maybe it's with Pittman. Maybe Pittman takes a step forward. So I'm comfortable there. You guys brought up Henry Ruggs. He's still on the board. Jason, you talked about a breakout opportunity. I think we need to ensure some depth that are running back position. Well, I'm looking through the list. I don't know if there's...

63:02 ↗

J.D. McKissick is the least sexy pick under the sun, but he will have a huge opportunity again this year. I don't know if he will or not. I'm certain of it. You two should listen to me on this one. I'm telling you without a doubt he will. But what does that mean? You're certain of what? I'm certain of the fact that he will have a very similar snap count that he had last year. And he may. He might be on the field. His targets. But he won't see the targets that Alex Smith and company were.

63:30 ↗

checking down to him all that. Ryan Fitzpatrick doesn't do that. That's not part of his DNA as a quarterback where Alex Smith was barely playing on two legs, so to speak. And that's where McKissick did everything is. And you had to be in some type of full PPR to really experience. I mean, I guess he was okay in half, but I'm really out on McKissick seeing.

63:59 ↗

the same opportunities. He might be on the field, but he won't, to me, will not see the opportunities. All right. So, Jason, between Henry Ruggs, Nelson Aguilar, who's likely to be the one in New England, if Mack Jones ends up winning an opportunity to throw the football as opposed to run it like Cam Newton. James White is still there.

64:21 ↗

Yeah, I mean, this is not, you're not going to be excited about what's happening right now. No. So make a pick. The two, the two guys that I like are both at wide receiver, Henry Ruggs and Josh Reynolds. Josh Reynolds will have volume, but we've already kind of got that. I think what you're looking for at the end. Elijah Moore is very exciting. I think what you're looking for at the end of a draft is huge upside, opportunity to take that step forward. That would be Ruggs. So I didn't hear his name. We threw out a flurry of names.

64:48 ↗

Have you completely written off Jalen Rager? No, I have not completely written off Jalen Rager, no. But I do think that Devante Smith comes in at the wide receiver position becomes the one. Jalen Rager is now the wide receiver two for that team. Whereas Ruggs has the opportunity now with Nelson Aguilar gone to truly be the one. And you brought it up earlier. Dallas got it will be heavily targeted. Yes. Devante Smith will demand targets because he will always be open. And Jalen Rager will be playing the small piece of the.

65:18 ↗

Jalen Hertz Pye. Jalen Hertz cannot throw for a million yards and run for a million yards. Agreed. Can't happen. It doesn't matter. You know, if you're Lamar Jackson, Trey Lance, something's coming away from the passing game if you run for 800 yards. I'm fine with Rugs here. We'll make that pick. Something to remember out there if you're playing. The last couple picks on your draft, you would like to see some instant payoff in the season. You want to know if this was a smart or dumb pick. So Pitman and Rugs.

65:47 ↗

Those are players that you can see a potential quick, quick evidence of whether that pick was worth it or not. Because if it's not, you're going to drop them and you're going to pick up that waiver wire guy. And that's the way it's going to go. So at this point in the draft, last round's just a defense. I grabbed the 49ers for us. And that is a wrap. We did it. Give me some impressions of this team. We have Harrison Jacobs at running back, digs and lock at starting a wide receiver, Kelsey at.

66:15 ↗

the tight-in position, Brady's our quarterback, and the depth on this team is Mostert, Cooks, Devonsi Smith, Michael Carter, Michael Pittman, and Henry Ruggs. I think it's a solid team. I will say that I felt the lack of one extra stud running back or wide receiver because of the Travis Kelsey pick. And I usually feel much more confident when I've got, you know, if we had added to it another.

66:41 ↗

Devante Adams, for instance, instead of Travis Kelsey, then our team would feel much better, get a later round tight end. But when you play the season out, the positional advantage that you get. You're not going to feel that way in week two. No way. Not when you have Travis Kelsey outscoring every other tight end by five to ten points at every matchup. Mike? Yeah, I'm very happy going with the Travis Kelsey pick early. I get what you're saying, Jay, of that feeling of missing out.

67:11 ↗

on someone. There was a chance Kelsey came in the second round. There was a chance, but I didn't want to mess around. If we were at 110, it would have made the Kelsey value better, but there also would have been a better chance for you to get him at the 203. 205, you start to play a dangerous game where in your league, he's probably not there at 205 in most leagues. I would agree. He's sometimes sneaking to the very, very tip-top of the second round. Usually.

67:38 ↗

at the end of the first. The only, this is just full hindsight analysis. The best kind. But Travis Kelsey at the 1-8, I have no regrets here. But do you, do either of you have regrets seeing that George Kittle fell all the way to 3-1? Well, it wouldn't have gotten around to us in the third. We wouldn't have taken them in a second. No, no, but I'm just saying like when you're comparing the value of what happened. Kelsey Diggs, Adams, Kittle. Those would have been two choices we could have had. We could have ended up Adams Kittal or we could have gone Kelsey Diggs. I'd rather have Kelsey Diggs.

68:09 ↗

Yeah, I would too. All right. You guys let us know what you think, though. Leave us some comments. Talk to us on Twitter at the FF Ballers. A reminder to check out Sleeper. They're the best and always improving league platform of choice. And it's fun to do mock drafts over there. It's fun to get involved. They're adding some best ball features this year. They're expanding functionality to a lot of different league formats.

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